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Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (11/20/2008)

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Posted: #26
I am lovin Cincy here.  Pittsburgh is struggling and Cincy is starting to look respectable.  Division Rivalry game and revenge from a previous spanking.  Bad weather is going to keep the scoring down, so if I picked overs and unders I would be leaning towards the under.
 
Cincy + 10.5  (4 units)
 
 
 
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Posted: #27
Pittsburgh gets chewed up here, slow and painfully,Polamalu gets his helmet knocked off again and gets another concusion and Hines
 Ward breaks his leg! By-By to Pittsburghs season  The Bengals are starting to smell blood!!!  Bengals 17-10
 
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Posted: #28

Quote Originally Posted by easypics:

Hey CalBear, In Case you have'nt noticed Colonel's last threads...Seems he's been hittin the holiday  juice just a lil' early this year !
LOL you got that one right easypics  especially after I say my 401k at 0.00

I really started hitting the Jim Beam pretty hard

 
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Posted: #29

Head to Head Stats

 

PIT CIN
Record 4-1-0 1-4-0
Points 129 78
1st Downs 119 76
3rd Down Conversions 34/64 27/70
4th Down Conversions 3/3 4/7
Total Plays 339 for 1897 yards 299 for 1298 yards
Rushing Plays 178 for 763 yards 107 for 380 yards
Passing Plays (Comp/Att) 97/156 102/178
Passing Yards 1152 1007
Passing Touchdowns 8 8
Interceptions Thrown 7 2
Sacks 14 5
Punts 16 for 581 net yards 26 for 998 net yards
Penalties 22 for 198 yards 25 for 195 yards
Fumbles-Lost 7-5 9-4
Time of Possession 34:57 25:36
Kick Returns 15 for 283 yards 25 for 552 yards
Punt Returns 11 for 49 yards 9 for 30 yards
Interception Returns 2 for 34 yards 7 for 120 yards
Field Goals 6/7 5/7

 

These are the stats for the last 5 match-ups, and before anyone goes off and says, "the last game means shit", I couldn't agree more...BUT I gotta say that there are plus sides to taking Pittsburg.

I also know that double-digit dogs cover a ridiculous amount of the time!

I highlighted the three stats in green I THINK are going to give Pitt the edge and give them a late 4th quarter cover.

The one thing I know can, and probably will hurt them, is Big Ben throwing the rock around like it's a red-headed step-child. You gotta learn to protect that ball son!

MY PICK: Pittsburg -10.5

 
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Posted: #30
saw
 
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Posted: #31
Bengals + 10
 
 
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Posted: #32
UNDER ... I'm telling you guys Cincy has 2 offensive lineman out!!
 
Pitt will blitz like crazy and Bengals will be lucky to score 10
 
Also Punt returner is out too (Chatman)
 
TAKE UNDER AND STEELERS!!!
 
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Posted: #33
Hey Dencol Jauron is an idiot

He is so F***N stubborn and so cautious it is TERRIBLE

I have been a Bills fan since '89 and let me tell u this team WILL NOT make the playoffs

I know my team sucks cause they have no DEPTH and when players like Schobel and Reed are out they lose!!!

I will always be a Bills fan though

And I will tell you when to bet against them like I did on MONDAY NIGHT and I banked total of 8 units

 
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Posted: #34
I said 23-21 with the stumbling bumbling Bills hitting a filed goal in the last seconds but Jauron with the run play on 3rd down and not going for the THROAT and PASSING THE BALL cost them the game

Jauron is not a good coach   Injuries = fade the Bills

 
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Posted: #35
BeatDaBook...
32 Million dollars lost ??..Wow.. I did not realize that TD would be cost that much...Good Infor...
 
Cincy + 11
Over 33.5
Good Luck to all
 
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Posted: #36
flurries are the forcast all day...that shouldnt be a factor! over went down!! I thought 35 was a blessing....
 
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Posted: #37
i'm working on a brand new system for the nfl that is based on the following numbers....

points for
points for scored on the road / home
points against
points against on the road / home

this will be the first week i'm attempting this formula. we'll see how it goes.

i have it calculated that the bengals will score around 15.55 and the steelers will score around 23.5. obviously, they can't score decimals of points, but i'm going to use the decimals instead of rounding it. those two numbers would give us a combined score of 39.05.

the line is steelers -10 and the O/U is 34.5.

i already liked the bengals + the points and i had a lean on the over, so this new system would only back my thinking.

these numbers are close to the actual lines and i may adjust my thinking by looking for games that have bigger point differentials.  
 
this is a work in progress, so bear with me.
 
