LAGameofInches

@masterkush

Lakers dropping a ton of points tonight.  

Looking like a solid start though I must say Cleveland is an unstoppable force.  Such great efficiency gonna cost me a unit.  Hoping that Washington can get that game OVER and the Thunder continue to punish they have been rather excellent in 2nd halves this year.  Same with Boston.

Adding...

OVER 236.5 (UTAH/LAL)...BIG PLAY!!!:  This game is going over the total for sure.  Not sure how much Doncic will play but regardless the Lakers have been playing fast on their home court and Utah plays no defense away from SLC.  I actually think the altitude plays more to the defense than the Jazz themselves.  Well, no altitude in Los Angeles, this game should get over the hump easily.

Hoping everyone has had a good start to the week.  I'll be back later or tomorrow.

Thanks guys.  Game time!

YTD (NBA):  124-87-3 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 32-17 ATS)

Wow I'm really good at overthinking and messing up days...instead of 4-1 I went 2-2 b/c I backed off Milwaukee as a big play and added to the shitshow which was Houston and Toronto yesterday.  Quite a mistake.  In fact, third time over the past week I've bought out of a posted play and even the book I deal with made mention of it.  So it's really not something I am going to continue to make a habit of.

With that said, looking for a strong night to get some lost money on Super Bowl (Yes, I drank the Red Kool-Aid not the Green):

OVER 238 (SA/WAS):  Ugh, If this were slightly lower it would be a big play I just have to.  Both teams have strong trends I this situation to the over and 8 of the last 8 as well as 11 of the past 13 went over when these teams faced off in DC.

MINNESOTA (+9):  The Wolves have been covering a bunch of late and are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 they've played in Cleveland.  This too should be high scoring but with the total set so high I'll take the generous points.

CHARLOTTE (+4):  With Ball suiting up tonight and being the Hornets are 5-1 ATS over their past 6, I like this spot for them to potentially pick up a road win.

BOSTON (-6)...BIG PLAY!!!:  I'm drinking THIS green Kool-Aid especially with Herro not suiting up.  The Hear are not very good at home and the Celtics have been excellent playing in Miami going 10-2 in the past 12 they have played there.

OKC (-17)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Blowout almost unfair the spread is rather high but not sure where the scoring will come from with the Pelicans and McCollum also not playing tonight.

SACRAMENTO (+1)...BIG PLAY!!!:  No AD, probably little interior defense.  I like the way Sabonis has been playing he should be a monster tonight.  Not to mention the best part is the Kings are 16-4-1 ATS in the last 21 played in Dallas.

Might come back for the Lakers game heavy lean on Utah even though they are horrible.  As always tail or fade, good luck to all...

Good luck. Like them. 

If you read more into your information you’d probably be expecting an under 

Good luck. Same side too. Also took an alternative spread under thinking defensive game.

I like KC defense limiting Philly's opportunities their secondary is really tough to get big plays off of and with the pressure they just need to make sure to limit Hurts' yards on the ground as they did to Josh Allen (11 carries for 39 yards though Hurts will have far fewer carries so hopefully the yards can also be restricted).  Good luck.

Had another really strong season in the NFL marred by a weak ending to the season. Not really sure what happened but it seemed like I laid off the Ravens and started to try and find opportunities instead of just taking what was given to us. 

Which is a great segue to tonight’s game. I’m not sure how else to play it other than simplify it. Do you think that Patrick Mahomes will make NFL history or not?  Because if you do, then it’s the Chiefs. If not then you can take the Eagles and go against one of the best ever. Personally I didn’t bet against Mike Krycievski (keeps autocorrecting gonna leave the misspelled last name but Coach K of Duke) because I’d rather not be kicking myself as they always for calls from the refs and ended up winning games they shouldn’t. That’s how I feel about tonight.

But I think the real value is in the Total. This will pair two of the BEST defensive coordinators in the history of the game in Vic Fangio and Steve Spagnola. Add to that nerves and I think this is a low scoring slugfest. Yes lots of saquon which means more ball control. But he faces a formidable Chiefs run defense. I’m not overthinking this one. In fact I’m going in pretty  heavy:

UNDER 49 (KC/PHI)…HUGE PLAY!!!

