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    All Forums | Politics

    PREDICTIONS on HOUSE and SENATE RACES

    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
    darkhorse12
    Europa
    Midnight1
    Belmont3b
    LRM704
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    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    darkhorse12
    darkhorse12
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2018 - 3:20 PM ET #51

    Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:

    “If the Democrats lose the Florida Senate, that’s going to be bad, really bad,” Carville said. .......“If Nelson loses Florida and you are a Democrat, throw up and go to bed because the night is over.”

    Nov.3rd :
    Florida Senate - Scott vs. Nelson St. Pete Polls Nelson 48, Scott 49 Scott +1

    NOV 5th.

    Florida Senate - Scott vs. NelsonSt. Pete PollsNelson 50, Scott 46Nelson +4




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    Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:

    “If the Democrats lose the Florida Senate, that’s going to be bad, really bad,” Carville said. .......“If Nelson loses Florida and you are a Democrat, throw up and go to bed because the night is over.”

    Nov.3rd :
    Florida Senate - Scott vs. Nelson St. Pete Polls Nelson 48, Scott 49 Scott +1

    NOV 5th.

    Florida Senate - Scott vs. NelsonSt. Pete PollsNelson 50, Scott 46Nelson +4




     
    Europa
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2018 - 3:34 PM ET #52

    Quote Originally Posted by darkhorse12:

    All you political masterminds lets give it your best shot.

    Dems   +34  House seats 

    reps   + 2  Senate seats 


    Here is what i got,

    902 Dem hold majority / no majority +300* vs Republicans hold majority in senate 
     
    905 Democrats hold majority in senate +1175* vs Rep hold majority / no majority  

    965 Democrats hold majority in House of Rep -250* vs Rep hold majority / no majority  

    Small plays for all of the above, half unit for 902, 905 and one unit for 965 .
     
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    Quote Originally Posted by darkhorse12:

    All you political masterminds lets give it your best shot.

    Dems   +34  House seats 

    reps   + 2  Senate seats 


    Here is what i got,

    902 Dem hold majority / no majority +300* vs Republicans hold majority in senate 
     
    905 Democrats hold majority in senate +1175* vs Rep hold majority / no majority  

    965 Democrats hold majority in House of Rep -250* vs Rep hold majority / no majority  

    Small plays for all of the above, half unit for 902, 905 and one unit for 965 .
     
     
    darkhorse12
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2018 - 4:28 PM ET #53

    Quote Originally Posted by Europa:


    Here is what i got,

    902 Dem hold majority / no majority +300* vs Republicans hold majority in senate 
     
    905 Democrats hold majority in senate +1175* vs Rep hold majority / no majority  

    965 Democrats hold majority in House of Rep -250* vs Rep hold majority / no majority  

    Small plays for all of the above, half unit for 902, 905 and one unit for 965 .
     

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    Quote Originally Posted by Europa:


    Here is what i got,

    902 Dem hold majority / no majority +300* vs Republicans hold majority in senate 
     
    905 Democrats hold majority in senate +1175* vs Rep hold majority / no majority  

    965 Democrats hold majority in House of Rep -250* vs Rep hold majority / no majority  

    Small plays for all of the above, half unit for 902, 905 and one unit for 965 .
     

     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2018 - 8:07 PM ET #54

    IMO Democrats will take the House but not the Senate.

    Piggy will take credit for winning the Senate & blame someone else for losing the House. 

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    IMO Democrats will take the House but not the Senate.

    Piggy will take credit for winning the Senate & blame someone else for losing the House. 

     
    Belmont3b
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2018 - 11:13 PM ET #55

    Quote Originally Posted by Belmont3b:

    R Keeps House 500/900 trump 2016 repeat liberal sad memes galore

    Kemp GA gov 400/200 Ga loves their guns

    Heller NV Sen 200/230 easy w

    McSally Az sen 150/108 tough one

    Hawley Missouri sen 150/108 up 2

    Hugin NJ 30/147 long shot 

    Morrissey WV 30/97.5 long shot 

    Let’s make that $$$$


    Adding rep wins senate majority 1100/200 cause it’s free money
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    Quote Originally Posted by Belmont3b:

    R Keeps House 500/900 trump 2016 repeat liberal sad memes galore

    Kemp GA gov 400/200 Ga loves their guns

    Heller NV Sen 200/230 easy w

    McSally Az sen 150/108 tough one

    Hawley Missouri sen 150/108 up 2

    Hugin NJ 30/147 long shot 

    Morrissey WV 30/97.5 long shot 

    Let’s make that $$$$


    Adding rep wins senate majority 1100/200 cause it’s free money
     
    LRM704
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2018 - 12:03 AM ET #56

    Quote Originally Posted by Midnight1:

    IMO Democrats will take the House but not the Senate. Piggy will take credit for winning the Senate & blame someone else for losing the House.

