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Tampa Bay at Atlanta (09/18/2014)

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Posted: #51
ATL did score 37 at home where they have been a much better team over the past number of years.

And CINCY's D at home is way better than TB's injury riddled D is gonna be on the road in a noisy dome.


TB is missing multiple starters on defense and ATL has a capable backup at rb. And rb in general is one of the most overrated positions for deciphering a point spread. Even the best in the league are typically only worth a few points and hardly ever more than a fg.

I do agree the pub slurping ATL is worrying. But people were hammering the O on Monday and I'm glad I stuck to my guns on that one.


BOL with whatever you play Y-UP
 
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Posted: #52
Baltimore covered vs pit
 
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Posted: #53
everybody's pretty much on the same page...  but maybe Atl pass defense can be burned if McCown steps up... I'll take the pts  :-)
 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by bobafett:

Baltimore covered vs pit
And SEA pounded G-BAY
 
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Posted: #55

BUCCS ML

 
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Posted: #56

C'mon, Bucs lose 2 at home to a couple of has-been replacements????

If you people have any (and I'm talking ANY) faith that Matty Ice is deemed worthy as an "elite" QB, you take the Falcons without hesitation.....

Maybe I shouldn't be giving my secrets out... I may be only hurting myself..... But God Dahmitt!!!!!!!!

Dirty Birds -6.5 @ -110

See Y'all on the other side...........

 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by iangoogs:

Several fishy games this week and this is certainly one of them...my strongest play the more I think of it...also Vegas begging you to take my man Peyton plus the points, telling me Seattle covers... also Packers getting three, way too easy to take Green Bay here as Lions totally different squad at home. Detroit covers...also, Jets favored on MNF, public will hammer Chicago, yet NJY will cover...prime time games, biggest stage=biggest hoax. Take a leap of faith and it will pay off. Also there are some very questionable lines such as Stl and Dallas...around a pick'em yet obviously many people will tend to take Cowboys... this could be one where Vegas is trying to throw those off who overthink and over scrutinize games...wanna be wise guys will take Stl because of their stout d and romos recent struggles... Dallas coming around and romo will have a big game, stl sadly banged up. Dallas covers easily be
I like this, wheres the freaking like or dislike button, or agree disagree button.
 
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Posted: #58
I teased this down with a sunday game.  Taking the Falcons in their dome.  Lovie and the Tampa team arent running on all cylinders. The  line movement doesnt indicate anything real fishy to me. 

Falcons ML  

What is wierd though is the total seems way to low, so low that I am abstaining from playing the total. The total  seems to good to be true. 


 
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Posted: #59
Over 47
 
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Posted: #60
One thing I haven't heard mentioned is that NFL teams starting 0-2 cover the spread around 60% in week 3. 

Atl is good at home, but they are not back to their pre-2013 form.  I give ATL the edge on offense, especially in the dome, but TB gets the edge on defense, despite injuries.  ATL lack of defense will be a breath of fresh air after TB faced two good defensive teams in weeks 1 and 2.  They should put up at least 17-20 points.  ATL should put up 20-28. 

TB +7 or 7.5 (buy 1/2 or 1 pt)  and under 48.5 (buy 1/2 or 1 pt)

Atl has not proved they are back to being one the NFL's elite teams.  I wouldn't be at all surprised if TB is able to pull off the upset win or at least cover.
 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by shochuman:

Over 47

Let's do this:)!
 
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Posted: #62
Thought Tampa Bay would turn things around this season with a new coach, qb etc.. turns out they aren't that much different from last year's squad. There might be some value in them as a dog in this game. Until they make some drastic changes to the team starting with putting Mike Glennon back in as starter, the Bucs are fade material

Tampa can run the ball though and their "middle-tiered" defense isn't too bad for being banged up but it was against two anemic offenses in Carolina and St Louis. Atlanta offense is far and away better than those two teams combined

Atlanta's defense is the big question mark here yet they played against two great offenses so that is to be expected that they are ranked dead last. Remains to be seen how they perform against one of the worst offenses in the league

I'm going to take Matt Ryan's 3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS Record on Thursday night games against a Bucaneer team that hardly play on prime time. They are 1-2 on Thurs. 

