Im sorry, not to bring up old news, but I just read this and had to comment. If you had to ask the forum...then maybe sports betting isnt for you.
Go with both dogs Saturday. Seattle is what we call peaking at the right time, which is invaluable. Damn worth +7.5. As far as NE JAX the line here is inflated. The books have to compensate for the public perception and all the first time bettors (see above) keeping the line around 13.5. JAX is also playing at their best, and is by far the best team the Pats have faced to date. Del Rio keeps games close home or away. Ask any prognosticator NE will win by 10at most. While your at it ask yourself, do I see the Jacsonville Jaguars getting blown out?
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Quote Originally Posted by bbailey09:
Someone please explain something to me....
On covers.com, this matchup page,
Seattle is 11-6
G-B is 13-3
has Seattle already played 17 games this year?
Im sorry, not to bring up old news, but I just read this and had to comment. If you had to ask the forum...then maybe sports betting isnt for you.
Go with both dogs Saturday. Seattle is what we call peaking at the right time, which is invaluable. Damn worth +7.5. As far as NE JAX the line here is inflated. The books have to compensate for the public perception and all the first time bettors (see above) keeping the line around 13.5. JAX is also playing at their best, and is by far the best team the Pats have faced to date. Del Rio keeps games close home or away. Ask any prognosticator NE will win by 10at most. While your at it ask yourself, do I see the Jacsonville Jaguars getting blown out?
Game Analysis The computer predicts that Green Bay Packers has a 72 % chance of winning the game and expects them to win by a score of 25 to 17. The simulation predicts that there's an 12 % chance that the game will result in a close win by Green Bay Packers and a 43 % chance that Green Bay Packers will win big.
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Game Analysis The computer predicts that Green Bay Packers has a 72 % chance of winning the game and expects them to win by a score of 25 to 17. The simulation predicts that there's an 12 % chance that the game will result in a close win by Green Bay Packers and a 43 % chance that Green Bay Packers will win big.
Seahawks got lucky to beat skins. If Suisham makes a chip shot field goal- skins are up 2 scores and momentum isnt turned on its head. Seattle's a decent squad all around, but is dominant no-where.
The Pack got their mojo back in their otherwise meaningless season finale- blowout of the Lions, following the debacle in Chicago.
Holmgren may have the know-how; however, he definitely doesnt have the horses to upend a rested, confident Packers team that knows how to put an opponent away... they've been doin it all year.
I just cant see an average & tired seahawks team makin any noise in Lambeau against this Packers team. I'll be layin the chalk on this one.
Long time reader, jumped on your clloective backs many times w/ excellent insights and analyses. Props to BigD, CK, BigE, lefty, Irish, Moneymaker(Bkwards), col Jim, and Scorp. (speakin of Scorp- I appreciate your analysis on games- offering a perspective few are able to provide... and one of the wisest statements i've ever heard is "Perspective, use it or lose it".-- Where are you Scorp- hope youre ok... lookin forward to your insights and "perspective".
Thanks to you all.... and some of you Im sho I forgot to mention. Health and happiness to you all, and wealth too.... but it really should be secondary, because without the first 2- money aint shit. Perspective.
Peace
J
Well said lonetree. It's always good to have new people posting positive thoughts .
As far as this game, I'll be pulling for GB, although the line seems a little high.... Leaning over, not sure about the side point/money wise, but would love to see SEA lose. GL to you and everyone else.
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Quote Originally Posted by lonetreejj:
Seahawks got lucky to beat skins. If Suisham makes a chip shot field goal- skins are up 2 scores and momentum isnt turned on its head. Seattle's a decent squad all around, but is dominant no-where.
The Pack got their mojo back in their otherwise meaningless season finale- blowout of the Lions, following the debacle in Chicago.
Holmgren may have the know-how; however, he definitely doesnt have the horses to upend a rested, confident Packers team that knows how to put an opponent away... they've been doin it all year.
I just cant see an average & tired seahawks team makin any noise in Lambeau against this Packers team. I'll be layin the chalk on this one.
Long time reader, jumped on your clloective backs many times w/ excellent insights and analyses. Props to BigD, CK, BigE, lefty, Irish, Moneymaker(Bkwards), col Jim, and Scorp. (speakin of Scorp- I appreciate your analysis on games- offering a perspective few are able to provide... and one of the wisest statements i've ever heard is "Perspective, use it or lose it".-- Where are you Scorp- hope youre ok... lookin forward to your insights and "perspective".
Thanks to you all.... and some of you Im sho I forgot to mention. Health and happiness to you all, and wealth too.... but it really should be secondary, because without the first 2- money aint shit. Perspective.
Peace
J
Well said lonetree. It's always good to have new people posting positive thoughts .