UNDER 44.5 (KC/PHI) +135 (Alternate spread)

I will be back shortly but on my phone and posting is a bit frustrating so just want to get this published and off the keypad. That said, keep comments positive hope everyone has had a great year. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all…

Bumping the Toronto/Houston total to BIG PLAY!!!

one of the two will win 

I like those good luck 

Man should have taken MARYLAND. Most underrated team in CBB. And Rutgers suck. Hoping for a complete blowout and a second half limiting offensive rebounds. They have killed this total. 

definitely need positive vibes for all of them 

I saw no Giannis and this will be a NO PLAY. PLEASE do not tail Milwaukee I didn’t play it. 

Giannis out 

YTD (NBA):  122-85-3 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 31-16 ATS)

Another winning night last night but probably should stop buying out of my plays as players become unavailable because that makes 3 of them that would have won, including the Timberwolves last night.  I won't be doing that today and since the games tip off early, I do LOVE this first play:

UNDER 225 (DETROIT/CHARLOTTE)...BIG PLAY!!!:  I think NO shot this game gets over that number.  Early game, on Super Bowl Sunday, and trends showing that 7 of the last 8 and 9 of the past 11 played between these two have gone UNDER.  Charlotte I think is a bit of a mess with injuries and people traded being returned so I dont' think they will be able to put up enough points to get this game over the total.  As of this second, not sure if Cunningham or Ball will even play in this game, but despite I like this total.

OVER 223.5 (TORONTO/HOUSTON):  Playing the trend in this matchup as they all seem to go over when these two square off in Houston.  The Rockets will have little to no respite on their interior defense with Adams and Zeller (now a Rocket) sitting out.  Sengun is awesome but a back to back might have him a bit more tired on the defensive end leading to easy hoops for the Raptors.  I do NOT think the Raptors stand a chance, but that's why they play these games.

MILWAUKEE (+2)...BIG PLAY!!!:  I do NOT understand this line regardless of who is playing for Philadelphia.  The Bucks are on their home court and dont' kid yourself if you don't think the Sixers won't be thinking about the Super Bowl and the Eagles playing in it.  Milwaukee are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against Philadelphia and if that's not enough then add to it that the Bucks are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 played between these two in Milwaukee.  I think they win this somewhat easily on their home court.

Three games, and three plays.  Not always going to be like that but I think the attention is obviously squarely on the Super Bowl.  I will be posting there in a bit have to run out and want to get these out before tip off.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

YTD (CBB):  58-54-1 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 14-12 ATS)

Solid day yesterday going 15-8 and picking up 7 units. Hit a few big plays then dropped one as well. Couple late games crumbled keeping us from an even bigger day. Here is what I am playing today: 

UNDER 151 (RUTGERS/MARYLAND):  I am a fan of the Terps and can tell you with great certainty these teams rarely go over when they play. I can also tell you that it’s a 40min game so what happens in one half might not be replicated in the next. In fact 5 of the last 5 played both in MD and between these two have gone under the total. 

VILLANOVA (-2):  Game will be close but with a short line and Villanova being11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Xavier I am getting behind this. 

WICHITA STATE (-1):. I played this last night and see others on board also asking this which is sometimes not a great thing. But the Shockers are 8-2 vs South Florida and with a line that’s pretty much a pick em I will back that trend.

OVER 157 (TEMPLE/MEMPHIS)…BIG PLAY!!!:  Temple has gone over the total quite regularly on the road this season and 7 out of the last 10 played between these two has gone over the total. 

I also have a Super Bowl play I’ll be posting and then get to capping NBA as well. Busy day and doing things on phone. Hope everyone enjoys today as waste management also wraps up. As always tail or fade good luck to all. 

I am all over this one too was going to post myself shortly. Good luck buddy I’m also backing the Chiefs greatness today 

Good luck