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CD Newsletter Week 17

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Legend
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Posted: #76

@Getty3

I like your thinking in the Jets and Browns game. I don't know how the Jets are going to score.

Interesting tidbit for the week. Matthew Stafford has the highest epa per play vs pressure this year.

Don Martindale has blitzed on 227 of 512 pass attempts against. 

There's nothing sharp about betting the Giants imo.

Let's see what angles we can come up with.

1. West coast team on a noon start, on the east coast. Ever hear this one before?

2. Giants are at home, getting points. Looks like too many.

3. The Rams are "due" for a bad game.

4. The public will be on the Rams. Is this a thing anymore? Coincidentally, the public is having the best year ever.

5. The Rams don't care about this game, SF is on deck.

It feels like McVay is the exact type of coach where non of the nonsense above applies. 

 
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Posted: #77

Quote Originally Posted by Cranky_Hank:

USC +6.5 Milwaukee Bucks/Brooklyn Nets over 240.  A few years ago, Bucks o/u were between 215-220!  Uptempo is their game now.

The fix might be in on both these games!

USC is now +4.5!

O/U in the Bucks/Nets is now 243!

 
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Posted: #78

Quote Originally Posted by Cyrax:

Quote Originally Posted by Getty3: Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz: @undermysac  Tyrod announced by Daboll...guess he's worth 2 points over devito if oddsmakers were assuming devito   @Cranky_Hank  That was my general assumption as well...plus Saban better coach than Harbaugh? Well I assumed Tyrod for sure, from the get go. There was no way Dabol could go back to Devito. Apparently Coach paid a "tribute" to the Gambino "family".  Oddsmakers made the Brownies a strong 7 point fave over the Jets tomorrow night and the line is now 7.5. Fool's gold to back the visiting Namaths I think. You may know my opinion of their OC by now. He'll have no answers for the Cleveland defense. I played under 17 for the 1H. The game total is down to 35 from 36. Like the old folks say bet the lowest total under and the highest total over.      Have you been talking to Red ?

Flako is the new darling QB because he was watching TV with his Mom before the Browns signed him to play. In 4 games he's thrown 10 TD passes (sweet) and 7 interceptions (sour). The Jets despite their great defense are -8 in TO differential. Of course turnovers can be net positive or negative for the total whether or not they kill scoring drives or invite them. I expect both teams to sit back conservatively and play between the 20's. 

I saw Shrimp at the grocery store today. Hefty older guy with a Yanda jersey dragging his wife around asking where the meats are. 

 
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Posted: #79

Gonna be very interesting in grits & gravy land if the Saints hand Florida man a defeat. I believe they can and if i can get me a 3 i'm gonna consider it.No hope for a 3' 

 
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Posted: #80

Bucks/Nets now 244!  an_eek2

 
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Posted: #81

The top 5 Qbs in overall EPA when playing a top 12 defense this year are :

 

1)Josh Allen (Overall EPA includes rushing)

2)Pat Mahomes (surprising considering the the lack of scoring the team has had)

3) Joe Burrow (on IR)

4) Jared Goff (surprising because he's often criticized for not making the clutch throws)

5) Tua Tag 

 

The QB with the highest percentage of completed "big boy" throws (those with 20+ air yards) and "turnover worthy" throws is the same guy. an_popcorn

 
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Posted: #82

@Getty3

 
I feel Tua Tag should have caught on with someone a long time ago.   That’s just pure gold.  peace_5

 
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Posted: #83

Texas A&M coaching staff in disarray and they are without 14 STARTERS and Oak. St is was only - 3' talk about something lookind too easy. aye curumba.

 
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Posted: #84

@Getty3

 Has to be Josh Allen no?

 
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Posted: #85

@Getty3

 Add 3-1 and 1,321 yards to Joey's stats. an_cheers

 
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Posted: #86

Just dropping to see what condition everyone's condition is in. Has there been a new busload of jailhouse ne'er do wells? Buzz on but don't get the newbies. Thank god for the newsletter!

 
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Posted: #87

PS: Wings under 6.5 was my play today.

 
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Posted: #88

Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:

The top 5 Qbs in overall EPA when playing a top 12 defense this year are :   1)Josh Allen (Overall EPA includes rushing) 2)Pat Mahomes (surprising considering the the lack of scoring the team has had) 3) Joe Burrow (on IR) 4) Jared Goff (surprising because he's often criticized for not making the clutch throws) 5) Tua Tag    The QB with the highest percentage of completed "big boy" throws (those with 20+ air yards) and "turnover worthy" throws is the same guy.

