ClubDirtSports NFL Newsletter Subscription 2013

Good work 

mega 

some interesting playoff odds on sportsbook.com

Cincy yes  even

Clev yes +400

Dallas yes +135

KC yes +375

Saints no +180

Giants no even

Pitt no +155

Rams yes +400

Tampa yes +240


it's a little early for me, but my guess is if you bet all or most of these, you'd make money. 

Ravens

-115 both ways.

is this thread in the penalty box because you post your own website?

this is one of the most salient threads i've come across on covers.

pardon me, shouldn't assume gender. you may be a he or she. 

Ravens -500   Both ways

....Phuck u and the  u rode in on.....

henrymeth, i do not have my own website,  i'll refer to ClubDirtSports.com but that's just a play on people who actually do have websites and sell picks, you know, like badlandssports.com.  make sure you put both s's in there.

ok, he doesn't either. 


but back to your question, i post in here because i can't deal with the main forums.  you post some analysis in there or a question about actual football anywhere near nfl sunday and your thread goes to page 2-3 in minutes getting pushed back by nonsense about fixed games and referees on this side or other and other nonsense.

i will make some threads about in-game observations in the nfl forum either to get a discussion going or to instigate the masses but normally, i'll post pregame thoughts here. 

starting next month, i'l post my thoughts on which teams will be overvalued and which will be undervalued.  you might be able to search my thread from last season with "undervalued" in the title and see what it looks like.

and then, if all goes well, i'll post a weekly thread around wednesday with ideas for the upcoming week.

anyone is welcome to comment.  opposing views are encouraged.

as for my record, i'll probably post my picks each week.  i've had good seasons and bad, just like everyone else.  three years ago was very good, two years ago was bad and then i simplified things last season and it was good.  but you never know. 

for totals bettors

washington:

was #1 in yards/rush and yards/pass last season on offense

was #28 in total yards given up and particularly bad against the pass on defense

looks good for some overs since they appear to have pretty much the same team as last season, assuming RG3 comes back and gets better

problems on the dallas d-line

https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2013/07/24/running-low-on-d-line-cowboys-consider-okoye/

i like that guy's approach.  i have, at this point, dallas being an undervalued team for the first time in a long time.  but i'm not sure how good they can be with a weak DL and no depth, especially playing washington twice, the chiefs, minnesota, @NO, GB, etc.   something to watch. 

will reid darn up my early favorite for undervalued team of the year?

alex smith 3-16 SU as a starter when throwing 35+.  philly under reid threw 35.7 times/game the last 4 years.

can reid make the right adjustment with this new team/personnel?

Dirt

this is a bad sign.  i hope he's just throwing people off, or something.

badlandsports website and phone crashed for a moment today trying to deal with the influx of clubdirtsports baseball customers. we had to go from 1 phone to 2. you could have warned us ahead of time that you were shutting down the baseball department   we appreciate the business though and not sending it to the firm in vegas 

the firm took all of our cricket clients.  something about inside information.

https://www.pancommunications.com/prspeak/assets/ChrisFarley_blacksheep.jpg

interesting article on qb's with and without pressure


https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2013/2012-pressure-plays-offense

good news for indy is that luck was fourth most pressured and had a great season. 

peyton was least pressured last season which may change this season.  we'll see how he handles it with his age and injury issues. 

i went to the pats practice last night.  its not looking pretty on offense without gronk.  4 freaki n rookie wide receivers, two have butterfingers like you ve never seen.  ballard looks slower then  you.  all teams will have to do is stop amendola and he ll probably get hurt anyway. they wont avg anything close to what they did last few years. this is what happens when your best receiver is a serial killer!!! 

but did you catch tebow without his shirt on?


i haven't actually read much on new england this summer.  i still like them to win that division (not sure who else can) but they definitely have some issues that they've never dealt with before. 

ya they ll win the division. thank god they all blow. miami might beat them this year though.  no he was there but with his red shirt on. he kept trying to talk to brady but brady would just walk away from him and go talk to the receivers it was pretty funny. he s not going to spend/waste  a second tutoring jesus christ superstar. the only good news is the defense with be much better with talib. the baltimore game changed when he got hurt last  year but there are going to be many games brady is going to be showing frustration

so many people seem to love miami this season.  i think they are a year or two early on that.  the bills are a mess. and then there's the jets. 

i hated playing NE last season because i didn't trust their defense.  assuming the defense is better, i'm going to assume the offense comes out ok like it always does and figure they win 10-11 games.