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Seattle at Denver (02/02/2014)

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Posted: #201
Here my play:

DENVER + OVER_ 47½

Bol to all
 
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Posted: #202
I like Denver to cover 2.5 points. My analysis is at handicappingwinners.com. Denver's D is much better than the stats look. They often give up yards and points after the game is already out of reach because of their big offense. Right now Denver's Defense is playing very well. They are going to blitz. Everyone talks about how athletic Wilson is but the fact is, he was sacked 44 times this season and also lead the league in pressured passes. Denver's no huddle offense will also take its toll because Seattle won't be able to substitute that much. Denver will control the clock. I see a low scoring game but Denver's defense holds Seattle to under 20 points and Denver covers. 
 
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Posted: #203

Here's my play.... Props to follow

 

Seattle +3..... I'm buying the line up BC I truly believe this will be a really close game.

 

right now its holding at 2. I'm hoping that the manning lovefest continues and the line moves up to save me juice, so I'm waiting until kickoff.

 

Seattle special teams best in the league, best defense, and Russell Wilson playing backyard chuck the ball downfield plus dual threat lynch/wilson are all reasons enough for me.

can't wait to see Welker fumble after getting hit over the middle by chancellor.

 

GL yo all!

 
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Posted: #204
Dual threat lynch/wilson run game ***
 
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Posted: #205
Quote Originally Posted by pando:

I like Denver to cover 2.5 points. My analysis is at handicappingwinners.com. Denver's D is much better than the stats look. They often give up yards and points after the game is already out of reach because of their big offense. Right now Denver's Defense is playing very well. They are going to blitz. Everyone talks about how athletic Wilson is but the fact is, he was sacked 44 times this season and also lead the league in pressured passes. Denver's no huddle offense will also take its toll because Seattle won't be able to substitute that much. Denver will control the clock. I see a low scoring game but Denver's defense holds Seattle to under 20 points and Denver covers. 

My gosh Pando one of the most reasonable posts this week
 
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Posted: #206
Denver and the under ok
 
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Posted: #207
broncos under 
 
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Posted: #208
This is crazy i went back and looked at the top offensive that Wilson has faced in the 2yrs he has been in Seattle. He is 1-3 2x he has lost by 1.5 2x it has went over the total 48 average score Seattle 31opponents 25. In those games Wilson threw two interceptions and their was two fumbles. The defense had 3 interceptions and 1 fumble. Then i looked at Denver the top defensive he has faced in the past two years while at Denver. He was 2-5 covered the spread two times out of five meeting against a top defense 4x it has went over the total 48 average score was 30 Denver opponents 28. In those games Manny threw 4 interceptions and they had 10 fumbles. The defense created 2 interceptions and 4 fumbles. My take on this game it will be like a 31/30 game. I'm leaning toward the OVER 48 IN THIS GAME I REALLY DON'T KNOW WHATS GOING TO HAPPEN DENVER HAS A PROBLEM WITH FUMBLING AGAINST A TOP DEFENSE. i DON'T LIKE BETTING AGAINST A MANNY SO I WILL TAKE THE SAFE BET AND TAKE THE OVER.
 
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Posted: #209
Quote Originally Posted by TheQuadYeah:

O.K. - I'm going to do all you rookies/homers/whatevers a favor here.

Did you not see me post this:

https://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/2013/story/_/id/10298373/2013-nfl-playoffs-omaha-steaks-mulls-offering-peyton-manning-denver-broncos-endorsement-deal-call-company-name-line-scrimmage



denver -130.   the squarest bet on the whole board my lil pal. bet bruno farts onstage.

Did you not see me post that:

https://abcnews.go.com/Sports/peytons-calls-collect-24800/story?id=21592293

 

And you're still thinking Seattle pulls this out? Did you not learn anything from Ray Lewis retiring last year? C'mon people..... You're all smarter than that I'm assuming, right?????

FOR GOD'S SAKE LOOK AT THE TOP OF THIS THREAD!!!!!!!!

Away: Seattle [12-6 ATS]
Home: Denver [11-6-1 ATS]

Game Time: 6:30 PM
Stadium: MetLife Stadium

Ummmmm, this is the Superbowl - - why is Seattle (with the exact same record BTW) the "away" team and Denver is the "home" team???? Am I the only person to see the Emporer has no clothes??????

O.K. - "over/under"??? I have no idea........

Gatorade color??? I have no idea......

Bruno Mars farts on stage???? I have no idea.......

Coin flip???? I have no idea.......

Length of the "National Anthem"???? I have no idea.....

What the first score is and by who???? I have no idea....

BUT......

Broncos Moneyline?!?!?!?! Currently -130????

UHHHHH YEAHHHHH, I THINK SOOOOO...................

BET THAT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

THANK YOU AND GOOD LUCK PEOPLE..............

bigFnPOO
 
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Posted: #210
Quote Originally Posted by Xyberz:


Denver has played 4 of the top 10 offenses, with them being number 1 of course so technically not counting their own team, 5 of the top 10 offenses and beat all 5 of them.  


WTF kind of backa$$wards math is this?  Denver played and beat 4 top 10 offenses, plus they play their own #1 offense in practice everyday and won all those match ups...therefore Denver beat 5 top 10 offenses.  
 
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Posted: #211
Quote Originally Posted by Xyberz:


Are you kidding me?  Have you ever watched ANY interview of players that have been to a Superbowl?   They ALL say it helps to have been to a Superbowl before.  Honestly that ONE fact alone, should be worth a point ATS.  I've never seen or heard one player in the HISTORY of the NFL EVER say that it doesn't matter, or it didn't help that they've been to one, if they've ever been in multiple Superbowls.  