     

    You are always on the losing side  

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    Quote Originally Posted by Midnight1:

    IMO Democrats will take the House but not the Senate. Piggy will take credit for winning the Senate & blame someone else for losing the House.

     

    You are always on the losing side  

     
    nature1970
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2018 - 8:50 AM ET #57

    Democrats have a majority in the hhouse houses house!!!!!! 

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    Democrats have a majority in the hhouse houses house!!!!!! 

     
    LRM704
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2018 - 9:13 PM ET #58

    Said it before and I'll say it again. Blue wave my ass 

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    Said it before and I'll say it again. Blue wave my ass 

     
    Doja45
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2018 - 10:25 PM ET #59

    Quote Originally Posted by StumpTownStu:

    Quote Originally Posted by Doja45:

    My prediction?......   Pain
    Doj, we don't always see eye to eye buy you're probably one of my favorite people on this site, bro.

    Likewise my man. Kids and work have kept me from stirring up the sh!t lately

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    Quote Originally Posted by StumpTownStu:

    Quote Originally Posted by Doja45:

    My prediction?......   Pain
    Doj, we don't always see eye to eye buy you're probably one of my favorite people on this site, bro.

    Likewise my man. Kids and work have kept me from stirring up the sh!t lately

     
    thirdperson
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 12:00 AM ET #60

    As expected, final week polls are correct in predicting that republicans retain  senate while democrats gain house of representatives.  Historically, most presidents normally lose either seats in congress during midterm elections. 

    US government is designed to have checks and balances.  Unhealthy to have absolute power and corruption.  Smart voters who distrust government try to balance power between republicans and democrats so that bad policies are harder to implement.  Most countries are better off with minority governments.
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    As expected, final week polls are correct in predicting that republicans retain  senate while democrats gain house of representatives.  Historically, most presidents normally lose either seats in congress during midterm elections. 

    US government is designed to have checks and balances.  Unhealthy to have absolute power and corruption.  Smart voters who distrust government try to balance power between republicans and democrats so that bad policies are harder to implement.  Most countries are better off with minority governments.
     
    Belmont3b
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 12:24 AM ET #61

    Quote Originally Posted by Belmont3b:

    Quote Originally Posted by Belmont3b:

    R Keeps House 500/900 trump 2016 repeat liberal sad memes galore Kemp GA gov 400/200 Ga loves their guns Heller NV Sen 200/230 easy w McSally Az sen 150/108 tough one Hawley Missouri sen 150/108 up 2 Hugin NJ 30/147 long shot  Morrissey WV 30/97.5 long shot  Let’s make that $$$$
    Adding rep wins senate majority 1100/200 cause it’s free money

    adding tester 1400/200

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    Quote Originally Posted by Belmont3b:

    Quote Originally Posted by Belmont3b:

    R Keeps House 500/900 trump 2016 repeat liberal sad memes galore Kemp GA gov 400/200 Ga loves their guns Heller NV Sen 200/230 easy w McSally Az sen 150/108 tough one Hawley Missouri sen 150/108 up 2 Hugin NJ 30/147 long shot  Morrissey WV 30/97.5 long shot  Let’s make that $$$$
    Adding rep wins senate majority 1100/200 cause it’s free money

    adding tester 1400/200

     
    SarasotaSlim
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 2:36 AM ET #62

    Quote Originally Posted by darkhorse12:


    NOV 5th.

    Florida Senate - Scott vs. NelsonSt. Pete PollsNelson 50, Scott 46Nelson +4





    Nov.6th....

    Florida Senate               Florida voters           Scott +0.6   gain
    - Scott vs. Nelson
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    Quote Originally Posted by darkhorse12:


    NOV 5th.

    Florida Senate - Scott vs. NelsonSt. Pete PollsNelson 50, Scott 46Nelson +4





    Nov.6th....

    Florida Senate               Florida voters           Scott +0.6   gain
    - Scott vs. Nelson
     
    JumpinJeremy55
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 3:37 AM ET #63

    both parties claim victory lienew_laugh_sweat

    j
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    both parties claim victory lienew_laugh_sweat

     
    nature1970
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 7:20 AM ET #64

    Quote Originally Posted by nature1970:

    Democrats have a majority in the hhouse houses house!!!!!!
    still pending in Maine is rank choices for Maine 2nd district Golden D is in a dead heat by veterans day we know. MILLS wins Governor D . King returns to the Senate.  Golden should win this but it still a toss up . And Nancy Pelosi takes back her gavel. Into impeachment proceedings grab some popcorn.... Trump won't be convicted but it's good theater. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by nature1970:

    Democrats have a majority in the hhouse houses house!!!!!!
    still pending in Maine is rank choices for Maine 2nd district Golden D is in a dead heat by veterans day we know. MILLS wins Governor D . King returns to the Senate.  Golden should win this but it still a toss up . And Nancy Pelosi takes back her gavel. Into impeachment proceedings grab some popcorn.... Trump won't be convicted but it's good theater. 

