Pittsburgh at Denver (11/09/2009)

First of all, why the f**k is Denver getting any points? They should be giving them. They're the better team AND at home!

Denver is 6-1 ATS and beat S.D. 34-23, N.E. 20-17 and DAL 17-10...plus the bengals, browns and oakland. The Steelers are 2-5 ATS, in other words, THEY DON'T COVER. Doesn't take a genius to figure this one out.

I'll take Denver the points and the over for a great MNF game.

i like your teaser lol im playin a teaser also

Denver +9

over 35.5

In this entire thread, I think I have seen Polamalu's name once... He is an X-Factor... He's good for 7 alone. Dawkins & now Law in the nickle for Denver... Good for another 7.

This game has over written all over it!! Games that are drawn up to be defensive struggles somehow always become shootouts. Both teams can run & both QB ratings are 90+. This isn't the second game of the season, what have these teams shown the last 8 weeks? And for "Pete's" sake can people please stop referring to Orton and last year. People that refer to last years stats have obviously never played sports!!!

Play... OV 41 & I am in the middle of flipping a coin for the side. This side could go either way, but my lean is Pitt.

Good Luck to all....

like the over ,steelers have been giving up more points this year.we have had trouble runing the ball.denver will not stop passing game. score steelers 24-denver 17.

I like PIT here all the way!  Gotta play the stats here.  Teams coming off a bye cover a significant amount of the time!  See below (quoted by docsports.com)

2008 - Actually, blindly betting teams coming off a bye last year would have been a pretty good idea as it turns out. Teams coming off a bye were 20-12 ATS last season. Four games were played between two bye teams, so if you take those out then bye teams playing non-bye teams were an impressive 16-8 ATS. It's not hard to make money betting when you are right two-thirds of the time. It also was a reasonably stable way to grow your bankroll - there were several break-even weekends (excluding the juice), but none that were flat-out losers. That seems pretty promising. But can it continue for another year?

2007 - Maybe handicapping the NFL is that easy after all. Teams coming off of a bye week were 19-12-1 ATS. That's a 61.3 percent winning clip - more than enough to make a healthy profit. There was one losing week this year - 2-4 ATS in week nine - but the season also ended off with a perfect 4-0 ATS week in week 11. Impressive, but it seems too good to last, doesn't it? We'd better check out one more year just to be sure.

2006 - Okay, this is becoming more and more convincing the more we look at it. In 2006, teams went 19-12-1 ATS in their first game after a bye week. Two games that season involved two teams coming off the bye, so excluding those the ATS record was an impressive 17-10-1 - a juicy 63 percent winning rate. That means that for each of the last three years you could have made a very healthy profit just by blindly betting on these teams.

When a game is too close to call... take the team with the points. When it's the home team & MNF, it makes it that much easier. I really think Pitt wins this game, but I have to make the smart play and take the home dog that is 6-1 ATS, especially on MNF with the public on the other side. I can't rationalize chasing money with Pitt...

Final play...  Den +3 ($1)  Ov 41 ($1) 

Good luck to all...

pitt and under

Steelers and the OVER in a close one!

MONDAY NIGHT PRIME TIME. WHAT! WHO DOESN'T WAN'T TO BE ON TV. BRONCOS AT HOME AND UNDER DOGS, COMMON GIVE ME A BREAK. PITT W/ OUT 3 STARTING DEFENSIVE PLAYERS, COMING OFFF A LOSS, BOTH TEAMS ARE MORE THAN CAPABLE TO SCORE MORE THAN 24 POINTS EACH ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY NIGHT.

BRONCOS 35            BROCOS SU

PITT       24                   + OVER 40

I think turnovers contribute to the over, especially when that over is 41. Special teams contribute as well... Tackles are what linemen & linebackers focus on... Safety(s) & Corners create turnovers... Dawkins & Polamalu are specialists in this area, in my opinion. 

That's what I mean by X-factor... Best of luck Breakabookie!

Wanted the over but decided that my balls need a break and I should not try to get greedy on something I'm not comfortable with. Taking my weekend profit and sitting this one out

Good luck on this one everyone

Aloha

THANK YOU FOR SAYING SOMEHTING!!!

Denver + 1 

1st half 

Quote Originally Posted by Boludojones:




.....BTW - everybody, I'm pretty sure "Sporty Chick" is a "Sporty Dude"!    

... BTW - everybody, I'm pretty sure "boludojones" is a dork!

your a funny guy?...lol

Breakabookie...

Denver & Pitt have not played each other since 10/21/07... Last night's Dallas/Philly game was a defensive struggle because of familiarity. I don't think teams can get a feel for one another by simply watching film. 

If this game goes over the number, I don't necessarily think the offense will be the reason, even though both teams have the ability to strike. I think what you have laid out above solidifies my reasoning for the over... Good defenses create turnovers and give their offenses good field position.

Good Luck Sir!!