As far as this game, I'll be pulling for GB, although the line seems a little high.... Leaning over, not sure about the side point/money wise, but would love to see SEA lose. GL to you and everyone else.
i'd like to say that, Seattle played well against the Skins, however, there were some questionable calls by the refs. on critical plays also, the Redskins beat themselves. They shut down sEattles running game, and i'll take farve to be on his A game. Without the refs Seattle will go down 31 -- 13. gl all
I couldn't agree w/ this statement more. The Skins imploded and the the officiating was biased against them. Don't let the score of that one fool you, the Seahawks got away w/ one that day.
Farve and the Pack are going to eat the Hawks team alive.
Green Bay -7 (HUGE)
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Quote Originally Posted by kamflow:
hello all,
i'd like to say that, Seattle played well against the Skins, however, there were some questionable calls by the refs. on critical plays also, the Redskins beat themselves. They shut down sEattles running game, and i'll take farve to be on his A game. Without the refs Seattle will go down 31 -- 13. gl all
I couldn't agree w/ this statement more. The Skins imploded and the the officiating was biased against them. Don't let the score of that one fool you, the Seahawks got away w/ one that day.
Farve and the Pack are going to eat the Hawks team alive.
IMHO The more physical Packers corners should give the Seattle WR's a hard time on Saturday. The Packers safeties love to attack the deep in-route passes that Seattle has been using in their new found passing game.
If Favre can create success in splitting safeties this should open up Greg Jennings for the deep ball on the post. I also like the running game that Green Bay has found with Grant & Brandon Jackson.
Alexander has been quiet this season even before his injury but If he should awake in this game I'm sure the Packers and Nick Barnett will be ready for him.
I feel that Brett Favre will come into this game like it might be his last in Green Bay. I'm sure he would want to give his longtime Packer fans a great show just in case he decides to retire next season.
With that said I'm going to also ride the trend that has been good to me as well this season...........
Green Bay at the half -4.5
Aloha and good luck to all
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IMHO The more physical Packers corners should give the Seattle WR's a hard time on Saturday. The Packers safeties love to attack the deep in-route passes that Seattle has been using in their new found passing game.
If Favre can create success in splitting safeties this should open up Greg Jennings for the deep ball on the post. I also like the running game that Green Bay has found with Grant & Brandon Jackson.
Alexander has been quiet this season even before his injury but If he should awake in this game I'm sure the Packers and Nick Barnett will be ready for him.
I feel that Brett Favre will come into this game like it might be his last in Green Bay. I'm sure he would want to give his longtime Packer fans a great show just in case he decides to retire next season.
With that said I'm going to also ride the trend that has been good to me as well this season...........
Ok, usually I would pick a side in a playoff game but in my opinion this is one of the most confusing games to handicap this entire season. Too much history between the teams and I just think these two teams are very equally matched, and Seattle Defense is underrated here as they have been great down the stretch holding teams to underneath 24 pts in their last 9 games. This is where I think I'm going to make my bet, on the total number here of 43.
At home, GB only allows 14.3 pts here, and thus I think I saw this as a trap line when it first came out b/c the natural inclination of seeing 40.5 is that the game will go over since both these teams like to pass the football. However, I think this game, with probably a little rain and familiary between the two teams, will likely go UNDER the posted total.
Bet UNDER 43
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Ok, usually I would pick a side in a playoff game but in my opinion this is one of the most confusing games to handicap this entire season. Too much history between the teams and I just think these two teams are very equally matched, and Seattle Defense is underrated here as they have been great down the stretch holding teams to underneath 24 pts in their last 9 games. This is where I think I'm going to make my bet, on the total number here of 43.
At home, GB only allows 14.3 pts here, and thus I think I saw this as a trap line when it first came out b/c the natural inclination of seeing 40.5 is that the game will go over since both these teams like to pass the football. However, I think this game, with probably a little rain and familiary between the two teams, will likely go UNDER the posted total.
Well I do see some under plays, at least that's good, but this line moving up from 40.5 to 43 just seems intriguing to me.....rather favor Vegas than the public
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Well I do see some under plays, at least that's good, but this line moving up from 40.5 to 43 just seems intriguing to me.....rather favor Vegas than the public
backroads, actually i think you are on the right track. Why, because how many times does a line look this easy an everyone loses because the game goes the opposite of what everyone thinks. If you go through both teams recent scores you would think the line should have opened up around 46 not 40.5, so i think everyone is taking the bait, and betting over, but who knows the score could be only 10-7 at the half and the game finishes 24-17, only 41 and everyone loses, anything can happen in the nfl, they dont call it the national fixed league for nothing.
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backroads, actually i think you are on the right track. Why, because how many times does a line look this easy an everyone loses because the game goes the opposite of what everyone thinks. If you go through both teams recent scores you would think the line should have opened up around 46 not 40.5, so i think everyone is taking the bait, and betting over, but who knows the score could be only 10-7 at the half and the game finishes 24-17, only 41 and everyone loses, anything can happen in the nfl, they dont call it the national fixed league for nothing.
