first off, i wouldn't call that smart. you can win half OR you can lose all of the rent. and you're really going with a 1000 to win 550 wager? what kind of a teaser is that?
one hot weekend does not make up for the months, or even years, he has spent losing money.
i had a hot weekend too going 7-3. maybe you should follow me.
i'm on the saints and i love the fact that this game is down to a pick'em because of the public hammering green bay. fpronk, i know you've been around the block and you know what happens when joe public is all on one side.
my reason for the saints pick is very simple. i think home field advantage plays a big part. the saints are 3-1 at home. now granted, they really haven't played the toughest of competition, but i wouldn't necessarily call the packers a power house either. green bay is 2-3 on the road and they do have some loses to tough competition.
i can't take credit for this writeup, it came from a fellow capper that i respect very much, but what he put on paper is exactly how i feel about this one.......
alright we have the pack at the saints, both teams are 5-5. Saints have a nice 3-1 home record with the only blemish coming against my underachieving/underrated Vikes. Packers are 2-3 on the road nothing to write home about but not a bad road record either. But then you see that they only beat the seahawks and the lions when they were on the road...Red flags are popping up u guys.
Im seeing a lot of "If the Saints can keep up with the Packs O" This makes me laugh Brees is having an unbelievable year throwing the ball, In NO he has not been outpassed this year. Im also seeing a lot of packers O should run over the bad Saints D. The fact of the matter is the Saints D only gives up 25 more ypg then the packers, While they Saints O gains over 80 more ypg then the Pack. Home/Away splits it gets even juicier. Saints out gain the pack O by 130 ypg, and the D gives up 14 LESS ypg. As you can see packers on the road are not impressive stat wise. do not beleive the hype.
Adding to the yardage discrepencies, Saints have only been outgained twice, to the redskins and by only 40 to the chargers in the london rain. Pack have been outgained 4 time; 3 blowouts to MN, Dal, TB. and MN again small on opening day... The pack also tied in total yard against Indy, outgained Ten by only 43. I dont see dominance in those performances i see an average NFL team that play Avg on the road. For the Saints I see an Avg NFL team currently who, takes it to whoever at home.
GL
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