CD Newsletter Week 4

Bad run on mlb. It's the nature of the beast.

I understand what you're saying , but with under 2 minutes left in the half up 10-0 , Brown dropped a walk in TD inside the 5 yard line ...

for tomorrow

Reds ML ( Gray/Rodon )  +159

GL

Yea this one looks appetizing 

Hot damn Cardinals won 17 in a row and where were we?

https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/dk-nfl-week-4-103565351

@undermysac

 DK is a Bigred alias

To stay consistent with the first 3 weeks I am posting my plays early. These are subject to change because only 2 are locked in thus far.

WFT -1.5

Chi -2.5 (20)

Minn +2.5, ML

Indy +2, ML

Dal -3.5, -4

LAR -4.5

Den P

LAC -3 (-20)

Teams still on my radar

NYJ +7.5 will probably play

Philly +7 if I can get the hook w/o juice, added with some positive injury news for the Eagles O-line

NE +7 This would be a straight contrarian play

@Hugh_Jorgan

 Love the card, and it will be similar to mine. That might be bad for you or really good for me 

That Bears pick will kill both of you 

NFL 9-8-1 +3.84

MLB 6-8 -1.00

Texans +16.5(-110) *1.10/1.00

Bears 1H -2.5(-110) *1.10/1.00

Bears -3(+105) *1.00/1.05

Vikings ML(+115) *1.00/1.15

Pure line read, the Vikings are basically getting the same line here at home as they had vs the Seahawks last week. There's something terribly wrong with that.

More to come soon 

@trainwreck66

 I'm still waiting for the discussion between you and Sac as to the merits of betting either Det or Chi

@Sac

Our similar cards will be good for both of us.

If the Bears O-Line is just avg this week, I can't see them losing this game

The conversation was a one sided ordeal....Bears cant lose this week ...They start out slow every year 

Chargers 1H -2(-115) *2.00/1.74

Big difference in sos. To the Raiders competition so far...guess what? The Ravens aren't that good, Pittsburgh is nothing anyone thought they'd be, and Miami has no o line and had a change at QB.

The Chargers won both games otr this year, and have played one division game so far. They barely lost to a much better than we thought(except Hugh) Cowboys at home.

I believe this game will come to who wins on 3rd downs and in the red zone. The bolts are great in both areas. I also feel that Staley will be more privy in attacking the Raiders with the run than Gruden will be willing to attack the Bolts with the run. Both D's are suspect in that area.

Just like Hugh, I've been a Herbert fan since day one. I respect Carr as well, the guy has been playing great. I just feel this Raiders streak ends otr vs a division foe.

Playing 1H since I got a line under a fg, and all stats are pointing me that way. Staley is clearly a better game planer than Gruden going into Sunday, in this case Monday. 

Last year they came out hot AF 

To have any success betting the NFL, it is important to see changes as they are happening, and not after the fact.

Case in point, the Cowboys defense has been notorious for not getting turnovers. This year they lead the NFL thus far. It's easy to suggest they have been lucky, but have they? Part of turnovers is getting bodies around the ball. I just heard a stat that had Dallas with 10 players on defense who have had a max speed of 19mph or faster. This leads the NFL. Also, it is important to understand that the 2 best players for that side of the ball have been a 2nd year player, and a rookie. Also, by far the best interior lineman on the team is also a rookie. Dallas is one of the youngest teams in the entire league. Cowboys defense is missing a good number of key pieces, who all are scheduled to be back before the mid season point.

If you are of the mindset to just bet Overs in the Cowboys games, as a noted contributor here has suggested, you are behind the change. Just where your bookie wants you

TW playing the reverse jinx card. That' s dirty

The Bears started 5-1 last year including a win vs the Buccaneers. Some blame Brady for not knowing what down it was though...

Fwiw, I'm really the only one saying this. They were embarrassed pretty bad. Sure they could lose, I just think you'll see great effort from them.

EVERYONE I know plus talk radio is all ready making arrangements for a Bears funeral this Sunday. 

Also, you guys do know that my $25 ML bet on the Bears last week was purely because I was there. I knew I'd be drinking, they had no chance.

The Lions can be ok at times, decent o line. Other than that not much else scares me about them.

Good Luck

I was only causing shit ....why anyone bets on this game has serious problems 

@Hugh_Jorgan

I care dammit. 

 Should've tailed the Yankees, I heard they're hot atm

So this where you've been hiding... did you see the Tool news? They are gonna come back to Europe next year, I'm gonna try Friday to get a ticket, pre-sale was only for Tool army subscribers, the last show of the Europe tour in Budapest, the closest place to me.

Yankees again tonight, Stanton is gonna smoke another one

@yaongingy

 Tool is playing in Chicago a day after my birthday 

I accidentally deleted a MLB thread that had my record and futures on it. Cashed TB division, Brewers division, and hoping the Giants hold on.

Yes sir, we have serious problems