Washington at Atlanta (11/08/2009)

I always like teams coming off of bye weeks not to mention Atlanta is coming off of a short week.  The skins D will keep this close for a while meaning....I like the points

Skins +10 GLTA

Love the dirty birds. Taking

them straight and in a 3 team

tease with the Pack and Jags...

GL to all  

Man, I was really worried about this line I think it should be at least 12-13 pts. but half of the people on here like the skins, Not buying into Wash's D. they have played weak teams. lay the pts.

When the Sniper Speaks, Smart People Listen.

either ATL or no play here, Foreskin lost on the road to Detroit, even tho they held well against Gmen which is the 1st game when everyone is healthy, held well against the Eagle in 2nd half since they are at home and McNab....(not much to say about someone who call timeout when you dont have any and embarass lost to Oakland).

ATL 2 road lost, could be a big redemtion here and just take it out on the Foreskin, but definately no upset on to be found in the dome come this Sunday. This is the NFL guys.

1   Washington's offense is horrible.  Campell is not an NFL starter, they have no receivers, Poris is past his prime and the only weapon (Cooley) is injured.

2   Washington's defense is decent and keeps them in games (the dog is 5-1-1 in Skins games this year and every game has been decided by ten points or less).  Sa what you will about the horrible schedule, but they played the Giants close in week 1 on the road and lost to Philly by 10 last week, if they do that again, its right on the line.

3   Atlanta is a playoff team last year and looks every bit like one this year as well playing the Saints close and absoluting destroying a decent Niners team.  The Falcons really needs this game after two straight losses and prbably won't underestimate the Skins. 

Don't expect the Skins to score more than 13 points (i expect less than ten on the road), meaning if you take them a parlay with the under is almost a must.  I cannot fathom a way that they score the 17 to 20 that tey would need to cover and go over.  The line feels about right given the skins D, which means the under is probably the way to go (thinking 20-6 or somewhere in there) but I don't trust a motivated Matt Ryan not to score 45 points like he did against a Niner team that kept giving him chances.

Hesitantly taking the Falcons while fully aware that the only time a favorite has covered a line in the skins game was last week. 

Teasing Atlanta and the Patriots.

The Falcons are the square play of the day. Don't be a sucker.

Washington +9

Hey snowjocky,

I always respect your picks and keep your capping to mind.  That said, I will tell you that I've played quite a few games this year using the same rationale that you posted above, and have not faired well. 

That taught me to start looking deeper into why.

blind leading blind......       I would stay away from this one.  but I'm thinking Atl.  Wash really does SUCK. 

Line opens at -10 for the Falcons....and most of the people hitting the Falcons, but the line is now at -9?? 

Reverse line movement!  Be careful....

Teams coming off a BYE week cover 72% of the time...as stated here on covers by a stat guru (Robertofiory)

I will take the Skins!

Damn I promised myself I would NEVER TAKE THE FORESKINS AGAIN.  I''ve never seen a worse QB than Jason Cambell.  He just looks plain stupid!  His offensive line isn't any better. Hiking the damn ball to the side on the 4th n goal against Philly.  Just plain dumb!  Cambell cannot run, cannot pass, and Portis is washed up. 

With this in mind, I saw the reverse movement in the spread. Down to 9 from opening of 10. hmmmm. gona bite my tongue and take them Foreskins again on this one.

Wash-up + 9.