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    All Forums | Politics

    16 Nobel Prize-winning Economists see a Trump inflation bomb!

    «First Previous 678 ... 91011 Next Last»
    fubah2
    kcblitzkrieg
    thirdperson
    Barbarossa
    User854910
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 6601
    Posts: 260
    «First Previous 678 ... 91011 Next Last»
     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Oct. 24, 2024 - 4:28 AM ET #126

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    US stocks took a dive Wednesday Investors have been increasingly on edge about the prospect of former President Donald Trump winning the election, a possibility for which Wall Street has been preparing to a greater extent.

    “The logic here is very simple:

    Candidate Trump has called for a significant increase in import tariffs to revive domestic manufacturing,” Steven Ricchiuto, chief US economist at Mizuho Securities, said in a Wednesday afternoon note.

    “These tariffs are seen as immediately raising the price of consumer goods and, in the process, reversing the goods deflation that has helped pull inflation back.”

     

    Trump’s policy proposals, if enacted, are also expected
    to cause the government to borrow significantly more
    money compared to Vice President Kamala Harris’
    policy plans. That would make it riskier to invest in
    US government-issued securities, leading investors
    to demand higher interest rates to hold US debt.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    US stocks took a dive Wednesday Investors have been increasingly on edge about the prospect of former President Donald Trump winning the election, a possibility for which Wall Street has been preparing to a greater extent.

    “The logic here is very simple:

    Candidate Trump has called for a significant increase in import tariffs to revive domestic manufacturing,” Steven Ricchiuto, chief US economist at Mizuho Securities, said in a Wednesday afternoon note.

    “These tariffs are seen as immediately raising the price of consumer goods and, in the process, reversing the goods deflation that has helped pull inflation back.”

     

    Trump’s policy proposals, if enacted, are also expected
    to cause the government to borrow significantly more
    money compared to Vice President Kamala Harris’
    policy plans. That would make it riskier to invest in
    US government-issued securities, leading investors
    to demand higher interest rates to hold US debt.

     
    kcblitzkrieg
    kcblitzkrieg
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    Posted: Oct. 24, 2024 - 11:52 AM ET #127

    We will enter a recession.  It will get bad.  Trump will be blamed.  We will return to very low rates / ZIRP.  Everything will moon.  History is cyclical, it will repeat.  

    Time is a flat circle....
    Reply

    We will enter a recession.  It will get bad.  Trump will be blamed.  We will return to very low rates / ZIRP.  Everything will moon.  History is cyclical, it will repeat.  

     
    thirdperson
    thirdperson
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    Posted: Oct. 25, 2024 - 9:48 PM ET #128

    Wall street journal survey of 39 economists reveal that most of them show strong support for Harris economic policies.  For examples, $6,000 tax credit for new baby, increase in corporate tax rate, capping insulin price at $35 and building more affordable housing.  However most economists show weak support for Trump economic policies.  For examples, permanent tax cuts, 20% tariffs on all imports, no tax on social security, tax cuts for the rich, mass deportation, and less federal reserve independence in setting interest rates.

    Reply

    Wall street journal survey of 39 economists reveal that most of them show strong support for Harris economic policies.  For examples, $6,000 tax credit for new baby, increase in corporate tax rate, capping insulin price at $35 and building more affordable housing.  However most economists show weak support for Trump economic policies.  For examples, permanent tax cuts, 20% tariffs on all imports, no tax on social security, tax cuts for the rich, mass deportation, and less federal reserve independence in setting interest rates.

     
    Barbarossa
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    Posted: Oct. 26, 2024 - 1:04 AM ET #129

    @thirdperson

     u dont like the idea of mass deportations of criminals and insane illegal aliens ? then house some ...  

    The Pastor of Disaster
    Reply

    @thirdperson

     u dont like the idea of mass deportations of criminals and insane illegal aliens ? then house some ...  

     
    User854910
    User854910
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    Posted: Oct. 26, 2024 - 1:26 AM ET #130

    Post Deleted
    Don't let the book set the number
    Reply
    Post Deleted
     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Oct. 26, 2024 - 1:55 AM ET #131

    Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:

    Wall Street Journal survey of 39 economists reveal that most of them show strong support for Harris' economic policies!

