Wagering that there will be a run scored 1st inning
What is your logic behind this? Asking b/c last season I made a killing betting the opposite? Playoff games, especially games 1 and 2, usually feature top of the rotation starters-and playoffs games come down to timely hitting, quality pitching, and good defense....You rarely see teams unload in early innings. Just my 2 cents. Must be some trend that I'm missing here?
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Quote Originally Posted by Watch:
Wagering that there will be a run scored 1st inning
What is your logic behind this? Asking b/c last season I made a killing betting the opposite? Playoff games, especially games 1 and 2, usually feature top of the rotation starters-and playoffs games come down to timely hitting, quality pitching, and good defense....You rarely see teams unload in early innings. Just my 2 cents. Must be some trend that I'm missing here?
What is your logic behind this? Asking b/c last season I made a killing betting the opposite? Playoff games, especially games 1 and 2, usually feature top of the rotation starters-and playoffs games come down to timely hitting, quality pitching, and good defense....You rarely see teams unload in early innings. Just my 2 cents. Must be some trend that I'm missing here?
Beaner,
When you have time, i want you to get a sheet of paper and go back to the beginning of the season from day one when the A's played Boston in Japan and come forward keeping a tally throughout the season to the end and tell me how many times a run scored in the 1st inning versus how many times a run did not score and multiply that number times $200.00 and come back to the thread and tell me why I have an account with Betus with the kind of money that some people don't make in an entire year working 40 hour a week.
Then you will understand why I do what I do.
Matter of fact after you do your homework, I am willing to bet you will start to do the same next year. You can't afford not to.
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Quote Originally Posted by beaner3445:
What is your logic behind this? Asking b/c last season I made a killing betting the opposite? Playoff games, especially games 1 and 2, usually feature top of the rotation starters-and playoffs games come down to timely hitting, quality pitching, and good defense....You rarely see teams unload in early innings. Just my 2 cents. Must be some trend that I'm missing here?
Beaner,
When you have time, i want you to get a sheet of paper and go back to the beginning of the season from day one when the A's played Boston in Japan and come forward keeping a tally throughout the season to the end and tell me how many times a run scored in the 1st inning versus how many times a run did not score and multiply that number times $200.00 and come back to the thread and tell me why I have an account with Betus with the kind of money that some people don't make in an entire year working 40 hour a week.
Then you will understand why I do what I do.
Matter of fact after you do your homework, I am willing to bet you will start to do the same next year. You can't afford not to.
And I am sure that you didn't make as much money wagering that there would not be a run scored in the 1st inning than I did wagering that there would be a run scored in the first inning. It's statistically impossible for you to have prospered more than I did. I've been doing it for quite a while now. I know of no easier way to make money wagering on any sport than by doing simply that alone.
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beaner,
And I am sure that you didn't make as much money wagering that there would not be a run scored in the 1st inning than I did wagering that there would be a run scored in the first inning. It's statistically impossible for you to have prospered more than I did. I've been doing it for quite a while now. I know of no easier way to make money wagering on any sport than by doing simply that alone.
All you need is about $4000.00 of start off capital in April.
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Interesting. Watch I wasn't slamming you at all-I just was curiouis b/c the only times i make this bet-i wait for two "top of the line" pitchers and i bet no runs in the 1st.
I would say i probably made about 20 of these wagers throughout the season-and hit about 80% of them-only a few that i can remember lost.
I don't make huge plays on them though-i'm more of a casual bettor-not a high roller-
That's great if you have a system that works-i was just wondering.
GL
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[Quote: Originally Posted by Watch]
All you need is about $4000.00 of start off capital in April.
[/Quote}
Interesting. Watch I wasn't slamming you at all-I just was curiouis b/c the only times i make this bet-i wait for two "top of the line" pitchers and i bet no runs in the 1st.
I would say i probably made about 20 of these wagers throughout the season-and hit about 80% of them-only a few that i can remember lost.
I don't make huge plays on them though-i'm more of a casual bettor-not a high roller-
That's great if you have a system that works-i was just wondering.
Watch - this is a very interesting strategy. Please provide us with the Delta of your success in using the 1st inning Run Play. I've noticed that you are doing it for every game and find it very interesting.
Would like to know more. How long have you employed this strategy and what has been your success (ROI) on a $4,000 bank.
