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CD Newsletter Week 11

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Legend
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Posted: #26

Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:

@undermysac  Saints/Rams total of 39. Don't care who is QBing or what either team has been so far. On the Superdome turf at noon local time that is an easy over play. Watch that total shoot up. I played it giving -115 on the juice. No problem. These 2 defenses are tired of carrying the load in what strangely has become a meaningless game. These players aren't idiotic robots. They have ebbs and flows and this is a huge ebb tide for the defensive units. 2X play NO/LAR Over 39. Sorry to interject, carry on.
Seems Kamara is MIA or has for last 2 games and if this holds true again you will have 2 teams with no running game, ergo more passing could be in order.

 
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Posted: #27

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

MNF 49ers -8 vs Cardinals(O/U 43.5) This game is in Mexico. The stadium is higher elevation than Mile High in Denver. Getty made a good point that AZ is 1000 ft above sea level, so they may be more acclimated than the Niners. The look ahead was -5.5, so I'm assuming that Kyler Murray won't be playing. I haven't looked at much about the matchup yet. But once again it's a divisional game with a big spread. If this sucker gets up to 10 by any chance then you have to bet the Cardinals.  We should look up the history of these Mexico games, as I'm thinking the over could be in play if defenses get gassed. That's it. I'll post my record after tonights game, let's get the cover Washington

2019 -  Chiefs 24.   Chargers 17

2017.-  Patriots 33.  Raiders 8

2016. -  Raiders 27. Texans 20

2005. -  AZ 31.  49ers 14

These are the games played in Mexico City.

I’m taking the over 43.5  peace_5

 
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Posted: #28

Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:

Does the NFL coaching community root against Jeff Saturday in Indy because he's not part of the system of climbing the company ladder? Tony Dungy had a great response to Joe Thomas' quote that hiring Saturday with no experience was an insult to head coaches who live and die football 24/7. Dungy simply said "That's not a requirement just a choice. Jim Caldwell and I coached a Super Bowl winner and we saw our kids more than twice a week."
me thinks he may have gotten lucky, Ryan played well after a 2 week break and whats his face(rb) coming back healthy.Lets see how long those 2 last.I'm sure the players are fine with him.

 
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Posted: #29

Nice job Sac.....

I put in early bets on Chargers +7.5, Commies -2.5, and Vikes +1.5

Strong leans on Bears, Pats, Lions, Packers.....would prefer to be -2.5 laying or +3.5 taking on these, giving a little time for movement

Liking Niners also.  Hopefully can get it down a bit......

 

 
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Posted: #30

All things noted as to the Vikes, but make no mistake they have the talent to match up with the Boys and i'm sure they will be primed for this match.an_cheers

 
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Posted: #31

https://www.si.com/nfl/vikings/news/vikings-injury-updates-zadarius-smith-christian-darrisaw-akayleb-evans

 
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Posted: #32

If you do a +- pt differential by common opponents(there are 5), Dallas is +41, Minnesota is +30

 
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Posted: #33

1 play stands out to my gut

 

kc/lac over 49.5 .....27-24 type game

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #34

I forgot a game, I have no other choice but to blame Getty and Lifebythedrop for interrupting...

Jets +3 @ Patriots(O/U 38.5)

I got Jets +4.5 last week

Lowest total on the board. With the qb's at hand and both teams off of a bye, that's not a surprise.

This is a rematch game from week 8 where the Pats won 22-17.

The Jets have gone 5-1 in their last 6, with that one loss vs the Pats to stew over.

The Pats have gone 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Both teams success is not due to their quarterback play. Zack Wilson has gone 29th in epa per play, and Mack Jones 30th in that span. That's out of 33, with only Davis Mills, Russell Wilson, and PJ Walker doing worse.

Rush epa in same span, Jets #6, Pats #29.

I don't know how the Pats have been winning recently, maybe Belichick magic. Similar to his student Mike Vrabel.

This game should stay close and a ML bet on the dog wouldn't hurt. 

peace_5

 

 
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Posted: #35

Sorry to interrupt but I drink.  Daily.  

Another interesting note.  The Giants have 7 wins…all by one score.  Their leading WR is none other than future Hall of Famer Richie James with 20 catches in 9 games.  

 

 
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Posted: #36

Pats have owned the Jets for years.....peace_5

 
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Posted: #37

Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:

@Lifebythedrop  McDaniels just got the dreaded vote of confidence from Mark Davis that he'll be coaching next season.

I just can't understand one thing. When Mark Davis goes to the barber, and the barber picks up the mirror to show him the 360 view of that awkward diagonal bowl trim, how does he say "Yea that's it"?

