Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
---|---|---|---|---|
I could use a little pick me up here. Life's kind of been shitting on me lately, so some wins today would be great. So far, I'm rolling with:
Washington state +4 Northwestern state +9 Alabama A&M +6 1/2 LARGE PLAY Uconn/WVU u130 Teaser: NW state +14.5/Bama A&M +12/GT u128.5/West Mich u131 Will be back with more later. Bol yall |
boomersooner13 | 2 |
|
|
lol k
|
f_kazandji | 6 |
|
|
I think this game will gather a lot of attention from sports bettors (mostly one sided towards the Hawks.)
Let's discuss this game. I'll start. I like the Jackets in this game. And there are a number of reasons why. 1. Chicago is 11-18 on the road this year, scoring on average 2.7 goals and allowing 3.4. Chicago shoots 8.4% on the road, converts 17% of their PP chances, allows 11.3% shooting and 20% opponent PP chances. 2. Chicago is 1-4 in their last 5 (a win over my beloved Rags), and have been outscored 2.2 to 3.6 in that span. THey've shot at 7.5%, and haven't converted a single PP chance in 15 tries. In the same span, they've allowed 14.3% shooting and an opponent PP % of 16.7. 3. Columbus is 10-18 at home. They average 2.4 goals for, and 2.7 against. They're converting 7.6% of their shots at home and 17.6% of their PP's. Yes, at home they're allowing 9.6% shooting and 21.2% opponent PP, but on to the next point.... 4. Columbus is 3-2 in their last 5, Outscoring their opponents 2.6-2.4. In that span of 5 games, They're converting 9.2% of their shots and 30.4% of their power plays. They're also only allowing an opposing shooting % of 7.2. Now, this isn't me sitting here telling you that "Hawks backers are wrong!", i'm just basically, in a way, trying to get yall to talk me out of playing the Jackets lol. I can very easily see the Hawks winning 100000 to 0, but the stats here tell me that the Jackets could have a legit shot at winning me some money here haha. So, there is my angle on it. Someone talk me out of it
|
boomersooner13 | 7 |
|
|
BOL buddy. On some of the same, on complete opposites for some.
|
HookEmHorns22 | 69 |
|
|
GL. I'm leaning the other way, but probably won't play it. I'll be rootin for you then!
|
phat03 | 12 |
|
|
Just curious....what do you like about the Leafs in this one?
Not asking so i can gain insight so i can tail you (i've already capped this game and gone the complete other way). I just want to know what you're seeing in this one?
|
ogkush | 12 |
|
|
BOL. gonna be paying quite a heavy amount of juice today....but hopefully it'll pay off! don't think you have anything to worry about in St Louis
BOL
|
megatron24 | 9 |
|
|
Damn I think Hawks/Blues will be a great game to watch. Very, very exciting.
Wings/ Sharks won't be too bad either. Pens/Sabs....? ehh....i'll pass lol I am liking the love though!
|
HookEmHorns22 | 7 |
|
|
LOL i'm sorry, but let's look at your 5 plays for the year:
Canucks +1.5 Rangers +1.5 Maple Leafs +1.5 Habs +1.5 Capitals +1.5 So 2 bets on 2 of the best three teams in the league (nucks and rags), 1 bet on an 8th place Leafs team plus points vs. the 2nd worst team in the league, 1 bet on Montreal plus points vs. the worst team in the Eastern Conference, and then 1 bet on the capitals plus points vs. a team that has fewer total wins than them.....? Sorry man. I mean, congrats on being 5-0, but you're just......just.....i don't even know. When you pick a ML dog or call an NHL total, come back and boast/brag all about your wins. But while you're playing -300 lines, just keep it to yourself. You might be 5-0 right now and +500, but if you lose say, your next two "great plays" and you're betting on -240 to -300 lines, you could be 5-2, +20, or even 5-2 -100. Come on......
