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Hi everyone, Yesterday I saw a report about one of the big book in LV having virtual lines on traditional rivaleries like Cowboys/Redskins. The teams dont really play each other but you can bet a spread anyway. It works the way that you take both teams´ matchups and take the points each team will make in their games and have a spread/total for that. Looks pretty interesting but I cant find anything about it and I dont find the report anymore. Can someone help?
Any info would be appreciated...thanks in advance!
Call82 |
Call82 | 1 |
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Hi bd, I understand your "problem" and would like to add one thing right up to start with: Quote: The other day i was able to catch a few MLB lines that looked like this. u9.5 EVN
o9.5 +105
I played 5,000 on each side.
This is the first thing that went wrong...why not bet different amounts and make sure that you get a profit, no matter what?
Example: Bet $5000 on the under, bet $4.878 on the over...no matter what, you make a guarateed $122....
To the rest of your problem: Just reduce the amount of games you play, this will reduce the risk of averaging out...you know what I mean? Add me here, I can give you some more examples and may be able to help out here...
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bdarrell2011 | 7 |
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I guess you are kidding with this question, right? Define "go pro"?! Do you mean to live off it? You really have to be kiddin´...
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dogunder | 13 |
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Hey Guys, will update my record later, here are my picks for today really quick: ATL -123 COL +119 TOR +122 CWS +128 KC +109 LAA +142 All for 0.5 Units and @ Matchbook
GL everyone |
Call82 | 70 |
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I was wondering if there are people around that are willing to discuss sabermetrics in here...I would love to discuss and learn, would be great to get some feedback on this...
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Call82 | 70 |
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I was wondering if there are people around that are willing to discuss sabermetrics in here...I would love to discuss and learn, would be great to get some feedback on this...
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Call82 | 70 |
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Call82 | 70 |
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Today I dont have that many picks as a) some games dont have enough data and b) some games are just too close to the line...so here we go: MIL@PIT I go with PIT and +104 at Matchbook for 0.5 Units...numbers give me a score of 4.77(PIT) to 3.96(MIL) which translates into a line of ~139 PHI@WAS Here I will take PHI for the first 5 Innings and/or Team Total over, both lines are not available yet, so I will post this play later, numbers just show me that PHI should score around 5.7 runs in the first 5 Innings...pick will depend on the lines though BAL@NYY This should actually be a close game, I have it around 5.5(NYY) to 4.8(BAL) which gives NYY a 56,13% chance to win this game...this win% translates into a line of -128 for NYY...real line is much higher, so I take BAL with +182 at matchbook. MIN/TB Over 9, neither line nor actual number is out yet, I have a final score of ~ 5.7-4.4 in this one, so I will go with the over up to 9.5...again, this pick will be final later on as the lines are available...
Good Luck everyone PS: Next week my testing phase will be over, I will then settle up with my original Unit plays which is scaled from 1-4... |
Call82 | 70 |
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2011 Season Money Line: 15 - 11 ; 2.355 Units Total: 20 - 17 ; 0.425 Units
Money Line: 3 - 1 ; 1.10 Units Total: 4 - 1 ; 1.6 Units I hope I am back on track after that bad friday last week, now with a solid 4-1 and a little luck with OAK in the 9th and 10th inning... Todays plays will follow later! |
Call82 | 70 |
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2011 Season Money Line: 12 - 10 ; 1.255 Units Total: 16 - 16 ; -1.175 Units
Money Line: 0 - 6 ; -3.10 Units Total: 0 - 7 ; -3.6 Units
Tough day last friday... Unfortunately, I dont find the ime right now to analyse and post plays on a regular basis...but I try my best to turn things around now...here are the picks for today: COL +113 FLO@ATL U7 -108 OAK +107 TEX +124 TOR -105
Good Luck everybody |
Call82 | 70 |
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Wow, it was a tough day, wont be able to calc the games for today, should be back by wed for the games...job is killing me right now, sorry guys...
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Call82 | 70 |
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With you on that one...
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estes1717 | 43 |
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I am on exactly these plays, like them alot...but I have SF on the RL...good luck bro
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BigUnit | 9 |
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Damn, covers is a B.I.T.C.H. today, third time I try to post my plays now...all picks for 0.5 Units and @ Matchbook NYY +120; I have a line of -117 for the Stankees, taking the Home Opener into account, I think a +100 coinflip seems to be fair... OAK +105...I have -118, Pitching works well so far... COL -120...same missmatch as yesterday, I come up with a -178 HOU +109...again, a slight favorite with +money...I have -113... PHI -102...Cliff Lee at almost even money...do I have to say more? No matter who you play, ITS a play...fyi, I have -127 here SF (RL) +144...Sanchez in the Home Opener versus a STL team that sucks AND with Westbrook (ex, Cleveland, I know what I am talking about) on the mound... NYM -138...highest juice so far in the season, but I am just too afraid to take the RL here...I have -186 for this matchup...
Good luck everyone |
Call82 | 70 |
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Looking forward to that DJ, I wish you the best of success!
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dj_destroyer | 1011 |
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2011 Season Money Line: 12 - 4 ; 4.355 Units Total: 16 - 9 ; 2.425 Units
Money Line: 3 - 1 ; 1.095 Units Total: 4 - 3 ; 0.595 Units
My total of the season was wrong again, I will learn this as well (I hope)... |
Call82 | 70 |
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2011 Season Money Line: 12 - 4 ; 4.355 Units Total: 12 - 6 ; 2.425 Units
Money Line: 3 - 1 ; 1.095 Units Total: 4 - 3 ; 0.595 Units Yesterday was ok in total, we had our next day in the black (thats 3/4 winning days now) and I am happy with the results...
Todays plays will follow later! @Keano: no worries, I didnt tell anyone to follow my picks, I am just posting here to document my learning process and to discuss my picks with other people interested in this matter.... |
Call82 | 70 |
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Updated record as of Thursday: 2011 Season Money Line: 9 - 3 ; 3.26 Units Total: 12 - 6 ; 1.83 Units
Money Line: 1 - 2 ; -1.13 Units Total: 1 - 3 ; -2.13 Units |
Call82 | 70 |
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Ok, forgot two picks: TB@CWS; CWS-109; BE AWARE: This one would be my pick of the day, I have a line of -155 in here...would usually play 1 Unit here...BE AWARE, these picks sucked so far :-) I will make it a 0.5 Unit play, then it should work OAK/TOR Under 8 @-107; I see around 6 runs in here...
GL everyone |
Call82 | 70 |
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2011 Season Money Line: 8 - 1 ; 4.39 Units Total: 12 - 6 ; 1.83 Units
Money Line: 1 - 2 ; -1.13 Units Total: 1 - 3 ; -2.13 Units Hi Guys, I realized an (unwelcome) pattern so far, the games I like the most (1 Unit plays) have gone all wrong, that costs some performance I have to admit. Today I will only have 0.5 Unit plays, but with the start of next week I will get into the regular mode - being 1 Unit plays as the minimum. Todays plays: COL@PIT; COL+105 for 0.5 Units - I have a line of -123 for them NYM@PHI; NYM +189 for 0.5 Units - numbers say, this should be a close one... WAS@FLA ; FLA RL +130 for 0.5 Units - numbers show me a score in the 5-2 or 5-3 area.... BOS@CLE; BOS RL +101 for 0.5 Units - situational pick, not only counting on the numbers...Carmona sucks (I am Cleveland fan, sorry for that), BOS is overdue and the numbers have BOS at -180...dont want to overpay here... OAK@TOR; OAK +114 - I have OAK at -109 Thats it Gentlemen, lets get some money back... |
Call82 | 70 |
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