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Posted: #38
I wish all the people who had the steelers would quit crying that they got screwed.
 
You werent suppose to cover the game, and thats that.
 
It's over ...let go!!
 
Now on to the matchup;
Pitt makes up for all the people who bet them last week, and the bookies take advantage of people still riding big dogs. So my advice to you if your taking the Bungles, when willie parker is done running all over you and theres nothing you can do to stop the pain, remember I told you so. When Fitz jack off gets pummled, sacked, and intercepted and you cant seem to stop the pain, remember I told you so. I like 24-3 or 24-0  Steelers 
 
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Posted: #39
last time was 38-10 pittsburg in cincy....that is the most cincy has given up to any team this year......pittsburg at home is due to kick it....cincy is only looking forward to ONE thing..and it aint playoffs....its that top draft pic...the steelers need the win....snow showers are nothing.....SNOW is different...keep betting that over under down for me !! please ...gl!!
 
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Posted: #40
I'll probably be on a plane ride before this game is over with but will probably throw in an investment on this one closer to game time to check on the weather.

I feel it's a tough spot for the Bengals due to playing a full extra qtr on Sunday in OT and having to travel to Pittsburgh for a Thursday game.

I feel this might be a slow start for the Bengals and it's hard to imagine them trying to mix their offense up with a weak running game and a back up qb facing a very tough Steeler defense.

Can't see the Bengals defense stopping Big Ben & Co. as Willie Parker was back last week and should be even better in this one.

Leaning on the Steelers at the half -7
 
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Posted: #41

This is my 2 cents on how to be consistent in capping games.

1. Always know the situation of the team that your gonna pick. If unsure dont EVER FORCE THE ISSUE. There is always tomorrow.

2. Dont waste all your ammo on on game. One thing i learned is that there is no such thing as a " LOCK ".

3. Lastly , Stupid stats like 0-8 vs NFC west are irrelevant to the game.

BOLA this weekend @!@!@!@@@!

 
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Posted: #42

Quote Originally Posted by dencol:



AGREE

 

that makes no sence!! That play would not have taken place if Pitt was down??

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #43
pitt
 
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Posted: #44
DoubleD6 thanks for the Nice stat write up,,teased pitt-8,,GL
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by WinsNow999:

BeatDaBook...
32 Million dollars lost ??..Wow.. I did not realize that TD would be cost that much...Good Infor...
 
Cincy + 11
Over 33.5
Good Luck to all
How did you come up with that number?
 
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Posted: #46
2 teams tease
Pitt and Under
 
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Posted: #47
If Fitzy rolls out 10 -15 times and buys a little more time for Chad to do his magic and to keep Pitt off balance Cincy keeps this close.I like the way Brady Quin rolled out alot against the Bills Monday Night,Fitzy can do the same and open up alot more options For the Bengals offense
 
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Posted: #48
Somebody tell me how the Bengals will score? What do they have on the offensive side of the ball? Seems that Pittsburg has the top D in the league.
 
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Posted: #49
Bengalfan9. I agree with your analysis. I think the Steelers roll.
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by DyHardBillsFan:

I said 23-21 with the stumbling bumbling Bills hitting a filed goal in the last seconds but Jauron with the run play on 3rd down and not going for the THROAT and PASSING THE BALL cost them the game

Jauron is not a good coach   Injuries = fade the Bills


Hey Bud
I am still pissed off at Jauron...Almost any coach I can think of (No, not Herm Edwards) would have taken Edwards out when he was afraid to pull the trigger  on his throws,,,He made the Browns D look like 95 Bears...
Jauron must go and obviously you need a QB..

The points are tempting tonight as Ben is pretty inept and the Steelers have offensively challenged coaches...My thought is the Bengals shot a huge load and did not win against a Philly team ( I had Bengals +9 and ML ) and I think they will roll over here and just play dead...
I think the Steelers D could cover the spread....Everybody forgets about the Steeler game Sunday ..(THEY WON)

Steelers - pts

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