CD Newsletter Divisional Round

Dubz...

bigred’s mom is a wonderful and sweet lady . And she’s one of the last few people around that can make homemade and from scratch succotash .  Which is delicious by the way .

For you to soil her name like it’s your underpants after you just couldn’t wait to eat that cantina taco from Taco Bell and decided to just start munching away right then and there after buying it , even before you left the drive thru window , which led to you shitting in your pants on the drive home , just shows a complete and utter lack of awareness and self respect , and also terrible decision making on your part . To be honest . 

  Hugh’s, Cakes & BR. GOY. 

Number represents home team. Lines from B365

Hou @ KC  -8.5  41.5

2 real good defenses going at it here...reflected in the total...curious to see how many rush attempts for each team, especially hou in the cold

Pressure game for Stroud.. will he deliver on the road...Kc can somewhat focus on locking down Nico

Hou an indoor team...for whatever that's worth.. check weather

Mahomes time...this is where he shines 

Kc wins but no idea if they care to cover the spread...Andy has never really cared about what they win by, just get the W....Ryans  D should keep the game close but they are playing the current goat

Any big injuries on either side? Seeing a couple guys DNP for hou. Kc looks healthy 

Just really hard to see Kc losing at home here...the spread is huge which should in theory keep it in play for most of the game

Wsh @ Det  -9.5  55.5

Can ya back the rookie here? If wsh defense was a little better it might be worth a look..but they aren't great

Wsh could keep pace with det offensively if Daniel's has a game...if he doesn't it's a blowout 

Basically betting on Daniel's performance here imo ...guessing backing rookies in the playoffs is a losing  proposition..if anyone has some numbers on that

Well did I mention Daniels  performance ?

Det should move the ball at will at home

Apparently Montgomery back...was gonna pound Gibbs rush prop but now that plan is fucked with montgom playing...Detroit OL top 3 in league so det should put up rushing stats

The total seems right...if Daniels sucks it up it goes under...Detroit should score 24 at minimum but more likely 27 at min...

Just a tough spot for a rookie QB...but as said above if he balls out maybe they keep scoring pace with det and have a chance

Dome game

3 Blind Mice.....

Triple Max....

BR    Go fuck ur Uncle....U scumbag Maggot....

My mom died 35 yrs ago....and u Trigger....

2 grade A assholes.....

Lar  @ Phi -6.0  44.0

Tough cap. Stafford a vet QB but also basically a dome QB his entire career

Eagles have top 3 OL in league and should pound the run here vs a undersized rams DL

Rams probably pack the box to slow saquon which opens up Aj/devonta/goedert

Potential for weather here which would probably lead to even more rush attempts

Rams are a dome team...same as hou/kc matchup...curious to see how they both pan out...some warm weather teams did terrible in cold conditions this year (Miami off top of my head)

Potential for rams to start 2 really small CBs if Witherspoon out (both under 6 foot) ..Which AJ could take advantage of

Lot of talk about rams rush D last 4 games...they played 3 bad rushing teams and sf without CMC...the jets run game was trash all year...sea as well and their OL is terrible..

Lots of talk about rams vs vikes...vikes finally fell back to reality with Darnold

Stafford can easily keep the rams in it though

Hurts has struggled reading the field his entire career...eagles should stick to a run heavy approach since rams will have to respect hurts run ability 

Nakobe dean a big loss for eagles at LB...spot the rams can target 

Comes down to rams stopping the eagles run game imo...if they don't eagles should dominate time of possession

Curious to see how stafford does in the cold

Good matchup for eagles DTs vs rams iOL

Tough matchup for rams young DL vs a top 3 OL in the league

If you have any questions on this game I should be able to answer lol

Im not BR......Not Big Red either....

Shrimp......

If ur intials are DM  my bad......

Ur on Bookface if thats u....

The asswipe talking about my dead mom is a coward...

I have family in Jax....tell that  POS to look him up...

Bal @ Buf  +1.0  51.5

Game of the week

2 cold weather teams...not sure if the cold will effect one team more than the other...lot of talk about Lamar being from Florida but he plays in a cold weather city so he should be acclimated 

King Henry will probably be the difference here imo

Line already flipped. Curious if it flips back with buffalo money on Sunday

This could literally come down to which QB has the better scrambles throughout the game...you know they both gonna be running all over the place

Check injuries/weather...is flowers playing?

Cornholio , biz and others know better on this one..I'll let them handle the rest...who has the better OL??...where are both defenses ranked in DVOA?

Have at er ya scumbags

Good job.....

Im not Cornolio.....

Donkey Nuts...

If Flowers cant go it will flip back....

Thanks Dubz 

I'll dig some stuff up throughout the week.

A must check is Stroud's splits outdoor vs indoor. He's much worse outdoors.

Also with KC, it's Andy Reid off a bye time. Plus they are beyond rested with not doing anything in week 18.

KC's offensive tackles suck, and the Texans D ends are really good. But we've seen Mahomes magic/ref magic all too often. I agree with the total, I see an under but the # is sharp.

About the thing with KC you said Dubz, "kc wins but do they care to cover?" Yea that was the regular season. They kind of paced themselves, winning so many 1 score games but not covering. So the question is, is that a detriment of this team? Are they really not "that" good but do know how to scratch and claw to victory? Or, have they really took it easy all year, and now are they ready to blow the doors off teams in the playoffs?

I don't know the answer. Research should help us. Historical #'s and trends from their prior playoff runs could be telling. 

Now I have to get back to my beer. Cheers

@undermysac

 Good point on Andy Reid bye...the numbers are wild

These teams just played Dec.21st. Forgot to add that in. Temp was 30 degrees. 27-19 chiefs. Looking at boxscore now. Mixon 14 attempts. Kc backs 20 attempts. Stroud 244 yards. Dell went off for 98 yards but he is done for year now. 

@dubz4dummyz

 Good write up 

The greatest dvoa team of all time was the 1991 Redskins where Mark Rypien was sacked 7 times. The entire season. 

@undermysac

@dubz4dummyz

Nice work stepping up 

83-85-9 (+2.55) YTD

5-2 (+1.96) Playoffs 

Ravens 1H +.5(-120) *1.20/1.00

Ravens 1H ML(-102) *1.00/.98

Ravens 1H -.5(+110) *.50/.55

Got these pretty close to open. All 3 lines from 3 different books.

Words on this game later. Good Luck guys

@undermysac

 Love the plays ....Look for some Bills 2H plays ....they win this one late 

TW vs Red and Biscuit 

Let's play guess the coaches 

Coach A:

18 seasons, 8 division titles, 12 playoff appearances, 11-11 playoff record. 

Coach B:

18 seasons, 7 division titles, 12 playoff appearances, 8-11 playoff record

Tomlinson & McCarthy  

Yes, but Mccarthy is A, Tomlin is B

Ravens ran the ball 50 times last week..50

I really think its possible that Shuffle comes out the gate pass happy.

No one likes going to work outside in windy 24 degree temps* and Lamar is truly adverse to it.

* except TW, being part penguin and all.

12 degrees at night....

Snow and 35 Saturday.....

Long Sleeves please..gloves....smash their asses..

Allen is a beast... he can hurt you...