|
codak1417 | 5 |
|
|
Saturday LEANS:
Pitt vs. Philly I think this is the best game of the day. Both teams don't really stand out on the road or at home, and both teams aren't really playing their best defense of the season (both allowing >12% opponent shooting L5). I do think that Pitt plays a little better defense and can skate with Philly in this one. I feel like since both teams are just not playing stellar D right now, we could see a good amount of goals in this one, so I'm kind of liking the over, but I'm going to keep my eye on the line. LEANS: Pitt -105, o5.5 -135 Chicago vs. Columbus There's not really much to work with as far as consistency is concerned for either team. That goes for the moneyline and total, as this could either be a 6-5 goal-fest, or a 2-0 snooze-fest. I do like Columbus here at good + money, but it'd have to climb A TON before I played them. From a statistical standpoint, I think they've got a legit shot. Leans: Columbus +135 small/none at all Wild vs. Blues Not much to say about this one. St. Louis is starting to scare me a little bit in the way that they could stand infront of my Rags for Lord Stanley's Cup. If I were going to play this game, it'd be blues ML in a small parlay or something. Leans: NO SU ML play. Leafs vs. Canucks Another heavy ML favorite here that I refuse to play SU. Toronto has been shooting at 6.2% L5, and allowing 12.5%. In that same span, Vancouver is converting at 11.9% and allowing 7.4%. I like Toronto's ability to get a few quick ones though, as I don't think Vancouver's D is unbeatable. I don't see much here to say that Vancouver doesn't win this 5-2. Maybe I'll parlay Nucks/Blues ML's? Leans: Vancouver -1.5 +160, o5.5 -125 Caps vs. Lightning I feel like the Bolts can win this game through their offense, as they're converting 10.7% L5, and 11.9% of their shots at home all season. Only thing that keeps me off the bolts here is that they're allowing ~11% at home and 9.3% L5. I just think the Caps are one of the NHL's more "opportunistic" teams. I do like the bolts here, but won't play it unless line movement goes my way, but I do like the over. I think we see 4-3 here. LEANS: o5.5 -135, Bolts -125 Canes vs. Isles No lines yet here, but I'm liking the Canes to continue to play some solid D. I see the total here set at 5, and the canes at a -130 or -140 price. If the total comes out at 5.5 then I'll more than likely be playing the under heavily, and if the canes come out at a more negative number, I'll probably just stay away from that. I like a good 3-1 or 3-0 game here. LEANS: Canes, Under Stars vs. Coyotes The coyotes are allowing their opponents to convert on only 2.8% of their shots in their last 5 games. You'd be hard pressed to find someone to bet against that stat. The Yotes are performing about the same on the offensive side, as the stars are doing a little worse than season average for offense and defense. I'm not surprised to see the Yotes as such heavy favorites, but these are the games that just kind of make you stand back and observe. I would love the total if it were 5.5, but i'm not surprised it's 5 at all. I just don't want to risk it because I have one of those gut feelings that Dallas is the team that could come out and score 5 against a streaking Yotes D. I'm going to watch some line movement on this one, and maybe take the over depending on what it does. LEANS: o5 -125 Calgary vs. LA Kings Calgary is obviously a different team away from home, as evidenced by their 11-21 road record, but LA is just barely average at home. BUT, Calgary has played three of their last 5 away, and even then are still hitting 10.8% of their shots, which is well above their season road average of 8.9% on the road. On top of that, they seem to be playing well enough D to at least keep them in these games. On the other end of the Ice, LA is just playing to their season averages so far. At home, they're only averaging about 2 goals a game, so I don't see why that'd change. I think Calgary's recent performances and outings are enough to merit a small ML play on the + money. As far as the total, it's at 5 and there's just too much room for error here. I could see this being an "under" win at a 3-1 flames win, a push at a 3-2 flames win, or an "over" win at a 4-2 flames victory. I don't think we'll see the flames get to 4, but they've been streaking, and I think taking the under would be too risky. LEANS: Flames +130 Lots of - numbers here. Really gonna make me rethink everything here as I hate paying so much juice in hockey betting. But here are my current leans, which can always change according to line movement: (*) = weak/small, to no play (***)= strong/large Pitt -105 (**) Pitt/Philly o5.5 -135 (**) Columbus +135 (*) Vancouver -1.5 +160 (*) Vancouver/Leafs o5.5 -125 (***) Bolts -135 (**) Caps/Bolts o5.5 -125 (**) Canes ML (***) Canes/Isles UNDER (***) Yotes/Stars o5 -125 (*) Flames +130 (**) I'll be back later/tomorow to post my final card. Like I said, I want to see some line movement first. BOL to everyone. Thoughts/comments/criticisms strongly encouaged. |
boomersooner13 | 5 |
|
|
Had a GREAT Friday. went 4-1 +8.8u. I say GREAT because (although i'm not counting it and didn't post it), i hit a parlay of habs ml/habs over/bruins over/penn (cbb) for 114 and won 1190.40. It just feels good to hit that shit!
