Washington at Los Angeles (01/22/2009)

Away:  Washington [17-24 ATS]
Home:  L.A. Lakers [19-22 ATS]

Game Time: 10:30 PM
Stadium: Staples Center

Recent Meetings:
12/05/08 - LAL 106 vs. WAS 104

Team Leaders:

Washington:
Points: Antawn Jamison (20.9)
Assists: Caron Butler (4.2)
Rebounds: Antawn Jamison (9.0)

L.A. Lakers:
Points: Kobe Bryant (26.8)
Assists: Kobe Bryant (5.2)
Rebounds: Pau Gasol (9.2)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

WAS weak D + LAL strong O = Over

Boston Under
Washington Over
Don't get fooled.
One of these is guaranteed or your money sucks.

Does that come as a written guarantee?  

LAL win by 24

Washington gives up too many points of late and has only won 3 road dates all year. We/L.A. may not cover but I'll tab us SU.

bigeiii

i think 4 team parlays are for suckers.

i want to bet on the magic and i want the magic to cover, but its hard not to take the celtics and 5 points with the way garnett/pierce/allen even rondo have been playin lately.

more of my red star is filled in than yours, hence, my opinion is more valuable.

magic, under   /   wizards, over.

parlay that.

Wizards at Lakers -14,5
"Bball is about matchups"

Wiz missing Agent Zero, B Hayward, D Stevenson
Lakers Farmar out

Both teams played last night.

Bynum coming off 42pt gm and Blatche should be outmatched.
J McGee is a rookie, and Songalia is too short so expect Bynum to get some tonight. Also after getting dunked on repeatedly by D Jordan last night he might have to play D tonight to appease Jackson.

Kobe looked fine last night, finger is not a problem and since he only scored 18 he will need some pts to keep him in the scoring leader board.

Kinda like last night w/ Lakers playing bad team missing starters.

Question is will Lakers blow out Wizards and cover the 15?
Lakers will win but by how much?

Past history does not support a cover.
In the 18 games that Lakers were favs by 11pts or more, they covered 5 times. (28%)

Wizards beat Sac last night shooting 51%.

C Butler had 32 pts 52% avg 20.3, A Jamison 33 pts 57% avg 21.4 and A Blatche w/ 20 pts 70% avg 7.5

I don't know if Wizards can put those kind of numbers up again tonight, Butler and Jamison will have to play most of the game and probably not play much D

Last time in Dec Wiz vs Lakers, Lakers were 12 pt favs and were leading by 15 pts going into the 4th Q only to be outscored by 13 and make the gm close and Wiz covered.

Last night Clip vs Lakers, Lakers were 16 pt favs and were leading by 15 pts going into the 4th Q only to go over 6 min w/o a score.(Clippers only gained 4 pts in 4th though, but covered)

O/U at 208, so Lakers to cover and hit the 208 combined, the score needs to be 111 to 97. Seems possible.

In recent gms Wiz has avg 103 way over their season avg of 94.

Taking the over at 208

how often do you go 4-0 in a night?  if it's not that hard to do you wouldn't be chasing your loses.  play 4 games straight and go 4-0 and you should "get back."  even 3-1 should be a nice positive day to help you re-coop.  4 teamers are hard to hit.  anything more than 2 is hard to hit.

i don't guarantee anything, but i like both of these plays.

taking the over in this one.  as others have stated.....

 

washington lack of D + lakers offense = over

plus, lakers playing B2B which means they may be a bit tired.  tired legs means less effort on the defensive end. 

GL

Problem with the above is . . . the lack of Laker defense is mystifying and The Wiz will get lay-ups.

Over 208.5, thanks