abnormality

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replied to Survivor Help!! in NFL Betting These replies seem to not know what survivor is. He picks one team each week to win and can't pick them again rest of season. He's listed what he's picked already. Personally I like Eagles the most (I'm a Browns fan they are done this season). Packers or Bears maybe worth considering but I would save Bears for later as they should only get better. (EDIT: ignore bears didn't notice that was London game, stay away from that one) View Post \| View Thread	WWCD	20	October 10, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Following the expert trend Data mining IT types please read And systems guys* in Systems & Strategies Ok, I think I cursed this experiment....Don't know if any of those are gonna hit. View Post \| View Thread	retire_early	35	December 07, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Following the expert trend Data mining IT types please read And systems guys* in Systems & Strategies I'll test this out and post some plays for tonight here. Was slumping bad lately on my own pathetic capping anyways. And no modifications, just trying it out the way you have been, and see how it fares. What I did whenever there was a "push" during someones streak is allow that expert's streak to cancel out plays if it was on the other side of an expert (or at times multiple experts) who was on a legit streak that looked like a play. But I would NOT side with streaks like that and tail to make a play. Here are NBA plays for tonight. Only other sport I looked at was NHL, but none qualified. Plays: LA Clippers -6 and the Over 198.5 Chicago -2.5 Minnesota +6.5 San Antonio -3.5 Portland -5 View Post \| View Thread	retire_early	35	December 07, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Chicago at Texas (05/01/2013) in Pro Baseball Have to go with the Rangers, though it seems there are some good cappers picking the WhiteSox here (look at top cappers on contests). Besides Sale being on the mound, what is the reason taking the WhiteSox unreliable (to put it mildly) offense against a Rangers team that's AT HOME? AJ no doubt is giving out his secrets on these pitchers this series, whether he's playing or not. Are people just taking the WhiteSox cause the line is fishy? Why risk ever going against the Rangers at this point so far, unless the odds are way too valuable to pass up?? What am I missing? View Post \| View Thread	Covers	2	May 01, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting 2-1 last time, and hopefully winning days are what lies ahead. Like last couple times I'm still using simplified grading (no -'s or +'s). Big card for this system rework, but two of the plays are C graded, which I now just opened up to be able to qualify as plays for the moment, just now for this current rework of the system. I have made great progress with this rework, but it still needs some more work. Christmas (updated total ytd 26-24-2) Thunder +2.5 confidence rating: A Bulls -4.5 confidence rating: B Knicks +3.5 confidence rating: C Lean on Clippers -7 Hope you all have a jolly and merry Eggnog day! View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 25, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting Thanks sevillon, but I just realized I put it was Friday again there.. Went 1-2 there, but hopefully the quality of plays will only get better as I work on it. Well, they can only go up I'd hope.. Would be a nice time to turn around that ytd, with it approaching down to 50%... Sunday (updated total ytd 24-23-2) Blazers +1 confidence rating: A Spurs -11.5 confidence rating: B Clippers -6.5 confidence rating: B View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 23, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting Messed up again... Friday (updated total ytd 23-21-2) Grizz@Rockets +1 confidence rating: A Pistons@Wizards +1.5 confidence rating: A Cats@Nuggets-15.5 confidence rating: B View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 22, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting Still not finished with this rework I'm doing, but I'm still gonna just put out plays as I revise. It is still just as experimental, after all! But, work in progress or not, I like kind of like what it spit out tonight thus far as a wip, so here goes: Friday (updated total ytd 23-21-2) Grizz@Rockets +1 confidence rating: A Pistons@Wizards +1.5 confidence rating: A Cats@Nuggets-15.5 confidence rating: B also likes Pacers -3.5 and Cavs +8.5 as leans, but not playing.. Good luck to everyone else on their plays View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 22, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting System not going very well here. Should have canceled Hawks game with Sixers getting healthy, that's a anti-system kind of situation there. Will