The news from Electoral Vote is not all good for the Democrats. EV is now predicting that the GOP will pick up 3 Senate seats - MT, OH and WV, which would leave the GOP with Senate control by 52-48. There are 7 states within 1 to 4 points; they are outlined in pink or pale blue.
https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2024/Senate/senate_races.html
The battle of which party controlling Senate majority seems pretty tight, it could settle at 50-50 in the end. One day to go, let's see.
The 270toWin consensus map as of 2024-11-01 had DEM 226 and REP 216. The 93 unassigned EVs are all from the standard seven swing states.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/consensus-2024-presidential-election-forecast
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The final 2024 presidential forecast from CNalysis (of whom I know nothing) dated today. They have assigned all states and have DEM 308 and REP 230. It is a very pro-Harris map with AZ the only swing state predicted for Trump and it's just a minimal Tilt.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/cnalysis-2024-presidential-forecast
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CNalysis website's own odds:
President Harris 52.2%, Trump 46.4% (Harris does NOT want the new House to pick the winner)
Senate DEM 27.3%, GOP 72.7%
House DEM 53.4%, GOP 46.6%
https://cnalysis.com/
Well, looks kind of dismal. I was down when Hillary lost--she would've been a great POTUS, and be ending her second term..
Looks like urban voting and female voting is down in early voting, and democrats need to overcome early voting advantages in PA and AZ, which is a first. Wisconsin is unpredictable.
It all depends on turnout, and noone knows or can predict that. I don't want to invest even $10 on these scammy Trump sneakers, Trump commerative coin, or Trump coloring book, and wouldn't want to put even a $5 Abe Lincoln note on him to win.
I don't think these Rogan, Elon and RFK, Jr endorsements matter much....it's all on the turnout.
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