Stanley Druckenmiller this week:
1. On the bear market
"My best guess is that we’re 6 months into a bear market. For those tactically trading, it’s possible the first leg of that has ended. But I think it’s highly, highly probable that the bear market has a ways to run."
2. On soft/hard landing:
" If you’re predicting a soft landing, it’s going against decades of history,”
3. On doing nothing:
"Currently, I’m going in every day, and I’m looking at my screen, but I’m pretty much taking a break. I’ve lived through enough bear markets, that if you get aggressive in a bear market on the short side, you can get your head ripped off in rallies"
4. On the past few years of a bull run:
"That period was incredibly costly, because a lot of assets were purchased during that period that a lot of people moving out the risk curve will lose a lot of money on"
5. On owning bonds:
"While I’m not comfortable owning bonds, I’m much less comfortable being short fixed income to the degree I was three to six months ago"
6. Recession?
"Given the extent of the asset bubble & destruction in the markets, given what's going on in Ukraine, giving zero Covid policy in China, I don't take a lot of comfort from that. So I assume & pretty strongly, soon we're going to have a recession sometime in 2023"
7. Advice for new investors:
"If you are not really passionate, if don't love this stuff, go do something else. I have guys who have IQs 50, 60 points higher than me, who stink in my business...Learn all the assets categories and how they integrate"