     

       win

    Certainly not for the FASCIST policies of the MAGA movement...  an_clap

     

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:

    Wall Street Journal survey of 39 economists reveal that most of them show strong support for Harris' economic policies!

     

       win

    Certainly not for the FASCIST policies of the MAGA movement...  an_clap

     

     

     
    thirdperson
    thirdperson
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2024 - 12:29 PM ET #132

    Without billionaires such as Murdoch and Musk, Trump's election race against Harris shouldn't be close.  Most economists agree that Harris economic policies are better than Trump's.  But the wealth and power of billionaires to buy elections can endanger democracy, environment and efforts to create a fairer economy.  If Trump wins, he will cater to the super rich who are at odds with what's best for building a healthy society.  They are more concerned about taxes and regulations than the risk of electing the worst president in US history.

    Reply

    Without billionaires such as Murdoch and Musk, Trump's election race against Harris shouldn't be close.  Most economists agree that Harris economic policies are better than Trump's.  But the wealth and power of billionaires to buy elections can endanger democracy, environment and efforts to create a fairer economy.  If Trump wins, he will cater to the super rich who are at odds with what's best for building a healthy society.  They are more concerned about taxes and regulations than the risk of electing the worst president in US history.

     
    thirdperson
    thirdperson
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    Posted: Oct. 29, 2024 - 3:28 AM ET #133

    According to American enterprise institute, Biden economic record is much better than critics claim.  First, US prices have risen 19.9% since end of 2020 compared to 17.6& average for other countries.  Largely due to supply chain disruptions.  Secondly, US wages have kept up with prices.  US purchasing power has risen 0.3% while falling 3.3% in other countries.  Third, US unemployment has averaged 4.2% which is low by historical standards.  This is below 5.4% average for other countries.  Fourth, US GDP has risen 11.8% compared to 8.3% for other countries.  Fifth, S&P 500 has risen 52% compared to 45% in stock markets of other countries. 

    Reply

    According to American enterprise institute, Biden economic record is much better than critics claim.  First, US prices have risen 19.9% since end of 2020 compared to 17.6& average for other countries.  Largely due to supply chain disruptions.  Secondly, US wages have kept up with prices.  US purchasing power has risen 0.3% while falling 3.3% in other countries.  Third, US unemployment has averaged 4.2% which is low by historical standards.  This is below 5.4% average for other countries.  Fourth, US GDP has risen 11.8% compared to 8.3% for other countries.  Fifth, S&P 500 has risen 52% compared to 45% in stock markets of other countries. 

     
    Barbarossa
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    Posted: Oct. 29, 2024 - 6:13 AM ET #134

    Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:

    Without billionaires such as Murdoch and Musk, Trump's election race against Harris shouldn't be close.  Most economists agree that Harris economic policies are better than Trump's.  But the wealth and power of billionaires to buy elections can endanger democracy, environment and efforts to create a fairer economy.  If Trump wins, he will cater to the super rich who are at odds with what's best for building a healthy society.  They are more concerned about taxes and regulations than the risk of electing the worst from  president in US history.

     

    what are “ Harris Economic Policies “ ?

    We don’t hear about it , particularly not from her 

    Bidenomics part 2 ? 

    The Pastor of Disaster
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:

    Without billionaires such as Murdoch and Musk, Trump's election race against Harris shouldn't be close.  Most economists agree that Harris economic policies are better than Trump's.  But the wealth and power of billionaires to buy elections can endanger democracy, environment and efforts to create a fairer economy.  If Trump wins, he will cater to the super rich who are at odds with what's best for building a healthy society.  They are more concerned about taxes and regulations than the risk of electing the worst from  president in US history.

     

    what are “ Harris Economic Policies “ ?

    We don’t hear about it , particularly not from her 

    Bidenomics part 2 ? 

     
    Inblood
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    Posts: 2499
    Posted: Oct. 29, 2024 - 7:49 AM ET #135

    @Barbarossa

     Women’s health care has no $ sign yet but sure to be biggly if you catch my meaning?????

    Reply

    @Barbarossa

     Women’s health care has no $ sign yet but sure to be biggly if you catch my meaning?????