All the best to all who play the game of chance.
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Watch - this is a very interesting strategy. Please provide us with the Delta of your success in using the 1st inning Run Play. I've noticed that you are doing it for every game and find it very interesting.
Would like to know more. How long have you employed this strategy and what has been your success (ROI) on a $4,000 bank.
I start off with $4000.00 to absorb the ups and downs involved with doing this type of wager. Each year there are roughly 350-400 times more often than not that a run scores in the 1st inning. When you multiply that by the $200.00 I put up on each game then you have a total of $80,000.00 or so because there is usually plus money involved as the public has it in their head that a run won't score in the 1st inning. A question for you. If that were so, why do you think that bookmakers offer that prop? It's the ultimate sign that books take advantage of the average person's thought process.
pats16-02009
You are correct in your assesmnet of what I am doing. I double down only through the third inning of the playoff games. If it doesn't hit by the third inning, then I back up off of it. I don't want to wager more than $500.00 on this type of wager.
And beaner,
I don't look at who's pitching, the weather or where the game is played, or if it's Breast Cancer Awareness Day or the 4th of July. I just do it without emotion, with no regard for situations knowing that it's all about counting my bankroll at the end of the season. I keep a totally seperate account for it away from all my other wagers. It's like day trading with more lucrative results. I don't touch it until the year is over. Once the year is over, then I live off of it until the next baseball season, pulling out $2500.00 a week at a time.
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Dreamchaser,
I start off with $4000.00 to absorb the ups and downs involved with doing this type of wager. Each year there are roughly 350-400 times more often than not that a run scores in the 1st inning. When you multiply that by the $200.00 I put up on each game then you have a total of $80,000.00 or so because there is usually plus money involved as the public has it in their head that a run won't score in the 1st inning. A question for you. If that were so, why do you think that bookmakers offer that prop? It's the ultimate sign that books take advantage of the average person's thought process.
pats16-02009
You are correct in your assesmnet of what I am doing. I double down only through the third inning of the playoff games. If it doesn't hit by the third inning, then I back up off of it. I don't want to wager more than $500.00 on this type of wager.
And beaner,
I don't look at who's pitching, the weather or where the game is played, or if it's Breast Cancer Awareness Day or the 4th of July. I just do it without emotion, with no regard for situations knowing that it's all about counting my bankroll at the end of the season. I keep a totally seperate account for it away from all my other wagers. It's like day trading with more lucrative results. I don't touch it until the year is over. Once the year is over, then I live off of it until the next baseball season, pulling out $2500.00 a week at a time.
Once again, there is way too much value not to bet the blue tonight. +145 with Billingsley on the mound against Zambrano who has been very suspect of late. Didn't think I would be able to take LA on both games, but after last night watching Dempster cough up 7 walks to a very patient and loose Dodger team, I'm all over the value IMO on the better team.
LA ML+145
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Once again, there is way too much value not to bet the blue tonight. +145 with Billingsley on the mound against Zambrano who has been very suspect of late. Didn't think I would be able to take LA on both games, but after last night watching Dempster cough up 7 walks to a very patient and loose Dodger team, I'm all over the value IMO on the better team.
There were no 1st Inning scores on Tuesday or Wednesday. I would be more inclined to wager on all 3 that there will not be a 1st inning score and hope to hit 2 out of the 3. Looks like there is a better chance of a 1st inning score NOT happening in the playoffs. I hit last night on betting there would NOTbe a 1st inning score in the Sox LAA game. It was close though, I must admit I was sweating it out..... But I like your insight
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WATCH:
There were no 1st Inning scores on Tuesday or Wednesday. I would be more inclined to wager on all 3 that there will not be a 1st inning score and hope to hit 2 out of the 3. Looks like there is a better chance of a 1st inning score NOT happening in the playoffs. I hit last night on betting there would NOTbe a 1st inning score in the Sox LAA game. It was close though, I must admit I was sweating it out..... But I like your insight
Looked at at the bets for the playoffs and they all are + for the a run in the 1st, obviously - for not scoring a run in the 1st. So, you are on to something, but nothing the book is not aware of. But the thing I am most interested in is, why are you telling everyone about it. You remind me of a guy who is selling a book "Get Rich in a Week", why would the guy have to sell a book, if he can get rich. I think you are trying to get people to bet with you, drop the odds against and reap the benefits. Since the book wants to get the as close to 50/50 split on the bets , so they wont incur loses and just collect the juice. Or you work for a book. Either way, no good.
