I don't think the public is going to be "all over" the Bills. And correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't the Colts cover on Thursday night last week? It doesn't get more public than that!
After careful consideration, I am circling the wagon with the Buffalo Bills tonight. I just don't like the rookie quarterback going on the road with a short work week, especially after that abysmal performance vs the Titans. Andrew Luck was able to pull it off last week against a hopeless Jacksonville team, but I think the Bills will be more up to the task tonight.
I am backing the Bills even though there are 2 strong trends in place that says I shouldn't. First, Miami is 8-0-3 ATS in their last 11 road games when an underdog of 3 points or less. Second, Miami has been 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when facing an AFC East opponent. Well as they say in Wall Street, "past performance is not indicative of future returns".
If there were ever a time for this trend to end, it would be tonight. Buffalo is on a 3 game bender, losing a heartbreaker at home to Tennessee (they played them much tougher than Miami did), and then losing on the road to two of the best teams in the AFC, the Texans and the Patriots. After playing back-to-back road games against two of the AFC's finest, Buffalo will finally get some home cooking and return to the comfy confines of Ralph Wilson Stadium. Buffalo doesn't normally support a strong home field advantage. In fact, they actually have a lousy home field advantage with their one straight up win and cover coming against the Kansas City Chiefs all the way back in week 2. That's right Buffalo hasn't won a home game since week 2.
Well, with Buffalo sporting a lousy home field advantage and Miami being quite the opposite, you are probably wondering why I am on the Bills bandwagon?
Well, tonight things will be a little different, and I expect the home field advantage to be much stronger for 2 main reasons. First, this is the first prime time home game in Orchard Park since 2008. And this may shock some people, but the Buffalo Bills website has recently reported that the game has been sold out!! Buffalo normally doens't sellout any games, as Ralph Wilson Stadium is usually running at about 85% capacity. The temperature is also supposed to be in the low 30s at kickoff, and we all know that the boys from South Florida aren't used to playing in those conditions.
Unless you guys could talk me out of it, I'm taking the Bills tonight.
I don't think the public is going to be "all over" the Bills. And correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't the Colts cover on Thursday night last week? It doesn't get more public than that!
After careful consideration, I am circling the wagon with the Buffalo Bills tonight. I just don't like the rookie quarterback going on the road with a short work week, especially after that abysmal performance vs the Titans. Andrew Luck was able to pull it off last week against a hopeless Jacksonville team, but I think the Bills will be more up to the task tonight.
I am backing the Bills even though there are 2 strong trends in place that says I shouldn't. First, Miami is 8-0-3 ATS in their last 11 road games when an underdog of 3 points or less. Second, Miami has been 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when facing an AFC East opponent. Well as they say in Wall Street, "past performance is not indicative of future returns".
If there were ever a time for this trend to end, it would be tonight. Buffalo is on a 3 game bender, losing a heartbreaker at home to Tennessee (they played them much tougher than Miami did), and then losing on the road to two of the best teams in the AFC, the Texans and the Patriots. After playing back-to-back road games against two of the AFC's finest, Buffalo will finally get some home cooking and return to the comfy confines of Ralph Wilson Stadium. Buffalo doesn't normally support a strong home field advantage. In fact, they actually have a lousy home field advantage with their one straight up win and cover coming against the Kansas City Chiefs all the way back in week 2. That's right Buffalo hasn't won a home game since week 2.
Well, with Buffalo sporting a lousy home field advantage and Miami being quite the opposite, you are probably wondering why I am on the Bills bandwagon?
Well, tonight things will be a little different, and I expect the home field advantage to be much stronger for 2 main reasons. First, this is the first prime time home game in Orchard Park since 2008. And this may shock some people, but the Buffalo Bills website has recently reported that the game has been sold out!! Buffalo normally doens't sellout any games, as Ralph Wilson Stadium is usually running at about 85% capacity. The temperature is also supposed to be in the low 30s at kickoff, and we all know that the boys from South Florida aren't used to playing in those conditions.
Unless you guys could talk me out of it, I'm taking the Bills tonight.
I'll be at Rich Stadium tonight. 
Let's go Bills! 
Interesting....according to wikipedia, the average attendance at Ralph Wilson the last two years has been at 62,950. Thats well below the 74,000 seating capacity. I'm still sticking with the Bills. Plus W8lifter is on the Bills. What more do you need to know? lol
Interesting....according to wikipedia, the average attendance at Ralph Wilson the last two years has been at 62,950. Thats well below the 74,000 seating capacity. I'm still sticking with the Bills. Plus W8lifter is on the Bills. What more do you need to know? lol
Everyone seems to be on Buffalo and the line has shifted 3 points already. I'm kind of surprised. I thought it'd be more split.
3 of Miami's 5 losses were by 3 points. And the other two were the season opener at Houston and Sunday's debacle. A huge let down game where their best offensive player only had 5 touches and was benched. Miami and Bush will have a lot to prove.
Both of these teams have to travel on a short week. Buffalo will not have Fred Jackson and Johnston is banged up too. MIami won in Buffalo last year. The fact that Miami had that let down game tells me they will come out with a lot to prove here. They allowed their first 100 rusher in 22 games. I'm sure the defense was proud of that and will have Spiller on lock.
I like Miami to play a much better defensive game this week and get Bush involved early. Waiting until game time to see if it gets to +3
MIAMI!!!
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LARGE 
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