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Oct. 29, 2024 - 8:43 AM ET #136

    Economists support Harris/Democrats

     

    CNN -

    Several notable economists threw their weight behind Harris,
    including University of Michigan economist Justin Wolfers and
    Claudia Goldin, who won the Nobel Prize last year for tracking
    women’s labor participation and the evolving wage gap.

       “With Kamala Harris in the White House, workers,
       families, and businesses can be confident that they
       have a president who will work relentlessly to build
       a strong, pro-growth economy for all Americans,”
       reads the endorsement, which was also signed by
       former Labor Secretary Marty Walsh and
       ex-Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick.

    Reply

    Economists support Harris/Democrats

     

    CNN -

    Several notable economists threw their weight behind Harris,
    including University of Michigan economist Justin Wolfers and
    Claudia Goldin, who won the Nobel Prize last year for tracking
    women’s labor participation and the evolving wage gap.

       “With Kamala Harris in the White House, workers,
       families, and businesses can be confident that they
       have a president who will work relentlessly to build
       a strong, pro-growth economy for all Americans,”
       reads the endorsement, which was also signed by
       former Labor Secretary Marty Walsh and
       ex-Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick.

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Oct. 30, 2024 - 12:54 AM ET #137

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Economists support Harris/Democrats   CNN - Several notable economists threw their weight behind Harris, including University of Michigan economist Justin Wolfers and Claudia Goldin, who won the Nobel Prize last year for tracking women’s labor participation and the evolving wage gap.    “With Kamala Harris in the White House, workers,    families, and businesses can be confident that they    have a president who will work relentlessly to build    a strong, pro-growth economy for all Americans,”    reads the endorsement, which was also signed by    former Labor Secretary Marty Walsh and    ex-Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick.

    economists for kamala !!  win

     

     

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Economists support Harris/Democrats   CNN - Several notable economists threw their weight behind Harris, including University of Michigan economist Justin Wolfers and Claudia Goldin, who won the Nobel Prize last year for tracking women’s labor participation and the evolving wage gap.    “With Kamala Harris in the White House, workers,    families, and businesses can be confident that they    have a president who will work relentlessly to build    a strong, pro-growth economy for all Americans,”    reads the endorsement, which was also signed by    former Labor Secretary Marty Walsh and    ex-Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick.

    economists for kamala !!  win

     

     

     
    thirdperson
    thirdperson
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2024 - 7:35 PM ET #138

    On CNN and X, 300+ university economists oppose Trump re-election in letter.  His policies rest on a misdiagnosis of the economy.  High tariffs cannot protect manufacturing jobs against trends of automation and transition to a service economy among rich nations.  His attempts to reduce trade deficits and increase manufacturing employment didn't work.  Instead trade war forces government bailout for farmers.  American consumers and businesses end up paying for tariffs.  Manufacturing workers would be better served by Harris who is willing to engage in reality rather than fantasy.  Despite Trump claims to the contrary, US economic performance was unremarkable in his first term.  Overall, employment growth was negative.

    Reply

    On CNN and X, 300+ university economists oppose Trump re-election in letter.  His policies rest on a misdiagnosis of the economy.  High tariffs cannot protect manufacturing jobs against trends of automation and transition to a service economy among rich nations.  His attempts to reduce trade deficits and increase manufacturing employment didn't work.  Instead trade war forces government bailout for farmers.  American consumers and businesses end up paying for tariffs.  Manufacturing workers would be better served by Harris who is willing to engage in reality rather than fantasy.  Despite Trump claims to the contrary, US economic performance was unremarkable in his first term.  Overall, employment growth was negative.

     
    thirdperson
    thirdperson
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2024 - 10:11 AM ET #139

    Quote Originally Posted by Barbarossa:

      what are “ Harris Economic Policies “ ?

     

    Harris wants to improve US economy but Trump wants to tear it down to rebuild.  Harris economic agenda calls for modest upgrades to make life more affordable for Americans.  Bigger tax credits for parents.  Boosting the minimum wage.  Building more homes.  More small business loans.  In contrast, Trump wants dramatic changes.  Mass deportation.  High tariffs.  Tax giveaways.  However most economists agree US economy is doing fine and doesn't need a complete overhaul.  Trump risky plans could do more harm than good.  Purchasing managers of companies warn prices are likely to increase if Trump is elected. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Barbarossa:

      what are “ Harris Economic Policies “ ?

