Betting markets say Biden will win GA.. Just recently to 1-to-5. Maybe even worse... Will be very very close... Has market factored in military votes? And even some overseas vote.. Active service is no longer R trump biased as you might think... But they might be in GA...fyi, AZ has swung hard for Trump in last few hours... As for entire election, markets have NV and PN as Biden for sure
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Betting markets say Biden will win GA.. Just recently to 1-to-5. Maybe even worse... Will be very very close... Has market factored in military votes? And even some overseas vote.. Active service is no longer R trump biased as you might think... But they might be in GA...fyi, AZ has swung hard for Trump in last few hours... As for entire election, markets have NV and PN as Biden for sure
Betting markets say Biden will win GA.. Just recently to 1-to-5. Maybe even worse... Will be very very close... Has market factored in military votes? And even some overseas vote.. Active service is no longer R trump biased as you might think... But they might be in GA...fyi, AZ has swung hard for Trump in last few hours... As for entire election, markets have NV and PN as Biden for sure
Arizona will still be Biden, even if Trump makes up the 47k in Maricopa in next 12 hours, Biden will win Pima County, and Flagstaff 65k combined votes easily, which will carry him to victory later when they are counted. Just for betting opportunities there is still great opportunity for Biden if odds are going down there.
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Quote Originally Posted by jimrockford22:
Betting markets say Biden will win GA.. Just recently to 1-to-5. Maybe even worse... Will be very very close... Has market factored in military votes? And even some overseas vote.. Active service is no longer R trump biased as you might think... But they might be in GA...fyi, AZ has swung hard for Trump in last few hours... As for entire election, markets have NV and PN as Biden for sure
Arizona will still be Biden, even if Trump makes up the 47k in Maricopa in next 12 hours, Biden will win Pima County, and Flagstaff 65k combined votes easily, which will carry him to victory later when they are counted. Just for betting opportunities there is still great opportunity for Biden if odds are going down there.
This can be called tonight if Georgia and Pennsylvania finish the count. ... Nevada seems trending for Biden. And Arizona looks like mass and Pennsylvania trading fire with rebs in Gettysburg neither seems to be effective in gaining the momentum with roughly 400000 votes yet to be determined.
If.it.all falls to Nevada we might have to wait for.next week they will accept.all ballots.postmarked until election till veterans day.
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This can be called tonight if Georgia and Pennsylvania finish the count. ... Nevada seems trending for Biden. And Arizona looks like mass and Pennsylvania trading fire with rebs in Gettysburg neither seems to be effective in gaining the momentum with roughly 400000 votes yet to be determined.
If.it.all falls to Nevada we might have to wait for.next week they will accept.all ballots.postmarked until election till veterans day.
Can we all agree we should have a well regulated systematic 50 state same rules for national election the laws from state to state is at best incredibly confusing.
We have national.campaign laws maybe we should adopt national voting laws. In maine you can be convicted of a class a felony doing life withpuy possibility of parole and vote
Louisiana any felon is ineligible for a.example....
Some can have a runoff some a plurality and here ranked choice. And ballots can be accepted for a week after the election is really a bit too much for.my taste in this affair...
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Can we all agree we should have a well regulated systematic 50 state same rules for national election the laws from state to state is at best incredibly confusing.
We have national.campaign laws maybe we should adopt national voting laws. In maine you can be convicted of a class a felony doing life withpuy possibility of parole and vote
Louisiana any felon is ineligible for a.example....
Some can have a runoff some a plurality and here ranked choice. And ballots can be accepted for a week after the election is really a bit too much for.my taste in this affair...
@DeezyAZ81 Thx for AZ color... AZ is Biden 4-to-9 on Will-Hill (I just use this site for consistency) Nate Cohn at NYT echo your comment...AZ improving too slowly for DJT... And as u mentioned it may stay as gap narrowing anyway @jimrockford22
No problem. Keeping an eye on it out here in AZ. Demographically, it just seems unlikely for Trump. Pima is mostly Mexican and more liberal with college there. Flagstaff no chance. Not enough votes in Maricopa for Trump to win it. However, it's still about -250 Biden at my book, so do not really think it's worth.
Nature: As fo PA, Biden will probably end up winning Pennsylvania by 90-100k votes because of distribution of votes across blue counties. It will be called in the morning likely. Then watch the shennanigans begin from the Trump side.
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Quote Originally Posted by jimrockford22:
@DeezyAZ81 Thx for AZ color... AZ is Biden 4-to-9 on Will-Hill (I just use this site for consistency) Nate Cohn at NYT echo your comment...AZ improving too slowly for DJT... And as u mentioned it may stay as gap narrowing anyway @jimrockford22
No problem. Keeping an eye on it out here in AZ. Demographically, it just seems unlikely for Trump. Pima is mostly Mexican and more liberal with college there. Flagstaff no chance. Not enough votes in Maricopa for Trump to win it. However, it's still about -250 Biden at my book, so do not really think it's worth.
Nature: As fo PA, Biden will probably end up winning Pennsylvania by 90-100k votes because of distribution of votes across blue counties. It will be called in the morning likely. Then watch the shennanigans begin from the Trump side.
do people think if fox news (and all the other networks) call nevada for biden, that Fox News will call the election for Biden? (the idea is that Fox called Arizona really early.. haven't seen this retract it, but haven't looked)
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do people think if fox news (and all the other networks) call nevada for biden, that Fox News will call the election for Biden? (the idea is that Fox called Arizona really early.. haven't seen this retract it, but haven't looked)
Biden may pull into the lead in Georgia tonight. According to CNN, Clayton County plans to release results from its 5,700 outstanding ballots by midnight. Biden won the last batch of Clayton votes 87 percent to 13 percent; if he wins the remainder by the same amount, he’d net about 4,300 votes. Trump’s current Georgia lead is only 2,497 votes. ,.., Another 2 hours ,..,
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The big purse has yet to come for Biden
Nate Hendrick reports at 947pm.
