2024 US Election Betting Hub

Trump keeps gaining with the bettors; he now trails by a mere 0.8% at EBO.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Trump now a slight favourite at Pinny

Trump -116

Harris -104

Also, Trump now ahead at EBO by 1.4%

1 month out is a bad time to be cratering in the polls.

At Polymarkets, Trump has suddenly, within a span of three days, moved ahead by 5 percentage points.

Not good. WTH America......don't do this....

Five House races have moved the Democrats' way per the Cook Political Report:

https://politicalwire.com/2024/10/04/house-races-across-the-midwest-move-in-democrats-favor/

The generic ballot is trending slightly Blue; this could be a "Pros vs Joes" election.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/2024/

Another sign of progress for Trump:  The 538 forecaster now has Harris winning only 55% of their simulations.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

Wow - EBO says Trump's lead is now up to 3%!  Also, the Democrats' probability of taking the House fell to 55.6%, a drop of 6.1% in one day.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

OTOH, Electoral Vote just moved AZ from Trump by 1% or 2% to Even.  EV's current standings Harris 276, Trump 251, Tied 11.

https://www.electoral-vote.com/

Heritage was previously pick 'em.  Now:

Trump  -112

Harris  -108

Pinnacle odds as of today

Trump -133

Harris +110

Massive line move in favor of Trump moved 10+ cents since last time I checked.

Trump is now up 7.6% at EBO.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

I wonder if these Trump bettors will end up losing money like SO many of Mr. Bankruptcies' failed business ventures.  538 has raised Harris' chances of winning from 53% to 55%.

This is an interesting and informative article at 538, explaining why they raised Harris' chances.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

Headline: Our Democracy. Jamie Raskin and other Democrats already signaling they may not vote to certify the 2024 election if Trump wins! The Left is evil and dangerous! Just ask the survivors of Helene!

hell , they staged January 6th , are you surprised ? 

rules for radicals is their playbook , accuse the other side of what you are doing / guilty of 

#Alinsky , Barry's and Hillary's favorite book , self admitted 

To answer your question. No. I am not! Rules for radicals is in play every day! 

Please provide a citation from a reputable website or I will conclude you are just spouting nonsense and further damaging your already shaky reputation.

Harris is once again down to 53% at 538.

Here it is DogbiteWilliams. It is very difficult to make this stuff up when you have it from the horse's mouth! The very evil and very dangerous Left will not let Trump 1 foot inside the White House should he defeat the weakest candidate in American history named Harris. Someone could make the case that it is voting malpractice to vote for the Lady from California!

(1) DC_Draino on X: "??Rep Jamie Raskin says Congress will stop Donald Trump on J6 using the 14th Amendment and create “civil war conditions” These uniparty snakes are the greatest threat to our country that’s ever existed And they won’t give up power without a fight https://t.co/BZWOCBP1pA" / X

@sundance

X is owned by Elon Musk, a strong and highly visible Trump supporter.  X is also well-known source of baseless bullshxt conspiracy theories.

It is not a reputable website, and if you believe it is your political acumen is sorely lacking.

14th Amendment Sect 3 refers to a felony conviction. Can and will the House refuse to certify?

They did try keep Trump off the ballot sin Colorado and other states, but the SC ruled unanimously a state cannot unilaterally decide and act on the 14th Amendment. So they are exploring and floating the idea of not certifying the 2024 election, based on this 14th Amendment, and gamble to see if the SC will accept and uphold their actions as legal.

Seems that all is fair in war and politics, and it is Machiavellian on both sides. Trump is threatening jail time for election abuses (as he calls it).

The Amer. election is going to be as wierd as its current weather conditions--Sun flares, tornados, hurricanes, floods...all in all, seems as unbettable as any NFL point spread.

Massive line movement 

Pinny odds

Trump -151

Harris +124

Already added to my Trump position when he was at + odds.

Your running out of time to get Trump at a good price.  It's over for Kamala IMO, she really screwed up last week

For the record I trust the betting odds more than any poll.  People can say whatever they want when they get called for a poll but this is actual dollars here.  The momentum has swung in Trump's favor he'll even Cenk Ugur from the Young Turks is acknowledging that Harris is in big trouble 

Good point.  Pollsters measure current opionion, while political bettors try to envision what will happen on Election Day.

However, I don't know if political bettors do any better in the long run than sports bettors.  Both have to overcome vigorish which is not exactly easy.  I also remember many Covers posters in 2020 pouring tons of money on Trump with great conviction.

Things are super close at Electoral Vote.  Their current tally:  Harris 247, Trump 246, Ties 45 (WI, PA, GA).

https://www.electoral-vote.com/

I assume more Trump money made Heritage adjust their lines.

Trump  -125

Harris  +105