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replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing Hey guys. Sorry for not responding. Small win last time. .2 units but I'll take it. I don't know how to add it all up because of the Fury/Wlad debacle. 14.5 or 15.5 I think, depending on if you count that. Wilder over was a good bet, I think. Didn't quite get there, but Szpilka got sloppy. A million times over, and I think you'd win a bit. Speaking of Wilder, I think he should be a dog to Povetkin in Russia. Alex is very skilled, very professional. He's not going to leave his chin out there. Wilder might find it anyway, but he might find Wilder's too. Wilder is quicker and taller, so he can make Povetkin chase. But he knows how to do it with feints, footwork, movement and a nice guard. If nobody gets the KO, Povetkin should be busier and more forward moving, which should get the nod. 1 x 1.25 = 1.25. BOL View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	April 13, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing Nice work Fool's! A bad stretch for me, saving the Floyd fight. The picks I haven't posted here haven't been any better. Bailed out by the Fury postponement, as that number never came back and I didn't bet +115 or whatever it was. Don't know how to handle that or if anyone cares. Utterly shocked by the result. I thought Fury was good, but can't believe he decisioned Wlad. Fury should be good for Boxing, so I'm glad for that. Perhaps some redemption this weekend. I sort of think Jennings should be a favorite. He's far more proven and experienced. To my eye, more skilled and busier. He's handled himself well against other big men with power. Ortiz has nice power but I wonder if it's a bit overrated because he looks like an X-Man. Looks a little sloppy to me. We don't know about his gas tank. Jennings 1 to win 1.45 (Bovada) Saunders/Lee is gonna be a good fight I think. Saunders doesn't have a ton of power and Lee is a tough mick who has no problem getting up and recovering even if caught. I like Suanders' fluidity, volume and ability to absorb punches, as Lee has good power. All that adds up to some value in Saunders Dec. for me. .75 to win 1.2 also at Bovada. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	December 17, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing Housekeeping: 13.35 +1.91 (old floyd bet) + 2.94 (new floyd bet) -1.4 (groves loss) = 16.8 unless I screwed up. Terry Flannigan might prove he is a world level fighter, but he hasn't yet. Diego Magdaleno has. He has a clear power advantage and, I think advantages in speed and general athleticism. Very nice price on 5d: Diego Magdaleno +140 1.5 to win 2.1 View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	September 20, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing I had a similar reaction. In fact, I bet a lot of it at a number worse than what's out there now. I guess the logic is that Floyd is so much better than Berto, there's a good chance of a KO. Obviously, if you know the fighters, you know differently. FWIW, the Vegas books I've seen are not so gnerous. -220 at one, -225 at another. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	September 10, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing Let's hope it cashes. Floyd by Dec. -170 on 5d. Hit me baby one more time. 5 units to win 2.94. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	September 09, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing Double derp. 1 to win 1.25. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	September 05, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing Derp. That's under 9.5 rounds. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	September 05, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing Klit/Fury under. +125 on 5d This used to be +135 and, if you are in Vegas, William Hill has it +130. I think it should be more like +100. Wlad by KO is around +100. I think he gets it done.If he does it will probably be sooner just because that's how it is, but also because fighting Fury is exhausting as he hangs his massive body all over you. I normally back Fury but I think his lack of focus can be a problem here. He's a bit sloppy, which he can get away with as a giant, normally. But Wlad should exploit these things, and it is a giant step up in class. The reason it's as close as it is, is that Wlad's struggled to stop huge guys before. But it doesn't look like Tyson's chin is his strong point. Plus, there is the chance of Fury getting the stoppage. He isn't a HUGE dog, and he can punch and we Wlad ain't called Dr. Iron Chin. Then there's a tiny bit extra value from random boxing crap like injuries, quitting, etc. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	September 05, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing I'm stuck at home for a while so I'm gonna do a few more. That last Floyd win brings us up to 15.26. Maybe we can make 20! 5d has a nice line on George Groves -140 to beat Badu Jack. Jack is good, but I don't think he has the stopping power to exploit Grove's chin, which isn't horrible, but is a vulnerability. Therefore, I think Groves wins on volume. He has the ability to throw more in general, and he has a greater diversity of punches, so he should find more situations. Won't be a walk in the park, but he should get there. I don't worry about this stuff TOO much but this is also kind of a must win for Groves, where Jack has already exceeded expectations. Anyway, 1.4 to win 1. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	September 05, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Will Floyd KO Maidana? in Boxing As far as MM punching himself out, that's not a huge concern to me. Usually when that happens, it's because you get the other guy hurt and go for broke, or at least you get a lot of shots off on him. So often, Floyd doesn't even allow guys to set up properly, let alone throw bomb after bomb round after round. How often do we here commentators say a fighter needs to at least take some shots or go for the desperation KO punch? It's not that easy. You got to be in the batters box and set up your swing to go for the home run. View Post \| View Thread	TreyInventor	9	April 30, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Will Floyd KO Maidana? in Boxing I'm huge on Floyd by dec. Note, the last time I bet anywhere near this much was Danny Geale vs. Barker, which lost. There are no locks. However, the fact that people actually believe the stuff fighters say during the hype before the fight (I'm going for the KO!) is one reason I love betting on this sport. Even if Floyd actually gave a garbage about stuff like that, which I doubt, I'm not sure he could KO MM. Nobody else has. View Post \| View Thread	TreyInventor	9	April 29, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing Sorry man, I thought that was pretty clear. 