Biden may pull into the lead in Georgia tonight. According to CNN, Clayton County plans to release results from its 5,700 outstanding ballots by midnight. Biden won the last batch of Clayton votes 87 percent to 13 percent; if he wins the remainder by the same amount, he’d net about 4,300 votes. Trump’s current Georgia lead is only 2,497 votes. ,.., Another 2 hours ,..,
even as a trump hater, i agree Fox News Arizona call was really bad....... i'm guessing they will hold off on nevada or rescind arizona call.. they will probably be saved as penn and arizona may be called before nevada... or maybe with combos of military/overseas/late acceptance rules, no states will call anything for awhile.
honestly, i am thinking they should change it to all states just report 100% 10 days after election. and hold some votes back in close states so no one knows the outcome of close states in advance..... would solve alot of problems... but what would John King at CNN (he does a great job) do?
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@sundance
even as a trump hater, i agree Fox News Arizona call was really bad....... i'm guessing they will hold off on nevada or rescind arizona call.. they will probably be saved as penn and arizona may be called before nevada... or maybe with combos of military/overseas/late acceptance rules, no states will call anything for awhile.
honestly, i am thinking they should change it to all states just report 100% 10 days after election. and hold some votes back in close states so no one knows the outcome of close states in advance..... would solve alot of problems... but what would John King at CNN (he does a great job) do?
do people think if fox news (and all the other networks) call nevada for biden, that Fox News will call the election for Biden? (the idea is that Fox called Arizona really early.. haven't seen this retract it, but haven't looked)
Fox is still standing by Arizona, and have been all day. They know it is unlikely that Trump wins it. I estimate Biden will win AZ by 20-25k votes like he did in Wisconsin. It will get tighter but, ultimately, he will fall short. They won't call Nevada because I think there is so many outstanding votes, and less is known about the demographics and types of votes, mail-in versus drop off etc.. Again, it won't matter in the end because Biden will win PA by early morning.
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Quote Originally Posted by jimrockford22:
do people think if fox news (and all the other networks) call nevada for biden, that Fox News will call the election for Biden? (the idea is that Fox called Arizona really early.. haven't seen this retract it, but haven't looked)
Fox is still standing by Arizona, and have been all day. They know it is unlikely that Trump wins it. I estimate Biden will win AZ by 20-25k votes like he did in Wisconsin. It will get tighter but, ultimately, he will fall short. They won't call Nevada because I think there is so many outstanding votes, and less is known about the demographics and types of votes, mail-in versus drop off etc.. Again, it won't matter in the end because Biden will win PA by early morning.
@sundance even as a trump hater, i agree Fox News Arizona call was really bad....... i'm guessing they will hold off on nevada or rescind arizona call.. they will probably be saved as penn and arizona may be called before nevada... or maybe with combos of military/overseas/late acceptance rules, no states will call anything for awhile. honestly, i am thinking they should change it to all states just report 100% 10 days after election. and hold some votes back in close states so no one knows the outcome of close states in advance..... would solve alot of problems... but what would John King at CNN (he does a great job) do?
here we have a republican and democrat cpunt the same stack of ballots. Unyil yhe numbers are equal if a ballot doesnt have a clear choice it set aside for furthur examinatiin.
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Quote Originally Posted by jimrockford22:
@sundance even as a trump hater, i agree Fox News Arizona call was really bad....... i'm guessing they will hold off on nevada or rescind arizona call.. they will probably be saved as penn and arizona may be called before nevada... or maybe with combos of military/overseas/late acceptance rules, no states will call anything for awhile. honestly, i am thinking they should change it to all states just report 100% 10 days after election. and hold some votes back in close states so no one knows the outcome of close states in advance..... would solve alot of problems... but what would John King at CNN (he does a great job) do?
here we have a republican and democrat cpunt the same stack of ballots. Unyil yhe numbers are equal if a ballot doesnt have a clear choice it set aside for furthur examinatiin.
Here in maine we have a republican and democrat count the ballots the number has to remain the same or they immediately recount them. If a ballot has not been clearly marked. It happens.pens run out of.ink it is set aside from the group. Then if necessary reexamine by a group needing all the same opinion.
Auto correct malfunctions that last one.
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Here in maine we have a republican and democrat count the ballots the number has to remain the same or they immediately recount them. If a ballot has not been clearly marked. It happens.pens run out of.ink it is set aside from the group. Then if necessary reexamine by a group needing all the same opinion.
I meant states shouldn't release interim voting totals...every state should release their full results 2 weeks after election. And some safeguards against leaks... Or not intern vote counts until we have a winner
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I meant states shouldn't release interim voting totals...every state should release their full results 2 weeks after election. And some safeguards against leaks... Or not intern vote counts until we have a winner
Something because this.fiasco is utterly ridiculous as for a.run off election for.presidency in Georgia I given up trying to see if it's possible if neither candidate gains a.clear majority...
Senate yes president not sure...
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Something because this.fiasco is utterly ridiculous as for a.run off election for.presidency in Georgia I given up trying to see if it's possible if neither candidate gains a.clear majority...
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