az49erdog

KC really disappointed me today, that defense was not the same one that  smothered the Broncos in November. They won the game, but their defensive weaknesses were revealed and they better hope that they're home throughout the playoffs, because the defense that played today ain't gonna stand up against the elite AFC teams they're going to face in the playoffs.

Dallas looks like they're gonna take care of business at Philly ( up 30-17 at half). That was my biggest play for the weekend, I should have a nice bankroll to take to Sunday's games as I don't see the Boys having a problem covering the 4 point spread. Hope everyone lands on their feet this weekend, smoke the bookies!!! 

" The Washington Stealers" You think Pittsburgh would mind? lol 

@badlands

 With you on the Cowboys, on the other side with KC ( too much KC "O" and Broncos missing key defensive backfield starters). I do like the game total U 44.5 however. GL Brother 

Looking at these to matchups today, i see some opportunity to take advantage of public money going to these contests. 

KC @ Denver +11 - This matchup is one that the public supports the Chiefs and I have to agree with the choice. KC was embarrassed @ Cincy last week and this is an opportunity for them to "right the ship" at Denver. KC owns Denver and they also have a carrot dangling in front of them with a chance to close out the season and gain HFA throughout the playoffs with a win today. While 10.5-11 is a lot of wood to lay on the road, I believe the Chiefs will not let their foot off the gas as they did at Cincinnati. The Chiefs IMHO will lead from start to finish and once they have a substantial lead, they'll keep their foot on the Bronco's neck till the gun sounds in the 4th qtr. The 22 - 9 win over Denver in KC was not a fluke and I expect the same kind of effort and result today. Drew Lock will not make any difference in this game although he's playing well of late, too much KC  "D" today.

Dallas @ Philadelphia +4 - This game is a real mess, with neither team having much incentive to play today. My choice is based more on the "momentum factor" than anything else and while there's been a lot of public money dropped of the Eagles, I believe Dallas is he play here. Losing at home to AZ last week was a real wakeup call for the Cowboys and based on the reports out of Cowboy's camp, all indications are that Dallas is going to play their starters potentially into the 3rd qtr. while the Eagles have no intention of putting in their starters in a meaningless game based on seeding that won't change for them win or lose. I see Dallas playing to a big lead before replacing starters and getting some much needed momentum going into the playoffs. I liked the Cowboys at -6. I love em at -4. I believe they cover this small # easily and coast to a relatively easy win on the road at the "City of Brotherly Love".

Other games I'm considering but will solidify tomorrow:

NYJ @ Buffalo - 16 I know it's a big number, but the Bills win the division with a win and NE loss, so some incentive there, also they blew em out in NY back in November 45 - 17, can't see anything that's changed since then and they're home today to close out the season.

Tenn @ Houston  +11 Houston went on the road and beat Tennessee 22-13 back in November and match up well with the Titans. I think pride will be a factor here and the Titans have pretty much locked up the division, so I'm taking the large # for the cover.

SF @ LA Rams - 4.5  the 49ers have the Ram's number and this should be a low scoring, hard hitting and close game that SF could win, they've won the last 5 matchups right?

GL All 

@CrazyMilkMan

 I'm curious on your thoughts about the Eagles ML brother, are you concerned with the lack of incentive for Philadelphia today? I'm thinking they rest all their starters, while Dallas plays starters maybe into the 3rd qtr., in which case the Cowboys may build an insurmountable lead that the Eagles just can't catch up to with 2nd stringers. With you on KC and also like the KC/Den game U the 44.5 GL Amigo 

@alloceanview

 TB has an opportunity to catch HFA throughout if GB stumbles at Detroit, so they won't be resting any 1st teamers unless they're blowing the Panthers away and hen only in the 4th Qtr.  

@Aronrogers

 Check the lines, Clev - 6

@DoubleUp4Life

 DU4L, as to your Fantasy Lineup, I'd say you're better off with Patterson, even given the points slide over the last 4 games. The good news is ATL has nothing to play for, therefore no reason not to pull out all the stops and I'm betting Patterson gets a lot of touches and gets you upwards of 15-20 points this weekend. As far as Defense goes, if you have Buffalo, I'd leave them in as they'll look to solidify their playoff position and put some distance between themselves and the rest of the AFC contenders for HFA. At kicker, I'd look to McPherson because of the matchup with KC. Chief's defense will play at an elevated level in this one and the Bengals may have difficulty getting into the end-zone, so the kicking game seems more important in this one. As far as flex goes, I agree with your pick of Gallup at that position given that AZ will attempt to DT Cooper and check Shultz at the line, plus Gallup has the size and speed to outman the Cardinal DBs on deep routes.As for your picks, I like the Eagles to cover, not sure about Indy without Wentz. GL Brother!

@sdiamond7

 Sensible play Diamond, I agree with the logic, the only downside is when you have a low number like tonight's total, it's always that late action in the 4th quarter that seems to tip the number over and of course with a rookie QB, there's always the problem of turnovers. I'm stayin away from this abortion. GL

Looks like we'll be seeing a run from the Eagles at Dallas, all the more reason for a "Cowboy Cover" today boys! 

@thorpe

 Point taken Thorpe, but as you said, "almost". Hopefully these meet that criteria. GL Amigo 

@dustmiester

 NFL Weather.com / Cloudy 39* @ kickoff winds @ 9mph

@oldwiseone

 With you on the Broncos and Ravens, on the other side with the Pats.

Taking a hard look at the Pats/Bills U 43.5 GL OWO 

@vcdplaya3007

 It's all about the HFA Playa 

@gambling-devil

 Thanks Devil, just playing the percentages and the algorithms, so we'll see Brother GL today Amigo  

@reamslice

 I must have missed that day at school, good thing you're here to set me straight! 

@Freddy66

 Chargers laying 13.5, but I agree, they have a lot more talent and reason to play today! WFT may bring some motivation to spoil, but if the Cowboys keep their foot on the gas from start to finish, I don't see a problem covering the 9. GL Freddy 

@fly73

 Check your drawers, maybe you missed the bowl, or your fingers? 

@Unclebenelli

 Back at ya Uncle 

@lajohn

 One in every crowd right