I'm here to rescue all the GB backers. Seattle will take this game down to the wire or win outright. Holgrem will run the same D as the Bears and take away much of Favre's passing game. Seattle is an expeienced playoff team that can generate pressure w/o having to blitz too much and Brett will be hit a lot (notice that a lot is actually two words). Brett has learned this year not to force his passes and will have to rely on dump offs and throw aways. Only 8 of GB's starters have even been in a playoff game let alone against a team like Seattle that plays their season for 1 reason -post season! BTW anyone think Holmgen knows a little about this team. Josh Brown will be the difference (the best frickin kicker in the last decade, period). GB lost home field mystic over the last few painful years and I look for Favre to be one and done, though encouraged enough by this team to give it one more try next year. Seattl21-GB20. Luck favors the prepared. GL
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I'm here to rescue all the GB backers. Seattle will take this game down to the wire or win outright. Holgrem will run the same D as the Bears and take away much of Favre's passing game. Seattle is an expeienced playoff team that can generate pressure w/o having to blitz too much and Brett will be hit a lot (notice that a lot is actually two words). Brett has learned this year not to force his passes and will have to rely on dump offs and throw aways. Only 8 of GB's starters have even been in a playoff game let alone against a team like Seattle that plays their season for 1 reason -post season! BTW anyone think Holmgen knows a little about this team. Josh Brown will be the difference (the best frickin kicker in the last decade, period). GB lost home field mystic over the last few painful years and I look for Favre to be one and done, though encouraged enough by this team to give it one more try next year. Seattl21-GB20. Luck favors the prepared. GL
Seattle has not been an impressive road team this year... only impressive road win was at Philly, with very unimpressive losses to Arizona, Atlanta, Pitt, Carolina and Cleveland, and a game they should have lost against St Louis but escaped with an ugly win... here is another one, and the Pack are off a bye...
hard to like Seattle much...
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Seattle has not been an impressive road team this year... only impressive road win was at Philly, with very unimpressive losses to Arizona, Atlanta, Pitt, Carolina and Cleveland, and a game they should have lost against St Louis but escaped with an ugly win... here is another one, and the Pack are off a bye...
i bet against Seattle in their games at Pitt and at Carolina this year riding a trend that says bet against them in early east coast games... this one isn't east coast, but its early, and it will be cold... factor in the bye and GB should be good for a TD+ win...
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i bet against Seattle in their games at Pitt and at Carolina this year riding a trend that says bet against them in early east coast games... this one isn't east coast, but its early, and it will be cold... factor in the bye and GB should be good for a TD+ win...
I've decided to take the Packers-7 Packers-4.5 at the half and the OVER. Green Bay has been putting up some points lately and the Seahawks rely a lot on the pass this year.
Packers-7(1unit)
Packers-4.5 at the half (1 unit)
Over 43(2 units)
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I've decided to take the Packers-7 Packers-4.5 at the half and the OVER. Green Bay has been putting up some points lately and the Seahawks rely a lot on the pass this year.
irish...you're starting to scare me with all of your over picks!!!
i'm with you...love the over!!!
just need gb to win and get to the sb and i'll be happy!!!
I woke up this morning and my wife told me I'm scaring her too.......We are gonna ride this thing over the total together bud!!! I think this game and the JAX/NE game are the two "no sweat specials" that I will be on.........if GB and NE do what a lot of people think, and score a lot of points today.......they will both be over the total by the late 3rd or early 4th. The thing is........I believe that Seattle and JAX are going to be getting over 24 points each.........which puts them in position to cover with that chalk!!!! Both Dogs today for me!!!!! No need to feel uncomfortable about putting more than 20 points in your pocket in the NFL with one division champ and the other team balanced, hot, and one that nobody wants to see!!!
GL to you my brutha and everyone else today!!!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by lefty1209:
irish...you're starting to scare me with all of your over picks!!!
i'm with you...love the over!!!
just need gb to win and get to the sb and i'll be happy!!!
I woke up this morning and my wife told me I'm scaring her too.......We are gonna ride this thing over the total together bud!!! I think this game and the JAX/NE game are the two "no sweat specials" that I will be on.........if GB and NE do what a lot of people think, and score a lot of points today.......they will both be over the total by the late 3rd or early 4th. The thing is........I believe that Seattle and JAX are going to be getting over 24 points each.........which puts them in position to cover with that chalk!!!! Both Dogs today for me!!!!! No need to feel uncomfortable about putting more than 20 points in your pocket in the NFL with one division champ and the other team balanced, hot, and one that nobody wants to see!!!
Don't be fooled by Seattle's bad road record this year. They are very experienced in playoff road games and don't get rattled easily. A big return or turnover will not sink this team. Playoff football is a different animal friends.
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Don't be fooled by Seattle's bad road record this year. They are very experienced in playoff road games and don't get rattled easily. A big return or turnover will not sink this team. Playoff football is a different animal friends.
Also would look under the total here as Favre is forced into checkdowns all day and a delicate wrist forces short throws and lots of rush attempts for Seattle-the clock should just keep on tickin'...
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Also would look under the total here as Favre is forced into checkdowns all day and a delicate wrist forces short throws and lots of rush attempts for Seattle-the clock should just keep on tickin'...
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