This isn't a "regular" season game where it's your everyday job.  This is the SUPERBOWL chief.  This is the highest stage any NFL player in his career will ever dream of ever reaching.  This fact rings true of any sport, or just about anything in life.  You'll be more nervous than you've ever been in your whole life.  

You think that if you ever got a chance to date a supermodel, you'd be calm and cool your first time?  Hell no, you'd probably be tongue twisted, sweating, and drooling like a dog with your mouth on the floor.  This ain't no run of the mill average chick you'll find walking down the street.  It's the same damn thing.  BUT if you're already banged a supermodel, you'd think it'd be as nerve wrecking and be acting the fool the next time?  Maybe you'd be a little more relaxed and know more of what to expect.  

You obviously are missing the point.

I've seen a few SB interviews and "I'm just bout that action, boss.  Never seen no talking win me nuttin."

Good Luck!
 
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Posted: #212
Is it Sunday yet? Dam. I'm so bored.
Shochuman ! Where art thou?
 
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Posted: #213

Total is climbing...up 1.5 in the last 24 hours in some places.

I guess the weather forecast is getting a little more favorable to Peyton's passing game.  Already took the under at 47.5 guess I should've waited.

Truly believe Denver's defense is going to be the difference in the game and hold Seattle to less than 20 in a close Broncos victory.

GL to all.

 

 
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Posted: #214
Denver Broncos -14.5 at +700
Risk: 30,000 USD
Win: $210,000
 
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Posted: #215
This is a complicated match up but the weather won't be a factor. Latest report is that it looks beautiful. Looks like Peyton stole Brady's weather machine when he beat him. Hear a lot of talk about Denver is going to struggle to score on the Hawks and that is true, but the Hawks are going to struggle even more to score on the Denver D. Hawks don't have many options and is the SB really the best spot for a second year QB to have to experiment and go off his usual game plan? Denver will have enough clutch plays and be able to use the hurry up offence to score 2-3 TD's and that's all they'll need. Hawks will struggle to score more than 17. Unless another storm hits I'll be taking the Broncos and Under. Props that i like are: Broncos first half -0.5. Total TD passes Manning 2 or 3 (can't decide yet). Anytime TD Scorer: Moreno & Thomas's, Decker, Welker all pay 2:1 anyone with any real good match up insight would be helpful because at least 2 of those guys will get in. Wilson at +265 might be the most tempting. BOLTA
 
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Posted: #216
Some very interesting posts here...

Percy Harvin appears to be well, and that will definitely open up the offense for wilson, as defensive backs won't be able to cheat up and stop the run.... The threat of Harvin's speed is too dangerous. Seattle will be attacking downfield with long plays.

Harvin is the key...Wilson will run free early by design...setting up the long pass later in the game... This is beginning to look like a clear victory for Seattle.

Wilson will be setting up Lynch for cutback runs...A recent weather report calls for 20mph wind, which increases inside that NY stadium....

Hey, all you people who've never posted but always read, like I've done for years, JOIN THE PARTY...LET'S HAVE A LOOK AT CHA!
 
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Posted: #217
Serious question for the gang... How much difference in terms of pressure would you say it is between the NCAA national championship and the superbowl.... Wouldn't it be equal...aside from an increased television audience?


 
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Posted: #218
What is the record for COVERS thread pages?  We're at 10
 
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Posted: #219
Look at Denver's schedule this year.  Toughest game was against the Pats.  Denver had an easy road to the Super Bowl as well defeating a depleted Patriot team that featured Brady overthrowing wide open receivers and their best corner guy out early with injury.  

Now look at Seattle's schedule.  Quality wins not even close.  Wrong team favored here as Wilson and company back yard football their way to a Super Bowl victory.

Seattle 31
Denver 17
 
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Posted: #220
Quote Originally Posted by Crusher13:


My gosh Pando one of the most reasonable posts this week

Thank you.
 
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Posted: #221
Quote Originally Posted by forkball:

Look at Denver's schedule this year.  Toughest game was against the Pats.  Denver had an easy road to the Super Bowl as well defeating a depleted Patriot team that featured Brady overthrowing wide open receivers and their best corner guy out early with injury.  

Now look at Seattle's schedule.  Quality wins not even close.  Wrong team favored here as Wilson and company back yard football their way to a Super Bowl victory.


Seattle 31
Denver 17


8 of Denvers regular season games were against playoff teams. Seattle, five of their games were against playoff teams. 
 
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Posted: #222
We will truly miss this game after Sunday show down. And can't wait until next season to start with new rules and fix games to look forward to.The ref needs to be looked at closely like the NBA  if these ref keep calling clear an clean plays it will  Football like  Has been so let's hope for the best for us fans that they will get the rite calls next season and no fix games. Hope this will be a great SB without John Elway  bank roll involved. .  Money will be This SB. Just like fake jerseys some one is going to come up on a lot of  money 
 
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Posted: #223
Quote Originally Posted by pando:



8 of Denvers regular season games were against playoff teams. Seattle, five of their games were against playoff teams. 

Seattle beat the Saints twice as well as the 49ers twice.  Denver beat...?  Denver faced one top ten defense this year.  Seattle faced 6 out of they're last 8.  AFC was horrible this year.  
 
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Posted: #224
TRUE, city, refs are going to be a MAJOR player in the outcome of this contest....but it's pretty easy to see who NFL wants to win.....another WIN for Archie and the boys...... or "thug" squad

Best play is BRONCOS ML, just sayin...

Also, love the OVER as I see this game playing out as just  another high scoring NFL game regularly witnessed  this year ...plus you know Peyton is worth at least one Pick 6
 
 
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Posted: #225
DENVER HAS COVERED 9 OF THEIR LAST 11 GAMES.....WITH THE 2 LOSSES BOTH COMING AGAINST S.D..........DENVER WINS AND COVERS 30-20
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