CD Newsletter Week 12

Didn’t he have some crazy buy out? The funny thing is everybody around the program knew he could not coach. The rumor was that Burrow called lots of plays at the line.

@djbrow

 yes. lol.  he had the most user friendly contract of all time, similar to Matt Rhule deal.....

I was reading a story (or maybe on TV or a podcast) about how Coach O was at Sean McVay's wedding.  He was shirtless and glistening by the pool, with a cocktail, just taking pictures and chatting everyone up, but the funny part was McVay did not invite him.  So they're all like wtf is O doing here?  What are the odds of a Eddie O sighting at the McVay wedding???  lolol.. he is going to go down as a character in sports folklore.  I do not think we have heard the last Eddie O story.  

Bears starting strong safety Jaquon Brisker is out, and starting corner Kyler Gordon as well.

As for the Bucs, Vita Vea was limited today. He's traveling to Cleveland and giving it a go. Fournette looks to be out, which I wanted.

https://www.joebucsfan.com/2022/11/vita-vea-to-get-a-test-run-sunday/

i guess the final straw with coach o was when he pulled up to a chick at a gas station. he told her that they could go to the gym together because she looked like she lifted. she told him she was married and pregnant. o's response was... why does that matter? the girl is a wife to a high ranking LSU official who got word up to the board of supervisors and that was that. lol

buy out was 17 mil i believe

John Hussey has been the best referee for home teams since the start of the 2016 season.

Over the past 6 seasons, when Hussey is the referee, home teams have been heavy favorites going:

64-33 (66%) against the Moneyline

55-39-3 (59%) against the spread

11-5 ML & ATS in the 2021 NFL season

5-4-1 ATS in 2022

Your ref for Bears/Jets

@undermysac

 now thats a damn nugget 

I wonder if McVay is regretting not taking that amazon gig with gobs of money  

@undermysac

 Are the broncos a top 10 dvoa rushing defense?? Figure u have it handy. Thanks....im seeing they are 15th in rush yards allowed per game at 115.3 but that can be skewed by rushing qbs

@dubz4dummyz

Broncos are 18th in rush dvoa, 5th vs the pass. They've faced the 25th offenses(sos).

My buddy sent me the "Broncos would be 9-1 if they scored 18+ points in regulation" thing this morning. 

I have to wonder how much longer the Broncos D plays hard. They haven't won against their division yet. Lost to the Raiders in OT last week. Was that their dream crusher?

Trevor Siemian in his 7th year..

41 td's

27 ints

6,848 yds

comp.% 58.9

@undermysac

 Foreman rushing line makes me think its either a freebie or the books know something...

57.5

Panthers don't run the ball when they trail if you check their game logs and look at running backs rush attempts. When they lead they pound the run.

Denver Off. shouldn't run away with this game. Low % chance. As you mention they can barely score 17 points...

Either the books know the panthers are gonna throw 30-35+attempts with darnold to see what he's got..... or they expect broncos to get a 10+ point lead and the panthers abandone the run game....

His 57.5 line is ....half the 115.3 the broncos allow....Says potential for rain, usually favors RB

The thing is the panthers should want to pound the run as broncos have a top 3 secondary if I'm not mistaken....#3 in passing yards allowed at 186 a game anyways

...and its darnold first start of the year....doesnt make sense to pass 30+ times unless they down 10+ early....

And they have been mainly running Foreman with Hubbard not getting many carries...

I guess broncos DL has some run staffers?? Purcell and dj Jones?? Neither 100%

57.5 seems odd...would have to get under 12-14 carries im thinking to go under....

@dubz4dummyz

 What have Foreman's rush props been on average?

Mixon out with concussion, Chase still questionable.  Don't see Perine being effective in the run game, he's much better catching passes.  

Fields might play...

@undermysac

 Since they traded cmc between 51.5 and 69.5 if I'm not mistaken....not sure he had one over 69.5 yet

Can't go back to far with his game logs/lines cause he was stuck behind CMC til they traded him

Last 5 games is basically it....well over 100 in 3 games and way under 57 in 2

@undermysac

 Where Baltimore rush d dvoa rank? Top 10? Better than broncos ranked #18??

Was 54.5 last week and ravens held him way under...in a close game....guessing their rush d dvoa better than denver

Was 71.5 and Bengals held him way under but Bengals blew them out so that makes sense why he went way under

Went over 34.5 vs Tampa

Went over 57.5 and 67.5 in 2 games vs Atlanta 

I guess Denver might focus on the run game and force Carolina to pass....Carolina at home helps offense ..less crowd noise.....line opened at 58.5 and is down to 54.5

@dubz4dummyz

 Baltimore is 11th overall in defensive dvoa, 10th in weighted defensive dvoa. They have faced the 11th hardest schedule to date.

They are #14 vs the run. But that's on the season, before they acquired Roquon Smith they were 24th in run D. That's a significant jump.

Since week 9(2 games with Roquon) the Ravens have been #2 in epa per play on defense. And #2 in rush epa per play at -0.346.

Keep believing that. Send me a link to an article or whatever that can clearly state a logical case for him playing this Sunday.

The line says it all man. Do you really think the line would be Jets -6 if it's Fields vs White? It was -4.5 before Zach Wilson was benched. Just shows what they think of him.

Eberflus is playing some cat n mouse. The least he can do is to not give the Jets a set gameplan this week in practice by smoking the mirrors with his qb situation. 

In my humble opinion. I have been wrong before.

@undermysac

 I agree that eberflus is messing around.......fwiw he has possibly the best bait and switch to play with.  It is one thing to prepare for Semien, and another thing entirely to prepare for that other weapon back there. 

The Jets will adjust properly, it is not like they can't play against both.

I just grabbed Michigan +14.5 @ -117 live when Ohio State went up 7-0

Cmon big blue.....  

@dubz4dummyz

week 7 - 118

week 8 - 118

week 9 - 23

week 10 - 130

week 11 - 24

No way Fields plays 

@undermysac

 Ya thought the ravens d was really starting to come on last few weeks. Numbers back it up.

Thanks

@JDD

 Michigan td just as I read your post

BWS on suicide watch if Michigan wins this game.

Hang in there good ole chap