     

    Harris wants to improve US economy but Trump wants to tear it down to rebuild.  Harris economic agenda calls for modest upgrades to make life more affordable for Americans.  Bigger tax credits for parents.  Boosting the minimum wage.  Building more homes.  More small business loans.  In contrast, Trump wants dramatic changes.  Mass deportation.  High tariffs.  Tax giveaways.  However most economists agree US economy is doing fine and doesn't need a complete overhaul.  Trump risky plans could do more harm than good.  Purchasing managers of companies warn prices are likely to increase if Trump is elected. 

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2024 - 1:50 PM ET #140

    Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:

    On CNN and X, 300+ university economists oppose Trump re-election in letter. 

    Economic scholars!   an_cheers  an_clap

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:

    On CNN and X, 300+ university economists oppose Trump re-election in letter. 

    Economic scholars!   an_cheers  an_clap

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2024 - 5:54 PM ET #141

    Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:

    Quote Originally Posted by Barbarossa:   what are “ Harris Economic Policies “ ?  

     

    Harris wants to improve US economy but Trump wants to tear it down to rebuild. 

    Harris economic agenda calls for modest upgrades to make life more affordable for Americans. 

    Bigger tax credits for parents. 

    Boosting the minimum wage. 

    Building more homes. 

    More small business loans. 

    @thirdperson

     Common sense policies, to help the large majority of Americans - regardless party affiliation! peace_5 ....a Liberal sentiment which is very much a continuation of the Biden admin

    Biden is ranked the #14 BEST president in American history by experts.  an_cheers

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:

    Quote Originally Posted by Barbarossa:   what are “ Harris Economic Policies “ ?  

     

    Harris wants to improve US economy but Trump wants to tear it down to rebuild. 

    Harris economic agenda calls for modest upgrades to make life more affordable for Americans. 

    Bigger tax credits for parents. 

    Boosting the minimum wage. 

    Building more homes. 

    More small business loans. 

    @thirdperson

     Common sense policies, to help the large majority of Americans - regardless party affiliation! peace_5 ....a Liberal sentiment which is very much a continuation of the Biden admin

    Biden is ranked the #14 BEST president in American history by experts.  an_cheers

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2024 - 1:45 AM ET #142

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson: Quote Originally Posted by Barbarossa:   what are “ Harris Economic Policies “ ?     Harris wants to improve US economy but Trump wants to tear it down to rebuild.  Harris economic agenda calls for modest upgrades to make life more affordable for Americans.  Bigger tax credits for parents.  Boosting the minimum wage.  Building more homes.  More small business loans.  @thirdperson  Common sense policies, to help the large majority of Americans - regardless party affiliation! ....a Liberal sentiment which is very much a continuation of the Biden admin Biden is ranked the #14 BEST president in American history by experts.

    we would think common sense

    but it appears very likely now we wont see any of those

     

     

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson: Quote Originally Posted by Barbarossa:   what are “ Harris Economic Policies “ ?     Harris wants to improve US economy but Trump wants to tear it down to rebuild.  Harris economic agenda calls for modest upgrades to make life more affordable for Americans.  Bigger tax credits for parents.  Boosting the minimum wage.  Building more homes.  More small business loans.  @thirdperson  Common sense policies, to help the large majority of Americans - regardless party affiliation! ....a Liberal sentiment which is very much a continuation of the Biden admin Biden is ranked the #14 BEST president in American history by experts.

    we would think common sense

    but it appears very likely now we wont see any of those

     

     

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 53596
    Posted: Nov. 6, 2024 - 1:52 AM ET #143

    China’s state media focuses on US divisions as America awaits election results

    Reply

    China’s state media focuses on US divisions as America awaits election results

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
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    Posts: 16757
    Posted: Nov. 6, 2024 - 7:43 AM ET #144

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    China’s state media focuses on US divisions as America awaits election results

     

    china is cheering the huge divide in our country now     

    our loss their gain

     

     

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    China’s state media focuses on US divisions as America awaits election results

     

    china is cheering the huge divide in our country now     

    our loss their gain

     

     

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Joined: Aug, 2012
    Posts: 53596
    Posted: Nov. 6, 2024 - 10:16 AM ET #145

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: China’s state media focuses on US divisions as America awaits election results   china is cheering the huge divide in our country now      our loss their gain

    Any and likely ALL of America's "traditional" global adversaries are celebrating as we speak...