Hoping the Falcon defense doesn't let me down with backdoor cover *fingers crossed*
I think Falcons ML would be the better play as I don't trust either team to cover but..

27-20 Falcons, -6
(i'd rather eat chalk than eat sh!t)
Good luck all
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
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Posted: #63
I'll take 6.5 in pretty much any divisional game when the favorite has a banged up O-line and only scored 10 points the previous week... Lovie looking to make a game out of this one, and I do like tampas secondary, it's better than what atlanta 'a faced so far.. I watched hard knocks and Atlanta had this emphasis on being a "tough" "physical" team.... That they were not going to be perceived as "soft" this year.. Well, after last week I'd say the toughest people on that Squad looked like the coach's... Mike Tice, Nolan, and that drill instructor special teams coach.. I'll take the 6.5 this week... And I like the under as well now that it's up to 47.... I see Tampa eating a lot of clock but not finishing with TD's but with field goals, maybe mccown rushes for another... I just don't see Atlanta as "elite" right now.... I think losing their HOF tight end has somethin to do with that... He was the leader...
Enough said gla +6 and under 47 $$$$$$$
 
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Posted: #64
OoO0oOohhh mister holt !!!!it is you mister vue!!!!! for many years duh Nfl is a spread league????duuuuuhhhhh!!!!lolololololthanks!!!!
i dunno but i make 2pizza play on falcones !
 
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Posted: #65
 
 
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Posted: #66
Hester still got it



 
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Posted: #67
poor tampa... start the 1st qtr with 3 turnovers lol. i dunno who's worse, them or the giants. if they start moving the ball i might take a look at them in the 2nd half, but sheesh.
 
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Posted: #68
Ohh TB's ball.....here comes a safety
 
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Posted: #69
O0OoOo0ohhh as mister holtnt has been saying for many years...this baby is a wrap!!!!!!thanks????congratulaziones mister vue ! oOoOoOohhh i means mister holt !!!!
 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by DDH420:

Hester still got it


Yeah like that
 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by Zman55:

Another Thursday night snoozer! Dog and under like usual for a Thursday?


u are so very wrong  


 
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Posted: #72

fire lovie dovie he can coachj like I can do brain surgery

 

 
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Posted: #73
Never been a fan of the Lovemeister and was surprised he lasted so long in Chitown. Granted he had some nice runs. But also very talented teams,especially on D yet still seemed to underperform and not get the team ready or amped up.
 
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Posted: #74
Wow the last time I saw a play like that I believe it was an ATL player keeping it alive for the turnover.
 
 
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Posted: #75
Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

Thought Tampa Bay would turn things around this season with a new coach, qb etc.. turns out they aren't that much different from last year's squad. There might be some value in them as a dog in this game. Until they make some drastic changes to the team starting with putting Mike Glennon back in as starter, the Bucs are fade material

Tampa can run the ball though and their "middle-tiered" defense isn't too bad for being banged up but it was against two anemic offenses in Carolina and St Louis. Atlanta offense is far and away better than those two teams combined

Atlanta's defense is the big question mark here yet they played against two great offenses so that is to be expected that they are ranked dead last. Remains to be seen how they perform against one of the worst offenses in the league

I'm going to take Matt Ryan's 3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS Record on Thursday night games against a Bucaneer team that hardly play on prime time. They are 1-2 on Thurs. 

Hoping the Falcon defense doesn't let me down with backdoor cover *fingers crossed*
I think Falcons ML would be the better play as I don't trust either team to cover but..

27-20 Falcons, -6
(i'd rather eat chalk than eat sh!t)
Good luck all

Wooooo! Falcons scored the OVER all by themselves!! WOW talk about embarrassing. My night is complete. Thank you Atlanta!

Congrats FALCON and OVER backers!
Sip on that plus money honey!
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