     
    Europa
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 9:50 AM ET #65

    Quote Originally Posted by Europa:


    BTW, i have cast my vote for US House GOP Representative in my district for 4 times. However, i'm flipping for a Democrat on Tuesday. And I see many Californians will make the same decisions next Tue.  

    That Dem has WON! 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Europa:


    BTW, i have cast my vote for US House GOP Representative in my district for 4 times. However, i'm flipping for a Democrat on Tuesday. And I see many Californians will make the same decisions next Tue.  

    That Dem has WON! 
     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 10:34 AM ET #66

    Quote Originally Posted by JumpinJeremy55:

    both parties claim victory

    I heard today that both Clinton and Obama lost approx 60 seats each in the house in their first midterms, while trump lost here only approx half of that...so was this blue wave just more fake news? Senate got stronger from what i hear too, as the few Repubs who stood up againat trump lost, thus all the red now is even more united before their leader.

    As an observer, i would either claim this a stalement, more a slight Repub win...Dems cannot be happy this morning while they sip their 8$ starbucks chemical liquids

    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Quote Originally Posted by JumpinJeremy55:

    both parties claim victory

    I heard today that both Clinton and Obama lost approx 60 seats each in the house in their first midterms, while trump lost here only approx half of that...so was this blue wave just more fake news? Senate got stronger from what i hear too, as the few Repubs who stood up againat trump lost, thus all the red now is even more united before their leader.

    As an observer, i would either claim this a stalement, more a slight Repub win...Dems cannot be happy this morning while they sip their 8$ starbucks chemical liquids

     
    darkhorse12
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 3:06 PM ET #67

    Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

    I heard today that both Clinton and Obama lost approx 60 seats each in the house in their first midterms, while trump lost here only approx half of that...so was this blue wave just more fake news? Senate got stronger from what i hear too, as the few Repubs who stood up againat trump lost, thus all the red now is even more united before their leader.

    As an observer, i would either claim this a stalement, more a slight Repub win...Dems cannot be happy this morning while they sip their 8$ starbucks chemical liquids


    Why shouldn't the dems be happy? Seems they got something they didn't have while the reps got to keep something they already had.
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    Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

    I heard today that both Clinton and Obama lost approx 60 seats each in the house in their first midterms, while trump lost here only approx half of that...so was this blue wave just more fake news? Senate got stronger from what i hear too, as the few Repubs who stood up againat trump lost, thus all the red now is even more united before their leader.

    As an observer, i would either claim this a stalement, more a slight Repub win...Dems cannot be happy this morning while they sip their 8$ starbucks chemical liquids


    Why shouldn't the dems be happy? Seems they got something they didn't have while the reps got to keep something they already had.
     
    SarasotaSlim
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 3:22 PM ET #68

    Quote Originally Posted by darkhorse12:

    All you political masterminds lets give it your best shot.

    Dems   +34  House seats 

    reps   + 2  Senate seats 


    Pretty good call darkhorse..after all the too close to call House seats are settled you could be close to your projection..

    ...................................
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    Quote Originally Posted by darkhorse12:

    All you political masterminds lets give it your best shot.

    Dems   +34  House seats 

    reps   + 2  Senate seats 


    Pretty good call darkhorse..after all the too close to call House seats are settled you could be close to your projection..

    ...................................
     
    darkhorse12
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 5:32 PM ET #69

    Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:


    Pretty good call darkhorse..after all the too close to call House seats are settled you could be close to your projection..

    ...................................

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    Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:


    Pretty good call darkhorse..after all the too close to call House seats are settled you could be close to your projection..

    ...................................

     
    darkhorse12
    darkhorse12
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 5:50 PM ET #70

    Anyone hear anything about a caravan today?
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    Anyone hear anything about a caravan today?
     
    SarasotaSlim
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 6:17 PM ET #71

    Quote Originally Posted by darkhorse12:

    Anyone hear anything about a caravan today?

    I hear they are in Mexico City ..resting and giving their camels a break..
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    Quote Originally Posted by darkhorse12:

    Anyone hear anything about a caravan today?

    I hear they are in Mexico City ..resting and giving their camels a break..
     
    Midnight1
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 6:56 PM ET #72

    Nice to see that Putin's favorite Congressman Dana Rohrabacher will be put out to pasture in Cali. 