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: China’s state media focuses on US divisions as America awaits election results   china is cheering the huge divide in our country now      our loss their gain

    Any and likely ALL of America's "traditional" global adversaries are celebrating as we speak...

     

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
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    Posts: 16757
    Posted: Nov. 6, 2024 - 10:30 AM ET #146

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: China’s state media focuses on US divisions as America awaits election results   china is cheering the huge divide in our country now      our loss their gain Any and likely ALL of America's "traditional" global adversaries are celebrating as we speak...

    dancing likely until late wednesday night  

     

     

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: China’s state media focuses on US divisions as America awaits election results   china is cheering the huge divide in our country now      our loss their gain Any and likely ALL of America's "traditional" global adversaries are celebrating as we speak...

    dancing likely until late wednesday night  

     

     

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 53596
    Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 11:19 AM ET #147

    Goldman Sachs slashes growth forecasts
    for Germany, UK and wider Europe
    because of Trump win


    London CNN —

    President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed protectionist policies, including hefty tariffs, will hurt Europe’s economic standing — leaving crisis-hit Germany particularly vulnerable, Goldman Sachs predicts.

    Reply

    Goldman Sachs slashes growth forecasts
    for Germany, UK and wider Europe
    because of Trump win


    London CNN —

    President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed protectionist policies, including hefty tariffs, will hurt Europe’s economic standing — leaving crisis-hit Germany particularly vulnerable, Goldman Sachs predicts.

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 53596
    Posted: Nov. 19, 2024 - 11:19 AM ET #148

    The Trump inflation shock
    could be worse than the
    last inflation crisis


    New York CNN —

    Larry Summers has some unsolicited advice for President-elect Donald Trump: Don’t keep your campaign promises — unless you want to send prices skyrocketing once again.

    Summers, the famed economist and former Clinton-era Treasury secretary, is alarmed by the potential impact of Trump’s proposals to slash taxes, spike tariffs, deport undocumented workers and influence the Federal Reserve.

    “If he carries through on what he said
    during his campaign, there will be an
    inflation shock significantly greater than
    the one the country suffered in 2021,”
    Summers told CNN.

    Reply

    The Trump inflation shock
    could be worse than the
    last inflation crisis


    New York CNN —

    Larry Summers has some unsolicited advice for President-elect Donald Trump: Don’t keep your campaign promises — unless you want to send prices skyrocketing once again.

    Summers, the famed economist and former Clinton-era Treasury secretary, is alarmed by the potential impact of Trump’s proposals to slash taxes, spike tariffs, deport undocumented workers and influence the Federal Reserve.

    “If he carries through on what he said
    during his campaign, there will be an
    inflation shock significantly greater than
    the one the country suffered in 2021,”
    Summers told CNN.

     
    thirdperson
    thirdperson
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    Posts: 9447
    Posted: Nov. 23, 2024 - 11:04 PM ET #149

    Bond prices have dropped sharply since Trump's election.  Investors worry that his economic policies will boost inflation and fiscal deficits.  This can hurt US economy by making borrowing more expensive.

    Reply

    Bond prices have dropped sharply since Trump's election.  Investors worry that his economic policies will boost inflation and fiscal deficits.  This can hurt US economy by making borrowing more expensive.

     
     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Joined: Aug, 2012
    Posts: 53596
    Posted: Nov. 24, 2024 - 5:53 PM ET #150

    Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:

    Bond prices have dropped sharply since Trump's election.  Investors worry that his economic policies will boost inflation and fiscal deficits.  This can hurt US economy by making borrowing more expensive.

     

    That's how the market reacts to fascist stupidity.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by thirdperson:

    Bond prices have dropped sharply since Trump's election.  Investors worry that his economic policies will boost inflation and fiscal deficits.  This can hurt US economy by making borrowing more expensive.

     

    That's how the market reacts to fascist stupidity.

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