have a decent amount of free time, being holiday break, and will look things over yet again. Won't be as fun, but think I will just REALLY look to narrow down volume on this. Darn NBA so much trickery for me than MLB View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting last play is.. Hawks@Sixers -2 confidence rating: A Simple system explanation: Hawks a desperate solid team facing just a team that isn't close to covering anything lately. Bulls still getting too much favor in spreads as if Derrick Rose is back, with the Knicks at home being as good as anyone, revenge factor usually bigger than normal when seeking it back at home. Wizards way more reliable covering games, especially of late, than the Pistons. Pistons having a rare decent sized spread to have to cover. Mavs in the middle of their downswing and tired, while Grizz are still heating back up. Spurs ready to take out frustration with a beat down game against a team like the Hornets, one of those teams not opposed to taking them. Bobcats still not showing any signs of life, while the Warriors are a very reliable bounce back team. Good luck to everyone else on their plays View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting Fixed formatting (hopefully!) Friday's Card (updated ytd 22-17-1) Bulls@Knicks -6.5 confidence rating: A+ Mavs@Grizzlies -10 confidence rating: A+ Bobcats@Warriors -11 confidence rating: B+ Wizards@Pistons +6 confidence rating: C+ Hornets@Spurs -14 confidence rating: C- possibly one more... View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting Not much time for chat, just the plays. Hope this can start to get on a bit of a roll now. Friday's Card (updated ytd 22-17-1) Bulls@Knicks -6.5 confidence rating: A+ Mavs@Grizzlies -10 confidence rating: A+ Bobcats@Warriors -11 confidence rating: B+ Wizards@Pistons +6 confidence rating: C+ Hornets@Spurs -14 confidence rating: C- possibly one more... Good luck to everyone else on their plays View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting Thanks 4-2 is decent for one night, but I'm hoping that can be close to the % that can seem normal for this. No system plays tonight. A good card to stay away from I think, that's my personal view. View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 20, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting Ok fully blue this time. Better be, or I'll give in to covers color editing.. Final Card (updated ytd 18-15-1) Pistons@Raptors -2 confidence rating: A+ Jazz@Pacers -3 confidence rating: A Sixers@Rockets +7.5 confidence rating: A Bobcats@Suns -9 confidence rating: A- Warriors@Kings -3 confidence rating: B Bucks@Grizzlies -9 confidence rating: C+ View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 19, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting Wow some of these lines seem like traps. Guess we will see.. Also switching the play subject line color to blue, because I can! Too many straight losing days, lets see what happens here.. Final Card (updated ytd 18-15-1) Pistons@Raptors -2 confidence rating: A+ Jazz@Pacers -3 confidence rating: A Sixers@Rockets +7.5 confidence rating: A Bobcats@Suns -9 confidence rating: A- Warriors@Kings -3 confidence rating: B Bucks@Grizzlies -9 confidence rating: C+ Good luck to everyone else on their plays View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 19, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting Yesterday (updated ytd 18-15-1) T-Wolves@Heat +8.5 Pacers@Bucks +2.5 Hawks@Wizards -7 Sixers@Mavs -6 Expected better, but still a road ahead. Gonna keep my head up. At least the teaser I suggested previously, hit for me. Now a big card coming up and a lot plays happening to show up here.. It just so happens a lot of situations this system looks for are happening. Fading Bobcats after covering too easily last night against Lakers. System daring Bobcats. Toronto in hot mode (and sorta the Suns too), outright winning games as dogs. And Grizz a play because of the Bucks taking care of the Pacers last night, expecting a comedown here. And the Pacers losing out, while at the same time the Jazz upset and covered against Nets, both of these resulted on play on the Pacers. I'll try to write out some of these factors more often in the future. So it happens that some things happening last night the way they did, results in this big card for Wednesday. I will not boast, predict or expect one bit here ....So lets just see how things play out, shall we? Plays so far (updated ytd 18-15-1) Pistons@Raptors -2 confidence rating: A+ Jazz@Pacers -3 confidence rating: A Bobcats@Suns -9 confidence rating: A- Bucks@Grizzlies -9 confidence rating: C+ One or two more to come most likely, waiting on lines... View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 19, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting babu Mikado