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Systems for week 9 (18-0, 19-0, 25-1, 26-1 and some bonus info)

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Prospect
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Posted: #26
I think Atlanta wins by a field.   
 
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Posted: #27
Like the MIami pick but not the Wash pick... GL
 
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Posted: #28
Look, your system seems to be backed up really well and I am not trying to convince you to change your picks or anything but just going to add. You have to consider injuries when making a play on a team.  Its like the Colts playing without Manning, it changes the whole history because injuries can sway a whole game.  Case in point Washington.  They are missing many key players which makes them worst off in this situation then maybe the other candidates who came through.  

Just my take.
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by Simplelies:

Look, your system seems to be backed up really well and I am not trying to convince you to change your picks or anything but just going to add. You have to consider injuries when making a play on a team.  Its like the Colts playing without Manning, it changes the whole history because injuries can sway a whole game.  Case in point Washington.  They are missing many key players which makes them worst off in this situation then maybe the other candidates who came through.  

Just my take.

Manning hasnothing to do with the "system play" nor does his injury??? If Manning was starting for the Colts the Colts would not fall into this system play--all relevant!!

 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by Simplelies:

Look, your system seems to be backed up really well and I am not trying to convince you to change your picks or anything but just going to add. You have to consider injuries when making a play on a team.  Its like the Colts playing without Manning, it changes the whole history because injuries can sway a whole game.  Case in point Washington.  They are missing many key players which makes them worst off in this situation then maybe the other candidates who came through.  

Just my take.


The line has already taken their injuries into account. If they were healthier maybe they wouldn't have lost the last two and the system wouldn't apply.

There's really no comparison between the Colts without Manning and any other team without missing player; generally injuries to skill players (S. Moss, Hightower, Choice) don't end up mattering that much ATS.

Game's a no-play for me but that's my $0.02
 
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Posted: #31
My thoughts exactly simplelies,Somebody like Peyton Manning being out totally changes the dynamic of the situation.Washington is depleted and allowing 10 sacks to the bills was clearly an indication of trouble. The system play doesn't factor in such information and therefore we as individuals must decide wheather or not the injuries play a factor.If it does don't bet it,just like in poker sometimes you just need to let good hands go and battle another time.Bet wisely and BOL
 
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Posted: #32
Everything looks prime n ready to go.

I hope Tebow can cover that +9 for ya bro.

I can't back a future CFL quarterback!!!!!
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by CASTORTROY:

Manning hasnothing to do with the "system play" nor does his injury??? If Manning was starting for the Colts the Colts would not fall into this system play--all relevant!!


This is so simple I cannot believe people think otherwise. To wit:

Does anyone who thinks injuries to Peyton Manning have nothing to do with the system think the Colts would be "winless" with Manning healthy??

Winless teams, not winning 2+ straight ATS, after week 7 are 26-1 ATS against teams better than .500 but worst than .810 ...




 
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Posted: #34
 
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Posted: #35

Partenopei, ignore all these idiots thatt question you, keep posting. I don't post alot, but I do play alot. Only you and two other posters on here do I follow and take the pick(s) without question.

Your system and record speaks for itself, I would calcualte it myself if I had the time, so here is my props to you to keep posting your system plays.

I'm on all 4 only because of this post.

 
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Posted: #36
Nice work my friend!  I am with you on all 4!  Let's get that paper!
 
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Posted: #37

 
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Posted: #38
Cool information man, thanks for posting.

It's scary as hell to bet on the Dolphins and Colts, only two teams who haven't won (but they gotta win sometime eh? I just hope not Miami since I'm a KC fan)

and man tough to fade San Fran too

but best of luck, im sure there's a ton of people betting the opposite side, which means you'll probably do well ha
 
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Posted: #39
Part GL with your systems. Ignore the haters.
 
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Posted: #40

this guys post kinda sum up something I heard from an old ex-bookie a while back "chalk picks are math class picks, picking the dogs takes more than a calculator"

 
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Posted: #41
ugly picks = winning picks


 
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Posted: #42
I like your style

Been checking out your threads the past couple of weeks, and most recently love to see if we're on the same sides. 

What people fail to realize is that these system plays are all about finding teams that are undervalued/overvalued in a given situation and applying it to an upcoming game.  Not too difficult to grasp but I'm going to speculate and assume that most of these haters barely made it through high school. 

Keep up the good work
 
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Posted: #43
:) good job man.. great infor .
All i can say is It;s football, anything can happen. Goodluck!!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #44
how do you get this information? just curious? It's just nuts with all the variables involved.

i'll be on the picks though. GL
 
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Posted: #45
Keep doing your thing...
Filter what doesn't apply or is insignificant...
That's what you do best.
 
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Posted: #46

Home teams with winning percentage higher than .500 and lower than .850, and line as high as +1.5 and as low as -12 in weeks 7-13 are 0-27 ATS after a home win of 17 pts or less and a home cover of 2.5 pts or more as a pk/dog. The system picks Baltimore (and Miami again).

 

Pickem or favorites of 4 pts or less, winning more than .300, revenging same season week 1 loss, are 0-17 ATS if the opponent is off of 1 loss or 1+ win. The system picks Baltimore.

 

Play: Baltimore +3.5 (-120, olympic)

 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by ncsutodd1193:



I like all 4 picks here, however...do you realized all this shit you just said has absolutely nothing to do with the games being played? 

You don't know what you are talking about. This is solid information IMO. If you don't believe in historical NFL situational plays than just take it as an FYI and move on. 

I wouldn't sleep on it if I were you 
 
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Posted: #48
Good luck with those !!
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by Partenopei:

Home teams with winning percentage higher than .500 and lower than .850, and line as high as +1.5 and as low as -12 in weeks 7-13 are 0-27 ATS after a home win of 17 pts or less and a home cover of 2.5 pts or more as a pk/dog. The system picks Baltimore (and Miami again).

 

Pickem or favorites of 4 pts or less, winning more than .300, revenging same season week 1 loss, are 0-17 ATS if the opponent is off of 1 loss or 1+ win. The system picks Baltimore.

 

Play: Baltimore +3.5 (-120, olympic)


Man I love all your plays this week, BOL 

Solid info too, keep it coming and ignore the people who are somehow offended by you sharing it. 
 
 
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Posted: #50
Partnepeo is the freakin man... love his info and picks...
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