Pebble

Last week PGA 4-1 (3-1 tourney/1-0 daily)

Streelman -105 v Si Woo Kim
Streelman plays great here. Last 5x here 2/7/6/14/17
Kim last 5x here MC/4/MC/35/MC
Last 2 weeks Streelman finished ahead of Kim

Last 2 weeks
Streelman 22/37
Kim 50/MC

Stanley +110 v Sabbatini
Stanley playing much better recently. I followed him closely last week as I had Steele -10 v Stanley -9
Stanley didn't putt well but played very well.
Stanley last 3 weeks 36/18/32
Sabbatini was awful last week MC
Rd1 he was +6 next to last in entire field. Usually pretty good but last week is a Red flag and he has a lousy history here.
Sabbatini finishes here MC/72/48/MC/MC/64/MC/MC/15/MC
Think the wrong guy may be favored here

No time to write-up now, will return with more

Norlander -130 v Steele
Norlander quietly playing great golf.
Last 3 were 22/2/12 and was 25th here last year
Steele has been pretty decent truth be told finishing 30/21/4 his last 3 starts but he has a lousy history playing here MC all 3x
Hasn't played here though since 2014
I won my bets on both Steele and Norlander last week but Steele just isn't a very good putter
Edge Norlander

Burns -115 v Fowler
This is just a bet against Fowler who is probably the most overrated golfer in the world
Burns is a good young player with last 2 finishes 22&18 but never played this event. Fowler hadn't played it since 2012 when he MC

Nesmith -125 v Reavie
Just dont think Reavie is very good right now. Last 5 finishes MC/MC/67/MC/MC
Meanwhile Nesmith finished 7th last week and was 11th here last year in his 1st start

love all these picks.

NeSmith over Reavie is my top play this week.

Good luck

Sky sky and panther thanks

Sky I think I agree on Nesmith as perhaps my favorite pick too.  Nesmith stock rising Reavie stock been heading down now for awhile with no reason to think he turns things around this week.  Nesmith 11th here last year and 7th last week

Rd2
Stanley -125 v Lewis
Line higher than you would think it would be as RD1 Lewis was -6 and Stanley was -2 on the wide open fairways of Pebble Beach course.
Lewis hit only 43% fairways on the wide open fairways of PB while Stanley hit 93% fairways 
Both hit 83% greens
Stanley as usual putted lousy -1.7 strokes

Rd2 they play the tight tree lined Spyglass course which has hosted the US Open. RD2 there will be a premium on hitting fairways.  If Lewis hits 43% fairways today he will be in big trouble

Seems like books begging you to take Lewis plus $$ but I'm thinking Stanley is the play

Stanley certainly the play in round 2

@sacker17

 love it

I'll take a push at this point

AS through 15

Lewis is a magician.  

Through 15 holes hitting 45% fairways and somehow on a US Open type course (rough probably not nearly as bad as at Open) he is -2 through 15 with lousy numbers.  Stanley is also -2 Hitting 91% fairways.

Not where I thought we would be but AS 

4-0-1 tourney

0-1-1 daily