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Obama is a log.....

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Posted: #176

Per a Canadian poll.......... 72% would vote for Obama / 10% Romney / 18% undecided. 

https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/10/31/obama-romney-canada-poll_n_2049167.html

 
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Posted: #177
Obama is climbing. Lets see how high he can go over the next few days. 
 
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Posted: #178
Quote Originally Posted by FriedShrimp:

Per a Canadian poll.......... 72% would vote for Obama / 10% Romney / 18% undecided. 

https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/10/31/obama-romney-canada-poll_n_2049167.html

In Europe ,,some polls show that Obama would draw more than 90 %of the vote there ; across the entire continent, Obama runs above 70 %,,,,

Since Europe is bankrupt and socialist, no wonder they support him..........and since 90% of Europeans once thought the world was flat...the U.S.of A. dosen't care what Europeans think ..

 
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Posted: #179

Here is your Euro poll......... 90% favor Obama...............

https://t.news.msn.com/politics/poll-90-percent-of-europeans-favor-obama

USA just waiting on Oklahoma and Mississippi to catch up with the times.

 

 
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Posted: #180
Just wating for Europe to get their financial books in order
 
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Posted: #181

Took a little more at -210 yesterday.

Obama up to -290 now.

 
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Posted: #182

Quote Originally Posted by playdough:

Just wating for Europe to get their financial books in order

Is Europe's deficit anywhere the magnitude of ours?

Doubt it.

 
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Posted: #183
Quote Originally Posted by Snake30:

Took a little more at -210 yesterday.

Obama up to -290 now.


-210 seems high...  vanzack said -200 I think...

I wonder if there will be a reverse in the money with the romney speculators who bought in at +400 want to walk away with some money and hedge obama now before it is back at -500


 
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Posted: #184
Quote Originally Posted by FriedShrimp:

Is Europe's deficit anywhere the magnitude of ours?

Doubt it.


good luck today srimp
 
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Posted: #185

Watching Fox News and MSNBC is hysterical.

There are no more facts.  Nobody cares about facts.

How can there be such different poll numbers?  On Hannity, Dick Morris says the polls point to a Romney landslide.  Not his opinion, but the polls.  MSNBC says the opposite.

The truth lies in the betting line.  That is the most accurate predictor.  Its just so funny to me.  We live in a fucked up country.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posted: #186
Van -- still value in Obama -400 in your opinion? Silver puts his chances of winning at ~86% overall and his chances of winning Ohio at essentially that same amount, curious as to what you think.
 
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Posted: #187

Yes. There is value.

I would say the Nate Silver projections are the most accurate. There really is no point in coming up with your own projections.

Any difference between a betable line and his number is value.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posted: #188
How many units you guys risking on this?

I want to add more if it drops to around -300, but I have 25% of bankroll riding on this already. With a winning "If" bet for 5 units riding on this outcome. 
 
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Posted: #189
Heritage at -460/+355, but 5dimes at -355/+295
 
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Posted: #190
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Watching Fox News and MSNBC is hysterical.

There are no more facts.  Nobody cares about facts.

How can there be such different poll numbers?  On Hannity, Dick Morris says the polls point to a Romney landslide.  Not his opinion, but the polls.  MSNBC says the opposite.

The truth lies in the betting line.  That is the most accurate predictor.  Its just so funny to me.  We live in a fucked up country.


Complete joke.  I don't even know how they can do their jobs and keep a straight face.  
 
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Posted: #191
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Im averaged in on Obama at about -195 for a shitload.

I feel like I missed a good opportunity to unload some of that when I could have gotten +450ish a few weeks ago - but I still also feel strongly that when analyzed - -230 is still good value.

I cant do electoral math and come up with Romney as a winner.  Obvioulsy things can happen in a week - but I am confident if the election were today that the odds should be closer to -500.

That is because you are doing your analysis based on flawed polling data.  This will be the #1 thing talked about for a week after the election.  Best of luck to you - you will need it to keep your wager alive.

 

 
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Posted: #192
I smell a chad issue.......................
 
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Posted: #193
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Watching Fox News and MSNBC is hysterical.

There are no more facts.  Nobody cares about facts.

How can there be such different poll numbers?  On Hannity, Dick Morris says the polls point to a Romney landslide.  Not his opinion, but the polls.  MSNBC says the opposite.

The truth lies in the betting line.  That is the most accurate predictor.  Its just so funny to me.  We live in a fucked up country.




my sentiments exactly!


when both news sites are saying their candidate will win in a landslide... the message to those who watch these sites is... we will lie through our teeth about anything... so stop fucking watching us!!!!


if you want any truth on the matter... watch BBC news... or just don't watch news at all...

MSNBC and FoxNews can ONLY make you stupider and less informed...
 
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Posted: #194
MSNBC and FoxNews can ONLY make you stupider and less informed...

it's a sad day when watching "news" makes people dumber, much dumber, but truer words may not be spoken on this forum. 
 
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Posted: #195

Quote Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:




my sentiments exactly!


when both news sites are saying their candidate will win in a landslide... the message to those who watch these sites is... we will lie through our teeth about anything... so stop fucking watching us!!!!


if you want any truth on the matter... watch BBC news... or just don't watch news at all...

MSNBC and FoxNews can ONLY make you stupider and less informed...

How ironic!      

 
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Posted: #196
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Yes. There is value.

I would say the Nate Silver projections are the most accurate. There really is no point in coming up with your own projections.

Any difference between a betable line and his number is value.

Value at -400? Cant be value if you could have had -200 , especially since there is no respectable data to support thinking Obummer has a bigger lead than he did at -200. If anything, I dont think he wins the "election" 4/5 times......

Van, you betting on Obama or Romney to win any particular states? I trust you more than what I see on tv and wouldnt mind having a little action going tomorrow on this. .

 
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Posted: #197
Quote Originally Posted by SportsFan9698:

That is because you are doing your analysis based on flawed polling data.  This will be the #1 thing talked about for a week after the election.  Best of luck to you - you will need it to keep your wager alive.

 



Zackyboy about to be blindsided and he won't even see it coming.
 
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Posted: #198

I just voted in Florida.  It is crazy here.  This state is so fucked.

Because of the lines, I only voted 5 times instead of my usual 10.

Overnight line moves towards Obama in every state.  FL is only -160 for red now, but every other state is blue including CO and VA.

Tomorrow - I plan on filling a few briefcases full of cash and setting sail on the yacht.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posted: #199
Quote Originally Posted by ClubDirt:

MSNBC and FoxNews can ONLY make you stupider and less informed...

it's a sad day when watching "news" makes people dumber, much dumber, but truer words may not be spoken on this forum. 

+1
 
 
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Posted: #200
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

I just voted in Florida.  It is crazy here.  This state is so fucked.

Because of the lines, I only voted 5 times instead of my usual 10.

What a country.....Gotta love it

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