Trump to be impeached odds...

I'm posting this as purely a betting thread...can't wait for the political opinion to eventually make it's way into here, and watch the emotions explode...

Holy crap.  As I just posted this, the odds for him to be in office on 1-1-18 is already down to -145.  

Aaaaannnnnd now it's back up to -290.  Not playing anything right now, but I will be checking closely and gauging what the political scope is.

I'd say the only realistic way he's not President 1/1/18 is if he resigns.  With pressure from the media, public, democrats and especially the republicans can just be too much for him by years end.  While I think there's a reasonable chance he gets impeached ... I can't see the senate convicting him.  They just don't have the votes.  And none of this is gunna happen by 2018.  So will Trump gut this out for the remainder of 2017?  That I don't know.

He will definitely be president. Free money.

Where are you getting these wagering lines?  5Dimes? 

Are there any assassination odds? 

LOL. I lost a little on Election, going to make a fortune on this. I have prop bets all over Trump not 2020 nominee down...

if you are going to make a bet like this, make sure you are very clear on what you are betting.  as alan points out, impeachment doesn't necessarily mean trump is out.  not to get into politics as alan said, but remember, the republicans control everything and i don't think they care about anything other than getting tax cuts for the rich so as long as they think that's a possibility, i think they let whatever trump does slide. 

one caveat- the only other thing they care about is getting reelected and if it ever looks like the trump effect is jeopardized that, then you will see some action.  however, the problem with this is that it will be hard to tell until 2018.  also, many of these guys in the house are safe because their districts are gerrymandered so there are a certain percentage of house members who don't care about anything hurting the country because they can't be beat.


but, my main point is that you need to be clear on what the bet entails.  if it's simply whether trump is president on a certain date, that's pretty simple, but there is another method to remove trump that isn't impeachment.  assume republicans think trump is just too f*cking nuts or stupid to get tax cuts for the rich passed, which is possible.  or, he people up so badly that even somewhat safe republicans are at risk in 2018.  republicans need a way to get rid of trump and put the idiot pence in place with as little collateral damage as possible.  the 25th amendment is a better way.  instead of having to tell their base they kicked trump out because he's the worst president imaginable, they can say the guy lost it due to dementia or whatever and they had to remove him because he can't handle the job.  it ain't great, but it probably looks better than impeachment because the guy is shite.

Trump NOT in office at 1/1/20 is -115 on 5Dimes. That's fairly insane.

Putin to win Russian Election.  -1200

have you seen any odds on putin to win the republican nomination for 2020? 

Odds that Trump:

Trump to be president on October 1 of this year is -855.  If you have extra money laying around that you don't mind tying up for a few months...this is the play.

Odds Trump will wear a Kippah during his trip inside Israel...

Yes - 110

No - 110

Trump is not going anywhere,believe it, you all on the left that would like to see that.              

I wouldn't bother betting on Trump to be impeached.  You have to consider the behavior that accompanies actions or words.  Trump's bluster indicates to me that he knows there's no direct implication or link between whatever activity that occurred, collusion or otherwise.  So even if all of his associates engaged in that collusion, which eventually we'll find out anyway, I suspect it's highly unlikely there's any evidence that points to Trump.

Putin is the former head of the KGB, which I think is called FSB or something like that.  He knows exactly how intelligence officers conduct themselves, the protocols, how our system works, etc.  If they worked together, Putin made sure every detail was perfectly crafted to the finest minutiae.