 

The Shrimp an_eek2

 
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Posted: #89

Quote Originally Posted by JOHNNY_ODAE:

Just dropping to see what condition everyone's condition is in. Has there been a new busload of jailhouse ne'er do wells? Buzz on but don't get the newbies. Thank god for the newsletter!
yeah yeah oh yeah reallyhappy

 
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Posted: #90

@Getty3

 Mahomes being 2nd shouldn't be a surprise though, the lack of scoring is on his offense who can't catch a ball, KC leads the league with 39 dropped passes.

Accomplished time-waster
 
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Posted: #91

Anyone else like the Bucs now that it's at -2.5?

It's bound to go back to 3.

Sharps have to be on the Saints, I really don't care but wtf.

I don't feel strongly about any teams this week.

Bears injury news, TE Cole Kmet and C Lucas Patrick missed practice with knee injuries. 

 
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Posted: #92

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Anyone else like the Bucs now that it's at -2.5? It's bound to go back to 3. Sharps have to be on the Saints, I really don't care but wtf. I don't feel strongly about any teams this week. Bears injury news, TE Cole Kmet and C Lucas Patrick missed practice with knee injuries.
I get the feeling that the Bears D can contain the deadly one two punch of Heineken Ridder. peace_5

 
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Posted: #93

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Looks like sharp $ hit the phish at +4. Line down to 3. These assholes just couldn't wait for 4.5 could they. https://www.baltimoreravens.com/news/kyle-hamilton-afc-defensive-player-week-16-ravens-49ers This guy stood out to me more than anyone else vs the Niners. I have a feeling that he won't play this Sunday. https://slapthesign.com/posts/notre-dame-football-fanbase-holds-breath-kyle-hamilton-injury

Hamilton will play....peace_5

 
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Posted: #94

Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:

Quote Originally Posted by Cyrax: Quote Originally Posted by Getty3: Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz: @undermysac  Tyrod announced by Daboll...guess he's worth 2 points over devito if oddsmakers were assuming devito   @Cranky_Hank  That was my general assumption as well...plus Saban better coach than Harbaugh? Well I assumed Tyrod for sure, from the get go. There was no way Dabol could go back to Devito. Apparently Coach paid a "tribute" to the Gambino "family".  Oddsmakers made the Brownies a strong 7 point fave over the Jets tomorrow night and the line is now 7.5. Fool's gold to back the visiting Namaths I think. You may know my opinion of their OC by now. He'll have no answers for the Cleveland defense. I played under 17 for the 1H. The game total is down to 35 from 36. Like the old folks say bet the lowest total under and the highest total over.      Have you been talking to Red ? Flako is the new darling QB because he was watching TV with his Mom before the Browns signed him to play. In 4 games he's thrown 10 TD passes (sweet) and 7 interceptions (sour). The Jets despite their great defense are -8 in TO differential. Of course turnovers can be net positive or negative for the total whether or not they kill scoring drives or invite them. I expect both teams to sit back conservatively and play between the 20's.  I saw Shrimp at the grocery store today. Hefty older guy with a Yanda jersey dragging his wife around asking where the meats are.

No Yanda jersey....

I shop on Sundays by myself...

My daughter works there...

 
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Posted: #95

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

@Getty3  Has to be Josh Allen no?

It's actually our Greek Goddess from the Jaguars. 

 
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Posted: #96

Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: @Getty3  Has to be Josh Allen no? It's actually our Greek Goddess from the Jaguars.

an_roll_laugh

 
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Posted: #97

@undermysac

 Don't mind the bucs

 

If weather good over 3.5 fg might be the best play. Dovisonal game. 2 good d. Lot on the line.

 

 

 
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Posted: #98

Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: Anyone else like the Bucs now that it's at -2.5? It's bound to go back to 3. Sharps have to be on the Saints, I really don't care but wtf. I don't feel strongly about any teams this week. Bears injury news, TE Cole Kmet and C Lucas Patrick missed practice with knee injuries. I get the feeling that the Bears D can contain the deadly one two punch of Heineken Ridder.

Yea, they should. But I'm still waiting for that "day off" game from the D. They're treading in that highly unsustainable period. 

Fwiw, CB Jaylon Johnson in an interview said, "We haven't posted a shut out yet, that's the goal this Sunday".

Ofcourse take it with a grain of salt. He's looking for a contract next year. He'll play hard, question is do his guys tag along? Johnson is the top rated CB in the league according to PFF.

 
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Posted: #99

https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/look-at-the-total-yards-stats-and-yards-per-play-by-each-team-in-the-sfbal-game-103804020

This thread is pure Gold. For more than one reason. 

 
 
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Posted: #100

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/look-at-the-total-yards-stats-and-yards-per-play-by-each-team-in-the-sfbal-game-103804020 This thread is pure Gold. For more than one reason.

 

Looks like a could of, should of and a personal assault all wrapped up in one thread. I guess 10 live bets on SF will do that.

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