CD Newsletter week 18(safe house edition)

Sam Howell starts for Washington...

Damn it, Chargers/Broncos line nearly flipped. 

What's the news?

@undermysac

 Doesn't it kind of make sense?  What do they really have to play for aside from continuity. Staley has no interest in running/showing any offense.  G-Forbid they play starters too long and someone important gets hurt.  That team is just now getting as healthy as they can be.  

This game is/was Broncos or pass for me.  Since I would rather light a $100 bill on fire after wiping my ass with it than bet on Russel Wilson, it will be pass.

Chargers don't even really have a homefield advantage.  Barely.  

I have Chargers +2 still anyway.  +100.  2 books. 

IDK.  f that game.  

Give me the Giants +14. Of course they'll be resting many of their starters but Daboll is the type of coach who makes lemonade out of lemons. He's done it all year. Watch these Giants make some noise this week. 

@JDD

 Thanks 

Conversely no one will lay 14 with SF but I will. I think the Cardinals are in total lay down mode (I thought it last week) but this time I'm right. 

These comments are why I doubt I will have anything but a few teases for some fun this weekend. I trust this weeks lines and potential personnel decisions like I should have trusted my ex. 

Here's a good one.

Teams who are eliminated in the last 2 weeks of the season, who are playing a team who "needs" to win for a playoff chance...

62% ats the last 32 years

im on the 38 pct......

Light week for me as well...maybe 1 maybe 2 at most it looking like...not that I'm a bulk picker anyway

@undermysac

 If Bengals beat Ravens in the early slot game, Chargers is locked into 5th seed without even playing a down (they are scheduled to play 425pm est). The likelihood of bengals winning against no Lamar is high hence the -7 odds.

herbert was also on the injury list today…

@monkeebooger

My initial thoughts on this game are still strong. 

I'm gonna ride with Russell Wilson. 

Most of you guys don't like a lot of games, I'm digging way too many on the other hand.

You're on my vibe from post #15.

One more small push and I'm with you

S.o.b. the Broncos are now -2.5

I snoozed. 

They still win and cover but I'm gonna pass.

I'll regret it later.

Bengals Bills week 19  

AFC playoffs pushed back 1 week...

Rumor....

No way that they fuck every nfl team in the playoffs for one game.

https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/anchor-baby-a-yknot-betting-concept-103703439/4

What is going on here?

@undermysac

 There was a guy saying the same stuff about 2 weeks ago. Using the same terminology. Anchor. He got banned I think. Now this guy using word anchor. 
You know I love teases, but imo it takes away the best uses of them if you back yourself into a corner and use the same team too much. Really…..twice is too much……3x is way too much. Same principal as to why people don’t lay -400 chalk regularly. Works until it doesn’t. 

2-1 a winning day!  

@Cranky_Hank

 Straight bets, yes, by the skin of my balls

also had some teases with coll of charleston, fordham, SFA.

wake and drake in tease too.

and then after looking at UConn/Prov game I added Prov to teaser getting 13.5 at home with Davidson and Indy State.

Lost on St. Louis outright though.

Still have the Prov/Wake bets live

I rarely post my teases.  When I get on a roll you guys would think I was crazy. Usually only bet NCAA 2/3 days a week.  Follow on other days, but it is a fuck-ton of work to keep up with dude.  Truly it is the most profitable sport for me if I were to ever make a calculation of "time spent capping"/"return" but only because of the opportunities there are to invest.  NFL only so many per week.  NCAA.....almost unlimited to some extent.....I end up making short list, then shorter list, for teases and straights.  Sticky Tabs fucking everywhere.

I'm impressed.  

On a completely unrelated topic......I have been with Geico for my car insurance for as long as I can remember.  Something happened to me today that maybe if I pass on to you guys then you can save some money too.

I have noticed Geico has been raising my rate nonstop for years now, and I have no infractions, and pay the policy in full.  After speaking to them they just gave me the awww shucks inflation blah blah blah explanation and told me this is as low as it can get.

I called the insurance company that Costco members get recommended to.  It is called Connect.  Same insurance policy, same limits, everything identical......almost half price.  On one car Geico wanted $1032 for a 6 month policy, Connect wanted $558.  I even called Geico and gave them one last shot, and told them if they came within spitting distance I would keep the business there.  Nope.  $1032 or walk, thanks but no thanks.

I had never been happier to pay $558 in my life, for anything.  This was for full coverage for a car I own outright just FYI.   So if you are with Geico, I would shop around, because I cannot be the only one they are trying to bluff.  It is actually cheaper to join Costco, and pay insurance through Connect, than be with Geico lol.

Don't say I never did anything for ya when I have a bad betting day lol.

I was in the same situation like you with Allstate 10 years ago. They charged me $1500 for 6 months on 2 cars. I called AAA and they gave me a better coverage for half the price. I told Allstate effected Immediately that I'm cancelling my policy.