PS, I love the Cubbies, but Z has not won a playoff game and he ihas been all over the place lately. Bad choice not pulling Dempster after he walked the bases loaded. Cubs style.
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Hey Watch,
Looked at at the bets for the playoffs and they all are + for the a run in the 1st, obviously - for not scoring a run in the 1st. So, you are on to something, but nothing the book is not aware of. But the thing I am most interested in is, why are you telling everyone about it. You remind me of a guy who is selling a book "Get Rich in a Week", why would the guy have to sell a book, if he can get rich. I think you are trying to get people to bet with you, drop the odds against and reap the benefits. Since the book wants to get the as close to 50/50 split on the bets , so they wont incur loses and just collect the juice. Or you work for a book. Either way, no good.
PS, I love the Cubbies, but Z has not won a playoff game and he ihas been all over the place lately. Bad choice not pulling Dempster after he walked the bases loaded. Cubs style.
I appreciate your insight, but i don't care about everyone in her getting rich right along with me. obviously you did your homework and found out that it is a big moneymaker. I am not trying to persuade anyone to bet with me, I was just answering beaners' question. Why would I sell valuable informaton if I can give it away for free? Don't you see how the economy is today? Woouldn't yo like for someone to help you make some money on the side without having to brea out the lawnmower? A nice thank you would be fine to show that I know my stuff and am not afraid to help anyone out if they are financially strapped. What i get form your comments is that you are not about helping your fellow men and you would rather have kept that information a secret unto yourself and watch others slide further into poverty. The one thing I did not see you type was the words "it doesn't work". You know why? Because you did your homework and can't see how anyone could possibly give away a gold mine for free. I don't work for a book. I work for me, and I am giving out advice just like all the other people on this thread who are trying to help others make a buck. Don't knock it until you try it. In these hard times you might want to try to give some sound financial advice if you have any to give.
I will give further advice to use the profits gained from such wagers and purchase some Berkshire Hathaway stock with the rewards, and let a heavyweight do the investing for you and collect your dividends. Do you have a problem with that too?
I'm not into selling anything, or processing anything that can be bought or sold, or buying anything that can be processed and sold. I'm just your average everyday good guy who wants to see beaner and others do well.
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circa
I appreciate your insight, but i don't care about everyone in her getting rich right along with me. obviously you did your homework and found out that it is a big moneymaker. I am not trying to persuade anyone to bet with me, I was just answering beaners' question. Why would I sell valuable informaton if I can give it away for free? Don't you see how the economy is today? Woouldn't yo like for someone to help you make some money on the side without having to brea out the lawnmower? A nice thank you would be fine to show that I know my stuff and am not afraid to help anyone out if they are financially strapped. What i get form your comments is that you are not about helping your fellow men and you would rather have kept that information a secret unto yourself and watch others slide further into poverty. The one thing I did not see you type was the words "it doesn't work". You know why? Because you did your homework and can't see how anyone could possibly give away a gold mine for free. I don't work for a book. I work for me, and I am giving out advice just like all the other people on this thread who are trying to help others make a buck. Don't knock it until you try it. In these hard times you might want to try to give some sound financial advice if you have any to give.
I will give further advice to use the profits gained from such wagers and purchase some Berkshire Hathaway stock with the rewards, and let a heavyweight do the investing for you and collect your dividends. Do you have a problem with that too?
I'm not into selling anything, or processing anything that can be bought or sold, or buying anything that can be processed and sold. I'm just your average everyday good guy who wants to see beaner and others do well.
Cubs is the play here they need to get 1 back at HOME or they are doomed But I agree with Pronk Zambrano has been Dr. Jekyll & Mr Hide just don't no whos gonna show up ??? But Cubs is the play or no play otherwise
CUBBIES ML
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Cubs is the play here they need to get 1 back at HOME or they are doomed But I agree with Pronk Zambrano has been Dr. Jekyll & Mr Hide just don't no whos gonna show up ??? But Cubs is the play or no play otherwise
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