New York at Cincinnati (01/09/2010)

Quote Originally Posted by W8LIFTER:

Called smart money, bro. . .

Quote Originally Posted by tay68:

last week the JETS just got luck to win that game... But the real game is here for the CINCINNATI so Jake Palmer will take his team to the next level......  

Quote Originally Posted by angrytiger:

A lot to think about in this game and there are some pretty compelling arguments for Cincy in this thread if you look at key wins or losses during the season.

Irish is right - that Jets 10-7 loss to Atlanta is troubling.
And Shickson's idea re. Cincy's holding out a game plan to learn from what the Jets did last week is also interesting.

However, when I just look at the way I think these two teams match up specifically against one another, what I keep coming back to is the struggles the Nati. offense has had in it's last 8 weeks.

Which is that they're averaging 15.6 points a game.
In their last 22 red zone trips they only have 7 touchdowns.
They are the worst scoring team in the playoffs (at 24th).
And Cedric Benson hasn't scored one since November 8th.

Ocho Cinco himself said the offense "has been struggling all season" and we saw some evidence last week that if he gets blanketed by a shut-down corner, taking away their ability to stretch the field, their running game will struggle as well. 

Another stat I found is that Carson Palmer's numbers drop significantly when he faces 5 rushers instead of 4, and we know for a fact that Jets really like rushing more than 4 guys at the quarterback.

You think about all of the above and realize they're going up against the Jets defense and to me, it's just a mismatch.

On the Jet's side of the ball, the Bengals obviously do have a strong defense and are getting a couple of healthy guys back, though they lose Ray Maulauga.  And yes, Sanchez is a rook, although has had NO turnovers in the last two weeks based on a recent awareness that it's important, and he is no stranger to big game atmospheres.  We also know the kid is scrappy and not afraid to run for a first down or scramble to make a play if he needs to.

The Jets, and I had to look at this one twice, have averaged 172 yards rushing a game this season!?  In the NFL?!  Those are college numbers man!  Regardless of what happens today, that's just sick.  Faneca and Mangold are both going to the pro bowl and as a team they broke the franchise record cashing in 2756 yards on the season.

Everyone keeps bringing up the fact that the last two teams they faced tanked their games allowing them to roll into the playoffs and while that is absolutely the truth it still allowed New York to create an enormous amount of momentum and confidence coming into this game.

One other X-factor is the Jets actually have more playoff experienced guys on their roster than the Bengals, 26 to 13.

All the Chris Henry V. Rex Ryan braggadocio can just be thrown out the window in my opinion.

The guys are going to decide this game on the field and unless Cincinnati produces a dramatic turnaround offensively from what they've shown in the last 2 months of football, the Jets are going to win this game.

very good in depth research,tiger.i'm all over JETS/OVER.was before but now i'm really there!!!! 

Quote Originally Posted by implusive:

Now,,,,Covers.com has it back to Cinci -2.5.....r they fucking with us or what?

Quote Originally Posted by W8LIFTER:

Called the books suckering inexperienced bettors in, as you can see now. . .

Quote Originally Posted by Coloneljim:

New York - 20                                     Cincinnati - 16

Jets +4                              under 45

Cincy is a pretty good bounce back team, but if the Jets could hold up defensively and Sanchez could avoid any costly mistakes they just might exit the Queen City with an upset "W".

I'll take the Jets +4 

Quote Originally Posted by spitfire9:

 Congrats on them Jets and all J E T S backers however 8Dumblifter you aint in no position to brag looking at your recent picks.