Seattle at Green Bay (01/12/2008)

GB, Under

Back on here for some late analysis and advice for those of you who want to listen.  As I pointed out last week, I have a so-called "system" for playoff games, and it was worked out pretty darn well for me in the past.  It worked out to be a 6-2 week for me last week as well.  To some of you this might be a bit redundant, but I will continue onward with boring you.  To be successful in the playoffs you need 4 things: 1.  A solid running game  2.  A solid defense  3.  A quarterback who doesn't make mistakes  and 4.  A coach who has been there before with the team.  By my calculations and opinions, the Seahawks have all 4.  Alexander is still a damn good back although he has been slowed by injuries.  Their defense is consistent and fast, and rarely give up the big play.  Hasselbeck has emerged as one of the better QB's in this league (had MORE yards and touchdowns than Favre, and LESS interceptions this season)  Mike Holmgren has been there with this team a bunch of times and has also been there in the past with Green Bay...he is still loved by the city as well.  As for Green Bay, they have 3 out of the 4...and this is giving them Ryan Grant as a solid running game.  Much like the Hawks, their defense has been underrated all season long and quietly done very well.  Brett Favre is Brett freakin Favre, and I would still only take Brady and Manning over him in the playoffs.  The possible x-factor for them though is the coaching. Mike McCarthy has not been in this position with the Green Bay Packers.  I'm not positive as to his playoff experience as an assistant, but this is his first head coaching stint in the playoffs.  I feel these teams are essentially equal however because IMO the homefield advantage of Lambeau eliminates the inexperience of McCarthy.  Much like I said with Mike Tomlin and the Steelers, I feel as though a coach needs to lose in the playoffs before he learns how to win.  Ask Tony Dungy. 

So with these teams being equal...why is the spread so high??  Does Lambeau really warrant that big of a difference?  Yes, Brett Favre had a great year, but statistically Matt Hasselbeck was better.  Alexander is clearly a better option than Ryan Grant...anyone who disagrees really shouldn't be wasting their money.  And IMO the defenses are a wash.  Over/Under is going to be tricky in this game because I feel as though it is going to be right around the number.  It's not going to be a lot lower, and it's not going to be a lot higher IMO. 

I decided to go with another 3-team 10-point teaser in this one, as I have so far for all this weekends playoff games.....taking Seattle +17.5, UNDER 53, and OVER 33

Well https://www.wunderground.com/sports/NFL/hometeam/Green_Bay:Packers.html?st=1200159000see a snow fall for mucth of the game from the forcast, here is the link. Does anyone know how the halks play in the snow< can't find much

Well https://www.wunderground.com/sports/NFL/hometeam/Green_Bay:Packers.html?st=1200159000see a snow fall for mucth of the game from the forcast, here is the link. Does anyone know how the halks play in the snow< can't find much