Anyways, Friday Recap: 4-1, +8.8u Habs WIN +5u Habs/Sabs o5 WIN +2u Avs/Oil u5.5 WIN +2u Bruins/Jets o5.5 WIN +1.2u San Jose LOSE -1.4u UPDATED SEASON RECORD: 51-25-2 Saturday leans/writeups coming soon
|
boomersooner13 | 5 |
|
|
FINAL CARD
Habs 5u/5u Habs/Sabs o5 2.9u/2u Boston/Winnipeg o5.5 1u/1.2u Avs/Oil u5.5 2.3u/2u San Jose 1.4u/1u BOL to everyone.
|
boomersooner13 | 9 |
|
|
likin it. BOL
|
BlazinJays | 15 |
|
|
stayed away last night and had a slight loss in CBB. I just didn't think there were too many plays that were on "our side" so I just trashed them all. I do like Friday a good bit though.
Record: 47-24-2 (don't have it broken down into ML and totals plays anymore)
Ducks vs. Devils I don't like a total here, as I don't like the fact that the oddsmakers have put this game at 5.5. I do like New Jersey though, seeing as how they're shooting at 10.2% at home and 10.5% over their last 5, while only allowing 7.4% in their last 5. I think Brodeur gets the start and he's 5-1 L6 and i think this is a good spot for the devils playing against a ducks team whose only loss in their last 6 is at detroit. Lean: Devils -130 small Sharks vs. Canes A side here is hard to pick, but I think the total is solid. I will say that I'm leaning on the sharks to win this one. I think it'll be a low scoring game, but I think the sharks will win 2-1 or 3-2. They're converting 40% of their PP's L5 while Carolina is allowing 30% in the same category L5. The only thing is that the sharks D hasn't been exactly strong lately, so I'm only thinking they scrape this one out. Another play I like just from the statistical standpoint is the 1p under. This is why: San Jose: 55 games total: 1p Goals For: 38, Against: 41. Road Games -- 26 games total: 1p Goals For: 11, Against: 18 Carolina: 57 games total: 1p Goals For: 45, Against, 38 Home games -- 29 games total: 1p goals for: 20, Against: 15. Lean: Sharks -140 small, u5.5 -130 medium, 1p u1.5 LARGE Nashville vs. Detroit You never fight fire with fire in sports betting. Nashville is pretty hot right now and the wings are hot at home. I think though, this is where detroit will fall, and at 135, nashville looks realllll good. BUT, I don't have the balls to play that. The under is at 5.5, which i do kind of like because I think we either see a tight, low scoring game (2-1), or a wings blowout (5-2). I'm really leaning on the under as I think nashville can play some solid D, but I don't think i have enough to back up that play, and this one is really up in the air. Leans: u5.5 -125 small/none Habs. vs Sabs The habs don't have the record to display how well they've played in their last 5 honestly. they're converting 12.7% of their shots in their last 5, allowing 7.7%, and they're converting 26.7% of their PP opportunities. This is where people say "buffalo just got thrashed, they're going to come out more focused tonight". No. I think the Sabs have just lost interest in this season and are ready to get out. Besides that, they're really not shooting too well or keeping too many out of the net as of late, and as a +105 dog, I'm really liking the habs. They're rolling pretty well and I think they could net 4 or more in this game. Combine this with the Sabs' ability to score a couple and I think we'll see a 4-2 game here. Leans: Habs +105 medium, o5 -130 large Boston vs. Winnipeg Recently, the Bruins have been almost laughable compared to what they've done earlier this season. Nobody really knows what in the world is going on with them. I'm not going to pay a -165 price on them, and I'm not paying the + number on he Jets either. I do think we have a huge advantage on the total though. I'm seeing o5.5 +120, which i think is a STEAL. We'll start here: Winnipeg has been allowing their opponents to convert on 12.1% of their shots and 42.9% of their powerplays in their last 5 games. I know Boston hasnt been shooting too well recently, but they're converting almost 12% of their shots in road games and 22.5% of their PP's for the season. Couple that with Boston allowing 11.8% and Winnipeg shooting about 11% L5, and I think we see a game that could honestly hit double digits. Boston has to wake up sooner or later, and I think they do it here with a 4 or 5 to 3 or 4 win Leans: o5.5 +120 LARGE Colorado vs. Oil Colorado and Edmonton are just two of my favorite teams to fade, but I can't fade them both here. This is a game where the stats don't tell me much and I'll just have to look at a little line movement. The over looks good to me at plus money, as does the Oil at - money. Both teams can score a few goals, but both teams can also forget which skate goes on which foot, so I'll probably stay away from that one and watch the ML line. I just like edmonton and their better conversion ratios. Leans: Oil -135 medium Final LEANS: Small: Devils -130, San Jose -140, Preds/Wings u5.5 -125 Medium: SJ/Canes u5.5 -130, Habs +105, Oil -135 Large: Bruins/Jets o5.5 +120, Habs/Sabs o5 -130, Sharks/Canes 1p u1.5 -125 BOL. I'll post my final card around 4 PM EST. |
boomersooner13 | 9 |
|
|
I'm with you on buffalo and phoenix! I just can't pay that much juice on the blues.