 
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Posted: #38

also lean bears +3.0 and jets +3.5....falcons should have hard time slowing fields and jets D better than pats imo

 
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Posted: #39

@undermysac

 pats playing terrible QBs for the most part.....they get another bad/decent one in z.wilson

 
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Posted: #40

Quote Originally Posted by Cyrax:

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: MNF 49ers -8 vs Cardinals(O/U 43.5) This game is in Mexico. The stadium is higher elevation than Mile High in Denver. Getty made a good point that AZ is 1000 ft above sea level, so they may be more acclimated than the Niners. The look ahead was -5.5, so I'm assuming that Kyler Murray won't be playing. I haven't looked at much about the matchup yet. But once again it's a divisional game with a big spread. If this sucker gets up to 10 by any chance then you have to bet the Cardinals.  We should look up the history of these Mexico games, as I'm thinking the over could be in play if defenses get gassed. That's it. I'll post my record after tonights game, let's get the cover Washington 2019 -  Chiefs 24.   Chargers 17 2017.-  Patriots 33.  Raiders 8 2016. -  Raiders 27. Texans 20 2005. -  AZ 31.  49ers 14 These are the games played in Mexico City. I’m taking the over 43.5

Thanks for these Cy peace_5

 
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Posted: #41

Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz:

@undermysac  pats playing terrible QBs for the most part.....they get another bad/decent one in z.wilson

May just go under in some fashion in this one, or just stay with +4.5 and forget about the game

peace_5

 
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Posted: #42

@undermysac

 debating the under but its already low, or the points...prefer if jets were home tho

 
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Posted: #43

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Rams +3(-105) @ Saints(O/U 39) How fast things have gone down the shitter for the defending SB Champs. They are 3-6, and have lost 5 of their last 6 games with the lone win coming vs the Panthers. To make matters worse, Cooper Kupp tweaked his ankle really bad and is listed as doubtful. Will Stafford play 1 week after concussion protocol? The Rams can't run the ball. But hold my beer... The Saints are nothing to write home about either. They managed 22 rushing yards yesterday. They are 3-7 and I think these darlings of some sharps out there have fallen out of their good graces. They were up against it vs Pitt yesterday, in what was an out of the park spot for the Steelers. Even BigD said that he might make Pitt his biggest play of the year, but didn't. I only had 1 measly unit on em. Hindsight... Either way, this total is suggesting an ugly game between 2 bad teams. But the Saints have a winnable game here, the spread says so.

 

1u as well   an_smash          got spooked with all the LM in my favor I backed off and ended up being a huge mistake   

 
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Posted: #44

Quote Originally Posted by Cyrax:

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: MNF 49ers -8 vs Cardinals(O/U 43.5) This game is in Mexico. The stadium is higher elevation than Mile High in Denver. Getty made a good point that AZ is 1000 ft above sea level, so they may be more acclimated than the Niners. The look ahead was -5.5, so I'm assuming that Kyler Murray won't be playing. I haven't looked at much about the matchup yet. But once again it's a divisional game with a big spread. If this sucker gets up to 10 by any chance then you have to bet the Cardinals.  We should look up the history of these Mexico games, as I'm thinking the over could be in play if defenses get gassed. That's it. I'll post my record after tonights game, let's get the cover Washington 2019 -  Chiefs 24.   Chargers 17 2017.-  Patriots 33.  Raiders 8 2016. -  Raiders 27. Texans 20 2005. -  AZ 31.  49ers 14 These are the games played in Mexico City. I’m taking the over 43.5

 

the hell you say an_wink

 
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Posted: #45

NFL 49-40-5 (+18.17)

Week 10: 4-7-1 (-2.86)

Week 11:

Cowboys -1.5(-110) *2.50/2.27

Jets +4.5(-110) *1.00/.91

Bears +4(-110) *1.00/.91

Lions +3.5(-110) *1.00/.91

Ravens -11.5(-110) *1.00/.91

 
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Posted: #46

Quote Originally Posted by bigred84:

Pats have owned the Jets for years.....

Correct peace_5

 
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Posted: #47

So after last night's game...

Philly down from -9 to -7.5 @ Philly 

Wash up from -2.5 to -3-120 @ HOU

JDD got a steal. Could anyone back Lovie at +3.5?

 
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Posted: #48

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

So after last night's game... Philly down from -9 to -7.5 @ Philly  Wash up from -2.5 to -3-120 @ HOU JDD got a steal. Could anyone back Lovie at +3.5?
If Skins use same game plan in Houston i don't see any reason why they should not cover. peace_5

 
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Posted: #49

Houston is very generous against the run. peace_5

 
 
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Posted: #50

So Green Bay gets the schedule shaft having played on Sunday 4pm slot then Thursday?  Incredible stupidity.  And an OT game nonetheless 

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