CD Newsletter Week 15

@JDD

 Strange.....think thats BS....

https://nypost.com/2022/12/16/jets-mike-white-admits-he-has-fractured-ribs/

Everywhere I looked I found nothing. 

Even with Wilson, people are being bullish on the Jets. 75% of money with only 42% of tickets. 

I can't see it if Quenin Williams is out. I'd give the Jets a hard "maybe" if he does play.

Jets team website says White not cleared for Sunday, has him listed as out with Wilson to start…..Corey Davis out, Echols out, and Williams Q (probably not 100% if he does play) and he’s the “biggest” literally most important one in this game, pressure up the middle is key to get to goff, without it you can say adios to the Jets in this game regardless of the weather and goff liking domes more and fair weather

Can't pass up these tasty bad weather games today...

Teaser:   Shrimp/Clowns Under 44.5 and Phins/Bills Under 49

All 3 games are on nfl network, and I don't have it. Uverse blows.

Thinking I may go to the casino to watch the Ravens n Browns game, place more $ than I have to on some games, and a little blackjack.

All while trying to find some time to finish Christmas shopping at some point...I feel like my day can be tremendous, or a real depressing one.

@undermysac

 Handsome card 

Getty, because i like you i'm seriously considering taking Cowpokes which would greatly enhance Jags chance of victory. 

W16 look ahead bet:

Vikings -4.5(-110) *1.10/1.00

I'm not buying the steam on the Colts right now vs Minny. And clearly I like the Giants to lose vs the Commanders on SNF.

The Vikings will have essentially a day and a half of extra rest come next week. The line can only go in one direction I'm assuming. I won't be shy in taking the gmen the other way if we gain enough value in the potential line move.

@Biscuiteater1

 I tried to get gift cards but Shrimp bought them all 

Same here...  Browns will be on local though, and Streameast is solid for the other games on my Chromebook.  No viruses yet!   Just make sure to watch on Full Screen, otherwise the chat will drop your IQ by 50%.  

Colts +3.5 First serious fade the public play for me. Game is unimportant to either team. If the Colts can't rebound after a much needed bye week, they never will.

Shrimp/Brown Over 39. I think both teams will run through the other's defense like swiss cheese. 

Biscuit, fire away on the Cowgirls and give us a prayer. I don't like our chances but they have to play the game. Will need some lucky breaks and maybe a crooked referee.

Fwiw:

Shawn Smith is another new referee with only 4 seasons in the NFL. Smith is solid and not intimidated by home crowds as evidenced by his ATS numbers.

Smith’s officiating style also gives the offense a chance to make plays and perhaps get assistance via a pass interference call to extend drives. This has resulted in a solid Over record.

Smith, like other newer refs, only has a small sample size of available data. However, we can only go on numbers and the numbers don’t lie:

• Home teams 26-36-2 ATS (41%)
• In Division match-ups home teams are 7-17 ATS (28%)
• 35-28-1 Over (56%) in 4 years as head referee
• 19-13-1 Over (60%) in 2020/2021 NFL seasons
• Smith tied for fewest offensive holding penalties in 2021
• Smith called 4th fewest offensive holding penalties in 2020
• In the 2020/2021 Shawn Smith called the 4th & 5th most defensive pass interference penalties
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Getty Ravens Run D  #1.....

U better Call Funky Cold Medina.....

@undermysac

 Nice info

Saturday slate:  Should be a good day.  Parents down from Jersey.  Going to a buddy's Christmas party.  Need to get all my action in now before I am bombarded with mindless dribble and pretending I like kids.

I am gonna bring a football and see if there are any future NIL deals at this party, gotta represent them early nowadays.

Football:

Fresno -1.5 @ -105 2 units.  Boner of a line movement there lucky I grabbed when I did

Oregon State is the 3rd leg on a tease that I hit first 2 on, but I took Florida with 9.5 points as a hedge 1 unit each.  Line movement in that game scares me.  Plus all the Jack Miller nonsense.  I got nervous and tried to middle and minimize my exposure.  Hopefully Oregon wins in a squeaker.  If not I am covered either way.

Vikings/Bills ML Parlay @ +106 for 1 unit.  

Strong lean on Ravens. Not bet yet.  Most likely end up betting them if my wifi works.

NCAA Hoops:

Seton Hall -2.5...........Towson -5.5............Virginia +2.5/ML +125 split bet..........Morehead +6.5.............Indy State PK...........Sam Houston -2.5............Lamar +9.5.............San Fran +6.5..........Utah -2.5.    All 1 unit for now.

https://abc7chicago.com/mchenry-il-epic-deli-malort-ice-cream-chicago/12571603/

The video is great.

This looks like heaven 

@undermysac

 That article hit me hard. I think I have dated some chicks that tasted like dandelions, garbage, and gasoline.

Fuck it....adding 3 team ML parlay Fresno/SMU/S. Miss 1 unit for 2.14 units

And just like that, the Colts are up 10-0

lmfao. I consider myself a spirits connoisseur and have never heard of this concoction. I love how everyone hates yet reveres the liquor. Even the first owner of the distillery admitted that "maybe 1 in 50 will actually enjoy the first taste. It's not for everyone." 

Turning into a blowout and it's not the Colts taking the beating.

The Vikings just went for it on 4th n1 from their own 31, you can guess what happens next