Green Bay at Buffalo (12/14/2014)

Away:  Green Bay [7-5-1 ATS]
Home:  Buffalo [7-6 ATS]

Game Time: 1:00 PM
Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium

Featured Lines

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

Green Bay:
Passing: Aaron Rodgers (3652)
Rushing: Eddie Lacy (843)
Receiving: Jordy Nelson (1265)

Buffalo:
Passing: Kyle Orton (2355)
Rushing: Fred Jackson (387)
Receiving: Sammy Watkins (822)

Will Green Bay play only the first half then let Buffalo score 30 points?  I wonder if the BLACK LIMO visited Green Bay. 

No play for this game. 

GREEN BAY      -  4.5

UNDER       50.5

Sigh.  Vegas cleans up on this one.  Green Bay is not the same team on the road.  Last road game they beat the Vikings by only three.  Before that they LOST to the Saints.  Before that, beat the Dolphins by only three.  Packers will go to cold, snowy Buffalo and do just enough to bring home a win.  No cover.  But everyone will jump on the Pack because the remember how good they've looked at home recently.  And this is Buffalo, after all.  Vegas is licking it's lips and rubbing its corpulent tummy...

BUFFALO +5

Green Bay -  27                              Buffalo - 26

Bills +4                                      over 50.5

Bills are 4-0 ats last 4 meetings vs the pack. I'll take the points.

Bills - Over 

Buffalo not only cover but wins

Underdog Week

Green Bay (-4) 27 BUFFALO 20

The Bills were able to get the back door cover last week after trailing the Broncos 3-21 in a game that Denver controlled before two fourth quarter Buffalo touchdowns made the score respectable. Just the opposite in Green Bay as the Packers jumped out to a 31-7 halftime lead against Atlanta on Monday night football before letting up a bit in the second half to make the game appear to be closer than it actually was. I have read this week that Green Bay could be in a bit of a flat spot here off the Monday night game and travelling to play a non-conference opponent but I’m not buying it as they have just a one game lead over Detroit in the division and are also playing for home field advantage throughout the playoffs. This is clearly a quarterback mismatch featuring Aaron Rodgers, who has been unbelievably good, taking on Kyle Orton, who has been predictably mediocre. Green Bay is just 2-4 ATS on the road this year but the Bills are just 3-4 ATS at home.

The Bills have a chance to make this one close, however, based on their defensive play. Buffalo has been very good both against the run and the pass and overall are allowing just 312 total yards at 5.0 yppl to teams that gain 343 yards at 5.4 yppl. However, the Packers offense has been excellent in gaining 6.5 yppl against teams that allow 5.6 yppl. The Packers rush defense has been a little below average overall (allowing 131 yards at 4.6 ypr against teams that gain 116 yards at 4.5 ypr) and if the Bills can get some movement on the ground they may be able to control the clock and keep this one close. Packers minus the points.

{Rodgers has thrown 16 touchdowns without an interception during the team's five-game winning streak heading into Sunday's showdown at the Buffalo Bills}

4 of those games were at home, and one was against crap Minnesota. I bet he throws 2 against the Bills and their #5 ranked defense...

{Lacy has a hip injury but will likely be ready for Sunday's game against the Bills.}

This doesn't help either. Short week, on the road in Buffalo? Vegas cleans up with this game..

Bills S/U