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    Nice to see that Putin's favorite Congressman Dana Rohrabacher will be put out to pasture in Cali. 

     
    darkhorse12
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 7:14 PM ET #73

    Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:


    Pretty good call darkhorse..after all the too close to call House seats are settled you could be close to your projection..

    ...................................

    Appears I was way off in governor races though. I thought a +2 but ...
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    Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:


    Pretty good call darkhorse..after all the too close to call House seats are settled you could be close to your projection..

    ...................................

    Appears I was way off in governor races though. I thought a +2 but ...
     
    packersbackers
    packersbackers
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 7:34 PM ET #74

    Quote Originally Posted by darkhorse12:

    Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

    I heard today that both Clinton and Obama lost approx 60 seats each in the house in their first midterms, while trump lost here only approx half of that...so was this blue wave just more fake news? Senate got stronger from what i hear too, as the few Repubs who stood up againat trump lost, thus all the red now is even more united before their leader. As an observer, i would either claim this a stalement, more a slight Repub win...Dems cannot be happy this morning while they sip their 8$ starbucks chemical liquids
    Why shouldn't the dems be happy? Seems they got something they didn't have while the reps got to keep something they already had.

    Dems should be happy yes, however relative to history, trump did better than both clinton and obama regarding #of seats lost in the house.

    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    Quote Originally Posted by darkhorse12:

    Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

    I heard today that both Clinton and Obama lost approx 60 seats each in the house in their first midterms, while trump lost here only approx half of that...so was this blue wave just more fake news? Senate got stronger from what i hear too, as the few Repubs who stood up againat trump lost, thus all the red now is even more united before their leader. As an observer, i would either claim this a stalement, more a slight Repub win...Dems cannot be happy this morning while they sip their 8$ starbucks chemical liquids
    Why shouldn't the dems be happy? Seems they got something they didn't have while the reps got to keep something they already had.

    Dems should be happy yes, however relative to history, trump did better than both clinton and obama regarding #of seats lost in the house.

     
     
    Doubleadownon12
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2018 - 7:43 PM ET #75

     This election was nothing short of a massive repudiation of Trumpism. Dems did better in the House the GOP did in 10’ Or Dems did in 06’. Sure Dems will lose 3 - 4 Senate seats but that has more to do with the composition of the Senate giving disproportionate power to rural voters. Look at the real numbers here:

    Senate Vote Totals

    Democratic Party: 44.9 million votes 
    Republican Party: 32.9 million votes

    That’s the story on the House side, as well. Democrats didn’t just take more seats, they took an enormously greater number of votes. Democrats carried both the House and the Senate with vote margins of greater than 9 percent. That’s bigger than the Republican “wave” elections in 2010, or even 1994. It’s a massive margin of victory. Massive.

    If it doesn’t look that way from some of the end results, it’s simply because of structural issues. Small rural states, and small rural counties, have an outsized importance in a system that, as we often get reminded, isn’t a pure democracy, but a representative republic. At this point those rural areas are utterly wedded to the GOP. How strong is that attachment? So strong that a dead pimp easily captured a seat in the Nevada state assembly just by having an “R” next to his name. Really.

    Democrats demonstrated last night that they can carry this nation by a huge margin. That’s a 12 million vote differential. Be assuaged that the majority of the Country is with the Democrats and now we have 2 years to ramp up all the forces at our disposal to defeat Trumpism once and for all.

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     This election was nothing short of a massive repudiation of Trumpism. Dems did better in the House the GOP did in 10’ Or Dems did in 06’. Sure Dems will lose 3 - 4 Senate seats but that has more to do with the composition of the Senate giving disproportionate power to rural voters. Look at the real numbers here:

    Senate Vote Totals

    Democratic Party: 44.9 million votes 
    Republican Party: 32.9 million votes

    That’s the story on the House side, as well. Democrats didn’t just take more seats, they took an enormously greater number of votes. Democrats carried both the House and the Senate with vote margins of greater than 9 percent. That’s bigger than the Republican “wave” elections in 2010, or even 1994. It’s a massive margin of victory. Massive.

    If it doesn’t look that way from some of the end results, it’s simply because of structural issues. Small rural states, and small rural counties, have an outsized importance in a system that, as we often get reminded, isn’t a pure democracy, but a representative republic. At this point those rural areas are utterly wedded to the GOP. How strong is that attachment? So strong that a dead pimp easily captured a seat in the Nevada state assembly just by having an “R” next to his name. Really.

    Democrats demonstrated last night that they can carry this nation by a huge margin. That’s a 12 million vote differential. Be assuaged that the majority of the Country is with the Democrats and now we have 2 years to ramp up all the forces at our disposal to defeat Trumpism once and for all.

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