Quote Originally Posted by babu47: How bout a sweep tonight!!!! Cheers to that! Think I'll just play the Mavs here, as the line is not too far off now, even at -6. Want to flex it a bit for the first day of system action, after a much needed revision. Will give the play the minimum C- grade. Really, to put it in perspective, it's so much closer to a C- than a D+, it's very close. Just doesn't officially make the C- grade, but rounding it out, it's easily the closest grade to it. I'll update with the current lines, even though some moved a bit out of favor, only changes Hawks grade down to C. Really it's in-between a C and C+, but rounds out to a C. Let the plays speak for themselves. Besides the straight plays, I personally think Mavs, T-Wolves, and Hawks could be a good teaser play tonight perhaps as well. But since we are getting a sweep here anyways, just a parlay on all 4 should do Ok, won't get too cocky, but for sure I'd really like a 1 loss night at worst, after dealing with those last couple tough days and sleepless hours of work I put in on the rework. Updated Plays (updated ytd 17-12-1) T-Wolves@Heat +8.5 confidence rating: A- Pacers@Bucks +2.5 confidence rating: B+ Hawks@Wizards -7 confidence rating: C Sixers@Mavs -6 confidence rating: C- View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 18, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting Plays updated ytd 17-12-1 Knicks -9 confidence rating: A+ Spurs +5.5 confidence rating: A Kings +6.5 confidence rating: B "No!.. Stop!....I said NO! Bad system!" I took a bunch of time to strip down this system and bring it back down to it's roots. More like the "Gun to the head" system I wanted this to be, and I was straying away from it by having it try to be too open and also having it try to predict too complicated of games and situations... Think I needed a reality check and got cocky, need to keep this simple and not have unnecessary elements that just don't guarantee enough. And only keep most of the stuff I spent good time back testing, and just did A LOT of back testing on a good new finding that is again, straight forward and simple. Here is the card for Tuesday's card, now in technicolor: Plays (updated ytd 17-12-1) T-Wolves@Heat +9 confidence rating: A- Pacers@Bucks +2.5 confidence rating: B+ Hawks@Wizards -6 confidence rating: C+ Sixers@Mavs -5 or better confidence rating: ? As long as the Mavs line is not -5.5 or more, it'll play, most likely a "C-ish" grade. Will post again, at the latest, before game time to update on it. Time to hopefully start covering with some consistency. Now, most likely this revised system usually won't have plays on small cards, and maybe even big cards at times. Should be smaller volume for sure. Oh and good luck to everyone else on their plays View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 18, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting Plays updated ytd 17-9-1 Knicks -9 confidence rating: A+ Spurs +5.5 confidence rating: A Kings +6.5 confidence rating: B Damn, the Blazers last night! Added a bit more complexity, mostly one big additional filter with ATS history involved, added to this experiment. Lets see if this can bounce back strong tonight! Good luck to everyone else on their plays View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 17, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Experimental System plays thread in NBA Betting Rockets Kings But then the one I was most scared about, and put as a lean, just now covered.. I think I need to let this system just spit out the plays and not filter them as I see fit, as they have been hitting good enough, even with this bad day. If I do add filters, they have to be added to be part of the system and not me going "hmmm... should I use it?" Cause that defeats the purpose of being a system. I just did a run over on the system just now, just to check I didn't make any mistakes this morning on these since I was short on sleep. I did it right for the current stuff, but I missed out a well rated "Play" on the Blazers, when at first I goofed it and only detected a small advantage for them So adding it, and maybe it could salvage the day a bit, or make it worse for the system... From here on, will no longer have leans, just plays now! But I won't count the Lakers cover on the plays YTD. Though in the actual system sense, if the Blazers cover it could end up a 2-2 day, not the worst at least. Again this system is a work in progress, and I'm still working carefully on it. UPDATED CARD: Plays updated ytd 17-8-1 Kings +4.5 confidence rating: B+ Rockets -4 confidence rating: B- Blazers -5 confidence rating: A- Leans version 2.0 updated ytd 1-0-0 Lakers -3 confidence rating: C- View Post \| View Thread	abnormality	48	December 16, 2012 View Post \| View Thread

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