outside of the patriot game last year, I've always loved playing the bills as home dogs... I'm almost bummed that they're doing so well this year because I've been waiting for them to be such a good situational play but here it is... chargers have not been playing a consistently good 48 minutes and they haven't caught fire yet, but they're still favored because of how good they look at qualcom. Love the bills here
BUF +1
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outside of the patriot game last year, I've always loved playing the bills as home dogs... I'm almost bummed that they're doing so well this year because I've been waiting for them to be such a good situational play but here it is... chargers have not been playing a consistently good 48 minutes and they haven't caught fire yet, but they're still favored because of how good they look at qualcom. Love the bills here
Buffalo is injury free MrMannix. I am plugging them this game, as they are arguably one of the toughest teams to beat at home. With San Diego having won against the hapless Patriots under the bright lights, the Bills were at home watching the game and getting 2 weeks worth of tape. I think that San Diego will win the 1st half with the carry over effect having been the more active team, but Buffalo will win the 2nd half and the game overall due to their depth and freshness. With Ladanian not up to snuff, it's all about stopping Sproles and Gates. No problem.
The Bills always cover against the Chargers anyway.
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Buffalo is injury free MrMannix. I am plugging them this game, as they are arguably one of the toughest teams to beat at home. With San Diego having won against the hapless Patriots under the bright lights, the Bills were at home watching the game and getting 2 weeks worth of tape. I think that San Diego will win the 1st half with the carry over effect having been the more active team, but Buffalo will win the 2nd half and the game overall due to their depth and freshness. With Ladanian not up to snuff, it's all about stopping Sproles and Gates. No problem.
The Bills always cover against the Chargers anyway.
After they win here, they bring their portable tank with them to New Orleans for a non-conference road loss in a fifth road game in seven weeks prior to their bye. There are no potential standings tie-breakers to gain vs. New Orleans. Against Buffalo, there is a potential standings tie-breaker to gain, or a tie-breaker to gain against Denver (conference record) in SD's attempt to win the AFC West.
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The Chargers will show up here.
After they win here, they bring their portable tank with them to New Orleans for a non-conference road loss in a fifth road game in seven weeks prior to their bye. There are no potential standings tie-breakers to gain vs. New Orleans. Against Buffalo, there is a potential standings tie-breaker to gain, or a tie-breaker to gain against Denver (conference record) in SD's attempt to win the AFC West.
A huge reason to take the Bills here is because when a west coast team travels to the east coast for a 1 o'clock game then the home teams usually covers.
BILLS BILLS BILLS
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A huge reason to take the Bills here is because when a west coast team travels to the east coast for a 1 o'clock game then the home teams usually covers.
Buffalo's bye week is overrated. Overrated. Overrated. Relatively meaningless. Plus, they almost lost their "West to East" advantage game to disadvantaged Oakland outright, nowhere near covering. So many holes in the two flimsy cases being made for Buffalo.
The Bills were preparing for Miami and NYJ during their bye week. They know they can't beat San Diego and they know they'd better not lose to the AFC East opponents on deck, Miami and/or the Jets.
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Buffalo's bye week is overrated. Overrated. Overrated. Relatively meaningless. Plus, they almost lost their "West to East" advantage game to disadvantaged Oakland outright, nowhere near covering. So many holes in the two flimsy cases being made for Buffalo.
The Bills were preparing for Miami and NYJ during their bye week. They know they can't beat San Diego and they know they'd better not lose to the AFC East opponents on deck, Miami and/or the Jets.
That's good shit, peppy! But I've got to go the other way on this one. San Dog was playing under the big lights and won decisively in front of everyone. Buffalo has had a couple of weeks to gameplan and come up with sound strategy. Being that they are a home dog and play on turf and the Chargers play on natural grass, I see a distinct advantage there.
1 is 3 in football land, so essentially the Bills are getting 3 points at home. Being the home team means that all of the shitty calls will go their way. With consensus numbers all in favor of San Diego, I expect that the magic number 2 will present its'self by Sunday. If the Charger moneyline doesn't go to -130/+110 with the 2, and the consensus numbers stay the same then Buffy is the play. They are a smash mouth football team, and they will test the intestinal fortitude of the Chargers who wil lbe flying back east and playing at a time they are not accustomed to. The Bills vastly overlooked the Raiders, hence the struggles, but they will give the Chargers their full attention. So I guess we go head to head on this one. We are on the same side on Baltimore however!
Good luck as always
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That's good shit, peppy! But I've got to go the other way on this one. San Dog was playing under the big lights and won decisively in front of everyone. Buffalo has had a couple of weeks to gameplan and come up with sound strategy. Being that they are a home dog and play on turf and the Chargers play on natural grass, I see a distinct advantage there.
1 is 3 in football land, so essentially the Bills are getting 3 points at home. Being the home team means that all of the shitty calls will go their way. With consensus numbers all in favor of San Diego, I expect that the magic number 2 will present its'self by Sunday. If the Charger moneyline doesn't go to -130/+110 with the 2, and the consensus numbers stay the same then Buffy is the play. They are a smash mouth football team, and they will test the intestinal fortitude of the Chargers who wil lbe flying back east and playing at a time they are not accustomed to. The Bills vastly overlooked the Raiders, hence the struggles, but they will give the Chargers their full attention. So I guess we go head to head on this one. We are on the same side on Baltimore however!