BOL to you, my friend
|
LasVegasLord | 43 |
|
|
Well, my leans went 4-1 yesterday, but i decided to be a dumbass and play the habs, so i finished 4-2. Not doing write ups since obviously nobody pays attention to them, but I'm now hitting around 64% on the season, so hopefully people will start jumping on the money train soon.
Here are my probable plays for thurs Sharks/Lightning 1p u1.5 Coyotes/Kings u5 (I think this game ends 2-1) Yotes ML Ice-Landers/Blues u5 Buffalo ML I'll come back later and finalize my card. Good luck |
boomersooner13 | 7 |
|
|
Ohio -7 1.1u
Ball St. -8.5 2.2u E Illinois -10 1.1u Boise State -3 2.2u Elon/Wofford o137 2.2u Teasing them all too. BOL to the forum |
boomersooner13 | 1 |
|
|
Sens ML 1u
Ott/Pants u5.5 2u Leafs/Oil o5.5 2u Avs/Nucks u5.5 1u Habs 1u BOL to everyone |
boomersooner13 | 1 |
|
|
fuck.....it's wednesday. not tuesday
|
boomersooner13 | 2 |
|
|
was a fool and took toronto even though i knew i didn't like the line movement that much. Oh well, good think there's CBB, or I would've been way down yesterday. Learned my lesson though. Here are the leans today
sens/panthers u5.5 -140 -I think i'm getting an excellent price for this. I don't know why it's not at 5 yet. Ottawah is converting at 5.2% in their last 5 games while scoring less than 2 a game. Florida is only shooting at 8% at home all year and playing some okay D. I'll open the bank on this play. Highest I see it is 3-1, Florida Toronto +106, o5.5 -119 -Yeah, they burned/screwed/killed/buttfucked me last night, but I like them here. They've played well on the road so far this season and I think they just ran into a calgary team that is strong at home. Toronto has firepower, and I think we'll see that in their current road statistics of hitting 12.3% of their shots and converting on 22% of their PP chances. They give up some goals (and this goes for both teams) so I'll be playing the ML small, and the over large. The Oil are hitting 13.7% over the last 5 and are allowing 11.1%. This total should be set at 7. I think we see a 5-3, 5-4 Leafs win. Nucks -1.5 +135, u5.5 -120 -Awfully shitty reward for a PL, but i feel like it's safe. There's nothing i like about a colorado team that's shooting barely over 8% on the season and only 5.2% vs division. It doesn't help the Avs knowing that the Nucks are shooting 12% L5 and vs. division. Or the fact that they're playing some pretty good D. I think we see a comfortable 3-1, 4-1 game here. I will more than likely be playing these. I'm just going to continue to watch lines and try to distribute units properly. Right now, I'm thinking: sens/pants u5.5 3u Leafs 1u Leafs/Oil o5.5 5u Nucks -1.5 1u Nucks/Avs u5.5 2u Will be back later to change, introduce more plays, or provide additional info. BOL to everyone today
|
boomersooner13 | 2 |
|
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.