what a shitshow. https://twitter.com/turnermaney/status/1212141168194138112
I love how several of the commenters refer to Kitchens as Larry the Cable Guy.
I love how several of the commenters refer to Kitchens as Larry the Cable Guy.
I love how several of the commenters refer to Kitchens as Larry the Cable Guy.
If I had a choice of what city to live in, I guess I'd pick KC with their barbecue being the final decider.
Maybe he thinks he can end up in a big city with a higher profile team some day?
If I'm the Browns, I'd be on the phone with Mike Holmgren. And tell him that he has 5 years to make us better.
If I had a choice of what city to live in, I guess I'd pick KC with their barbecue being the final decider.
Maybe he thinks he can end up in a big city with a higher profile team some day?
If I'm the Browns, I'd be on the phone with Mike Holmgren. And tell him that he has 5 years to make us better.
If I had a choice of what city to live in, I guess I'd pick KC with their barbecue being the final decider.
Maybe he thinks he can end up in a big city with a higher profile team some day?
If I'm the Browns, I'd be on the phone with Mike Holmgren. And tell him that he has 5 years to make us better.
If I had a choice of what city to live in, I guess I'd pick KC with their barbecue being the final decider.
Maybe he thinks he can end up in a big city with a higher profile team some day?
If I'm the Browns, I'd be on the phone with Mike Holmgren. And tell him that he has 5 years to make us better.
ken, humor is always welcome. we can't always make jokes about homers like shrimp and anti-homers like bws. well, we can always do that but other humor is good too.
as far as the lines go, it looks like houston came down to 2.5 at many places. that's a big move for a game like that. the next two lines are holding steady and seattle moved up a little but that move is much less significant than houston. there are some major injury issues on both sides of the seattle/philly game. i'm inetrested to see what happens with ertz. even if they just have him out there running routes without throwing to him much, that would help wentz, who needs all the help he can get these days. i do expect seattle to run a lot, because that's all that coaching staff seems to understand. hard to imagine they'll have much success without their top rb's and against this rush defense, but seattle does seem to find a way much of the time.
ken, humor is always welcome. we can't always make jokes about homers like shrimp and anti-homers like bws. well, we can always do that but other humor is good too.
as far as the lines go, it looks like houston came down to 2.5 at many places. that's a big move for a game like that. the next two lines are holding steady and seattle moved up a little but that move is much less significant than houston. there are some major injury issues on both sides of the seattle/philly game. i'm inetrested to see what happens with ertz. even if they just have him out there running routes without throwing to him much, that would help wentz, who needs all the help he can get these days. i do expect seattle to run a lot, because that's all that coaching staff seems to understand. hard to imagine they'll have much success without their top rb's and against this rush defense, but seattle does seem to find a way much of the time.
as you know, every august i suggest some futures that i think are
good value and post them in the summer newsletter. and then i bring it
back after the season to see how they did. here is the post copied from
august 7:
as you know, every august i suggest some futures that i think are
good value and post them in the summer newsletter. and then i bring it
back after the season to see how they did. here is the post copied from
august 7:
that was too long for one post so here's the rest:
some that just missed.
i wouldn't recommend it because the shrimp are terrible and probably won't win more than 4 games, but the shrimp at +365 to go to the playoffs isn't a horrible bet. there is no clear favorite to win that division in my mind. Shrimp better give me credit for this one even though it wasn't an official recommendation.
Pitt to make the playoffs +115. This is interesting at plus money. It is kind of a bet against the Cleveland hype. I just don't like Pitt so much. I think this should be closer to +140 or more for it to be recommended. Right analysis but wrong result. Pitt likely gets a WC if Roethlisberger didn't get hurt early but that's the danger of betting futures.
GB to make the playoffs at -105. I think they make the playoffs and maybe this is a better bet than GB winning the division but I think the NFC is going to be a really tough WC race and GB is the best in this division so I'd go with the +225 bet instead. I actually like GB over Chicago in RSW the most. Can't recommend a bet here without + money with a tough NFC this season. Easy.