2.45 to win 1. The play was Fight Goes the Distance at -245. +1 taking us to +13.35. Someone said Floyd has been talking up the KO. If so, god bless him. I bet the crap out of Floyd by Dec at -188. Thought the ship had sailed at -215 (still not terrible) and now it's -157. Look, Maidana's never been stopped. The guy, like Bradley, is not stopping even if he gets dropped hard. It will take a sustained, relentless attack. Floyd isn't doing that. Boxing is only part of a bigger game for him. The object of that game is to retire at 50-0, with a gazzilion dollars and with as little damage to his mind and body as possible. He'll be quite content to coast to a dominating win without taking any big punches or risking a return of his hand injuries. It's the smart thing to do and he's the smartest fighter there is. 3 units on Floyd by decision at -157 to win 1.91 units. In reality, I mixed in a bit on floyd to win ANY decision at -170, just in case something crazy happens since, in reality, I'm betting way more on this than proper BR management would dictate. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	April 29, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing Down a couple to 12.35. I don't have time to really sit around working on all these fights anymore, but I am still playing the big ones if I think there's some value, In the case off tomorrow's fight. I think it goes the distance something like 75% of the time, if not more. Bradley has been kind enough to demonstrate that he's nearly unstoppable. It would be a shock if he stopped Manny. Meanwhile, Manny's days as a KO artist seem to be past. We'll probably see a repeat, with Bradley working skillfully and consistently and many unleashing dominant bursts of activity. Neither a recipe for a stoppage. Of course, it is boxing... 2.45 at -245 to win 1 on Fight Goes The Distance. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	April 12, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing OK. Housekeeping. Lost .5 on Cloud. Won 1.55 on Manny. We're at +14.35 units here. Pretty decent? View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	December 02, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing Been too busy to do this much. However, I already capped Trout/Lara before. I got Trout by decision. His ability to move without giving ground could make Lara look like a runner. I expect judging to favor Trout anyway, in case it's close. Lara will need to rely on his power, which could come through, of course. But hopefully Trout wins the territorial and volume battles to take it in 12. Trout Dec. +160. 1 to win 1.6 "Sturm in Germany" doesn't mean what it once did. Barker showed more than I thought he had against Geale. I got destroyed on that fight, but he earned some respect from me. Now, I think Barker and Hearn see a fight that will look great on the resume, but a fighter who is on his way to retirement. Barker Dec +145 1 to win 1.45. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	December 02, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing +1.5 on the Floyd card. Back to +13.3. .5 to win 1.2 on Tavoris Cloud +240. Simple public fade. Tavoris lost as a favorite to Hopkins, who looked better than many expected. Adonis landed a big punch on Dawson, when Dawson may not have really been at the best point in his career. We knew Stevenson had one punch power, but we're dazzled by it anyway. Voila, two guys who probably aren't that far apart are priced very far apart. I'll be delighted if Stevenson loses anyway, given that he used to beat and rape underage girls. Might as well sweeten the pot. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	September 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing Lost 1.5 on the recent run, though in real life I lost a lot more than that on Geale. At +12.8 . I'm on Floyd in a lot of different ways, but the single best bet might be Floyd by 12 rd Dec, -145. 1.45 to win 1. Smith Molina is going over. -420 be damned. Tempting to go for broke here, but I'm a bit cold and don't want to get into chasing mode. 2.1 to win .5. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	September 13, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing Busy weekend. Just a pick based on boxrec records here. One guy has never been KOed and has 9 KOs in 49 wins. The other has a decent KO rate, only been stopped by JuanMa and PDL. Also a TD and a DQ on his record. Don't see how the price can be right. Saucedo/Medina ovr 9.5 -180 1.8 to win 1. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	August 16, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Sergey Kovalev -115 vs Nathan Cleverly in Boxing I took Clev +120. Lines are pretty tough now in my view, as it's about 50/50. Obviously, Kovalev has big power and the skill to deliver it. But Cleverly is a tough SOB with a high work rate and great stamina. If he can survive, the officials are likely to favor him. So I lean to Clev, but I wouldn't want to lay any juice on it. BOL. View Post \| View Thread	Snookslayer	4	August 14, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boxing Picks in Boxing Geale to decision Barker. Geal is the better athlete, the slicker boxer and, most importantly, has a significantly higher work rate. It's going to be hard for Barker to overcome that. But Geale probably doesn't have the power to stop him. Also like Barker's promoter coming right out and saying they want to take the belt back to England and milk it for cash. That's not going to win any friends. 1 to win 1.05. View Post \| View Thread	Boxscout	116	August 14, 2013 View Post \| View Thread

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