<<<<< In my book... there is no sound strategy for beating San Diego. They are too good. Division rivals NYJ and Buf, another story -- not as good. Full attention to an opponent does not equal victory. San Diego had New England's full attention and lost by 20 points. Normally, a "smashmouth" football team gets better than 98 yards per game on the ground, as Buffalo is gaining.
Buffalo's #1 QB hasn't played in three weeks and has never thrown into San Diego's secondary, which picked Peyton Manning eight times last year.
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<<<<< In my book... there is no sound strategy for beating San Diego. They are too good. Division rivals NYJ and Buf, another story -- not as good. Full attention to an opponent does not equal victory. San Diego had New England's full attention and lost by 20 points. Normally, a "smashmouth" football team gets better than 98 yards per game on the ground, as Buffalo is gaining.
Buffalo's #1 QB hasn't played in three weeks and has never thrown into San Diego's secondary, which picked Peyton Manning eight times last year.
<<<<< In my book... there is no sound strategy for beating San Diego. They are too good. Division rivals NYJ and Buf, another story -- not as good. Full attention to an opponent does not equal victory. San Diego had New England's full attention and lost by 20 points. Normally, a "smashmouth" football team gets better than 98 yards per game on the ground, as Buffalo is gaining.
Buffalo's #1 QB hasn't played in three weeks and has never thrown into San Diego's secondary, which picked Peyton Manning eight times last year.
Retort
New England is not New England this year and is not worth mention with respect to San Diego's achievements this year. Jets are not playing in this game and also should not be mentioned with respect to this game. Peyton was picked off 8 times by the Chargers in a game last year. Can't keep alluding to teams that are not playing in this game as each week brings a new set of circumstances. Buffalo is a much more confident and special team this year, and San Diego is not playing the same brand of football this year.
Want proof? The Chargers are 31st against the pass this year allowing 253.5 yards per game compared to Buffalo's 8th ranked pass defense giving up 184.8. Which nullifys somewhat the edge that San Diego has in passing. Both teams have similar numbers against the rush with Buffy giving up 114 and San Diego 112. You mentioned that Buffalo only gains 98 yards a game on the ground, but you cleverly failed to mention that San Diego is also averaging 98 yards rushing too. Not enough advantages to be favored over Buffy. In short, San Diego is primed for an upset, and if they were such a superior team then why is the spread only -1 with 61% of bettors on their side? The number will creep up to 2, but the Bills should never get points at home. Here's why 7 out of the last 8 times that they have been a home dog they have covered. Check the record. We will soon know who is correct in their assessments.
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[Quote: Originally Posted by peppy222]
<<<<< In my book... there is no sound strategy for beating San Diego. They are too good. Division rivals NYJ and Buf, another story -- not as good. Full attention to an opponent does not equal victory. San Diego had New England's full attention and lost by 20 points. Normally, a "smashmouth" football team gets better than 98 yards per game on the ground, as Buffalo is gaining.
Buffalo's #1 QB hasn't played in three weeks and has never thrown into San Diego's secondary, which picked Peyton Manning eight times last year.
Retort
New England is not New England this year and is not worth mention with respect to San Diego's achievements this year. Jets are not playing in this game and also should not be mentioned with respect to this game. Peyton was picked off 8 times by the Chargers in a game last year. Can't keep alluding to teams that are not playing in this game as each week brings a new set of circumstances. Buffalo is a much more confident and special team this year, and San Diego is not playing the same brand of football this year.
Want proof? The Chargers are 31st against the pass this year allowing 253.5 yards per game compared to Buffalo's 8th ranked pass defense giving up 184.8. Which nullifys somewhat the edge that San Diego has in passing. Both teams have similar numbers against the rush with Buffy giving up 114 and San Diego 112. You mentioned that Buffalo only gains 98 yards a game on the ground, but you cleverly failed to mention that San Diego is also averaging 98 yards rushing too. Not enough advantages to be favored over Buffy. In short, San Diego is primed for an upset, and if they were such a superior team then why is the spread only -1 with 61% of bettors on their side? The number will creep up to 2, but the Bills should never get points at home. Here's why 7 out of the last 8 times that they have been a home dog they have covered. Check the record. We will soon know who is correct in their assessments.
also, this manning picked 8x last year thing is cute, but the chargers ALWAYS seem to have the colts number, so that is different... and since you seem to be smitten by the chargers for wins over NE and NYJ, maybe you should look back for their games against denver, carolina (at home), and even a squeaker in oakland... if the bills get up like oakland did, they will hold on.
BUF +1
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also, this manning picked 8x last year thing is cute, but the chargers ALWAYS seem to have the colts number, so that is different... and since you seem to be smitten by the chargers for wins over NE and NYJ, maybe you should look back for their games against denver, carolina (at home), and even a squeaker in oakland... if the bills get up like oakland did, they will hold on.
Gotta go with the Bills in this situation. SD coming off a big win over Pats on Sunday night and Bills having an extra week to prepare for this game. Looks like Edwards is good to go this Sunday.
Buffalo ML
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Gotta go with the Bills in this situation. SD coming off a big win over Pats on Sunday night and Bills having an extra week to prepare for this game. Looks like Edwards is good to go this Sunday.
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Oh yeah! This is the life. What are you doing?
Figuring. Figuring it out. I'm gonna take the Bills in this game, and they better not be getting points at home!
- Big and Easy
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