Minn +120 to make the playoffs. Same deal. Just not tempting enough at +120 after last season. Also Easy and it turned out to be a decent number.
one last thing,
i love indy but indy -133 to win that division seems insane to me. who is betting that number in a division that could have four good teams? Hopefully this dissuaded anyone from betting Indy to win the division at a terrible number before the Luck retirement.
so, the regular season wins recommendations were a disaster while the other futures did well. the rsw bets are so hard to make because the odds move quickly and so much and if you wait until august, you're either paying too much for what you like or you are limited to only a few options where the odds haven't gone crazy. but, you can usually find a few good numbers in the division and playoffs future bets and then those new bets where you can bet one team to have more wins than another team on a handicap had great odds and had some easy plays so maybe we'll focus more on those next summer.
anyway, hope that helped.
that was too long for one post so here's the rest:
some that just missed.
i wouldn't recommend it because the shrimp are terrible and probably won't win more than 4 games, but the shrimp at +365 to go to the playoffs isn't a horrible bet. there is no clear favorite to win that division in my mind. Shrimp better give me credit for this one even though it wasn't an official recommendation.
Pitt to make the playoffs +115. This is interesting at plus money. It is kind of a bet against the Cleveland hype. I just don't like Pitt so much. I think this should be closer to +140 or more for it to be recommended. Right analysis but wrong result. Pitt likely gets a WC if Roethlisberger didn't get hurt early but that's the danger of betting futures.
GB to make the playoffs at -105. I think they make the playoffs and maybe this is a better bet than GB winning the division but I think the NFC is going to be a really tough WC race and GB is the best in this division so I'd go with the +225 bet instead. I actually like GB over Chicago in RSW the most. Can't recommend a bet here without + money with a tough NFC this season. Easy.
Minn +120 to make the playoffs. Same deal. Just not tempting enough at +120 after last season. Also Easy and it turned out to be a decent number.
one last thing,
i love indy but indy -133 to win that division seems insane to me. who is betting that number in a division that could have four good teams? Hopefully this dissuaded anyone from betting Indy to win the division at a terrible number before the Luck retirement.
so, the regular season wins recommendations were a disaster while the other futures did well. the rsw bets are so hard to make because the odds move quickly and so much and if you wait until august, you're either paying too much for what you like or you are limited to only a few options where the odds haven't gone crazy. but, you can usually find a few good numbers in the division and playoffs future bets and then those new bets where you can bet one team to have more wins than another team on a handicap had great odds and had some easy plays so maybe we'll focus more on those next summer.
anyway, hope that helped.
and, even more importantly, the second half of the post-regular season tradition is to check on the EPL futures. these are bets that i actually made:
Arsenal under 68.5 points - Looking good, because Arsenal sucks, always and forever.
Crystal Palace to finish ahead of Brighton -163 - So far, so good, although Brighton is doing better than I thought.
Crystal palace over 42.5 points - Looking good, especially recently.
Everton over 54.5 points (even smaller play on Everton to finish top 6 at +400) - Rough start but it's looking better recently, although they aren't finishing top 6 unless something crazy happens.
Newcastle over 37.5 points - Not great, but hard to say. It would help if Newcastle could win a game.
Tottenham under 74.5 points - Looking good.
West Ham under 51.5 points - Looking good.
still a long way to go but a nice start for these.
and, even more importantly, the second half of the post-regular season tradition is to check on the EPL futures. these are bets that i actually made:
Arsenal under 68.5 points - Looking good, because Arsenal sucks, always and forever.
Crystal Palace to finish ahead of Brighton -163 - So far, so good, although Brighton is doing better than I thought.
Crystal palace over 42.5 points - Looking good, especially recently.
Everton over 54.5 points (even smaller play on Everton to finish top 6 at +400) - Rough start but it's looking better recently, although they aren't finishing top 6 unless something crazy happens.
Newcastle over 37.5 points - Not great, but hard to say. It would help if Newcastle could win a game.
Tottenham under 74.5 points - Looking good.
West Ham under 51.5 points - Looking good.
still a long way to go but a nice start for these.
They literally are interviewing every candidate who wants the job except for Sam Wyche who sadly passed away today.
They literally are interviewing every candidate who wants the job except for Sam Wyche who sadly passed away today.
lester is killing it. that was your biggest future bet, wasn't it?
lester is killing it. that was your biggest future bet, wasn't it?
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