CoolAsCake

There are trends that do point the possibility of Boston losing today. Here's some Pacers trends that I found:
1) last season they covered and won all three games after playing with Orlando (Atl, Hou, Okc) 
2) last season pacers were 10-3 ATS when playing at home when they lost their previous home game (this includes if there were away games inbetween)
3) Last two instances where they got swept from the playoffs, the first time they meet the team that swept them the next season they won the game SU (Boston, Miami)

Great stuff! Thanks for the detailed write up 

Forgot to mention TEX is ranked 2nd to last against lefties for the month of August. 

OAK and JP Sears have basically been a different team since the all star break. They have not lost an away series since then. JP has also been a stud since the end of June in away games.

@TOR 1 point over 7 innings  (W8-4)
@SF 0 over 7 innings (W5-2)
@BOS 1 over 6 innings (W5-2)
@AZ 3 over 6 innings (W9-4)

Another fun fact. This is how Oak has performed the opening game when traveling from first away team to second away team the past 4 instances.

@NYM won 9-4 
@SF won 5-2
@PHI won 6-2
@AZ won 9-4

On the other end we have Jon Gray for Tex who just returned from injury (or for whatever reason he was gone a month), and got smoked and taken out after 2 innings vs CLE.  Jon previous faced CLE earlier in season and held them to 0 points over 7 innings. Jon also faced OAK earlier this season and allowed 1 point over 5 innings (a game they lose 1-0). So is he gonna get smoked and pulled early against OAK? We will see...
-TEX is 3-7 SU first home game back from a road trip
-TEX last time they swept White Sox (earlier this season) they then got swept by TOR. TEX just swept White Sox again.

If I end up being wrong... blame yourself for opening my thread jk jk

Good luck everyone

@LVTruck

 Griffin when playing at home again after giving up a bunch the previous game
H vs OAK - allowed 1 point over 7 innings (W1-5). Opposing pitcher 5.18 ERA
     - this was after giving up 5 over 5 against MIL

H vs PHI - allowed 4 over 5 innings (W5-6), but was down 4-2 end of 5th. OP 3.36 ERA
    - this was after allowing 3 over 5 vs BAL

All other incidents Griffin Canning's next game was a road game after a bad home performance. 

Pretty sure it was -6. Basically pick who wins the game since they were down 6 at the half.

Nice call on the nets! 

Yesterday I told yall I was giving you losers and went a perfect 0-3. Today I got a good feeling that I'll do it again... but with winners ;) Got 2 picks so far. 

Boston -10.5 at Atlanta
Boston's not going to be caught sleeping here. Atlanta's blowout of CHA has people thinking they may be able to keep it close but 3 instances this season Atlanta has failed to cover the spread after winning by 20+ the previous game. Atlanta also is 0-5ats on the first game (when they face the same team twice in a row) over the last 3 seasons.

Memphis + 14.5 at Denver
Memphis despite all their injuries have actually been really good at revenge games this season. Revenge as in covering the spread, not necessarily winning. In my previous post I also stated Denver has only covered ONCE this season as a DD fave when coming off a win. Rinse and Repeat here.

I'll be back with plays on the later games. Gotta eat now so my energy's up when I'm yelling at the screen, punching the air, and avoiding the wife. 

@diondimucci

 Dam sorry brother. I’ll change my title tomorrow 

Thank you everyone! I do my best not to disappoint! Excuse me as I go hang myself.  

Sorry lost track of my thought. Meant to finish with anything could happen but then went and checked the MiA score lol

@dktt

 All under days. All over days. Looks like Mia will cover for the face so unfortunately or maybe fortunately… not an all dog day 

@diondimucci

 My friend! Glad to see ya in here again. Glad we’re on the same side. I honestly would sit down and dine with ya if the payout was right hahah

Alright so yesterday we went 2-1. No need to pull out the rope yet. Let’s see if today’s the day where I cause you all to lose money. Also unposted I hit Detroit and 76ers and 76ers ML today. Maybe my lucks ran out. 
1) Okc at Bucks 

- over the past few seasons when Giannas returns from missing multiple games the bucks usually don’t cover the first game. I’ve lost my notes on the total ATS count but you can trust me! I’m some stranger with no profile pic. Take OKC here 

2) warriors at Min

- warriors have covered every road game off a home loss this season. They have also covered the first game of multi road trips in most if not all instances. Sorry driving right now so can’t double check 

3) pacers at lakers 
- lakers have not been able to win 3 games in a row all season. Every team that played lakers first then clippers with zero days rest have covered against the lakers. Only team to not cover playing lakers first was MIN but they got rest before playing clippers. Pacers are also hot and are around 7-1 ATS this season on their first game of b2b. 

there you go my fellow degens. Let’s lose some money together 

@diondimucci

 Thanks brother. You as well 

@diondimucci

 I heard they don’t do any of that shaving stuff in November. Maybe get all your bets in then 

@AtlantaVegas

 Thanks king!

I’m obviously a degenerate and waiting for tomorrow to start so I can lose more money. Anyways! Three huge plays for me tomorrow: 

1) kings at magic -4.5 

The kings have won the last 5 meets against Orl but as they go for number 6 this is where their Magic runs out. Sac Kings are 0-6 ATS this season when playing an away game after b2b.  

2) Boston -7.5 at Chicago 
Green is the color of money and I love money so that’s why we’re going with the green team. I also eat crayons. Anyways, Chicago has been 0-6 their last 6 home games back from any amount of road games. Prior to that they would win some of these situations but who cares. 

3) Denver at Portland +14 

Weed high vs Shroom high. Pick your vice. I love both. Anyways, Nuggets this season have only covered once as double digit favorites when coming off a win in their prior game. Portland on the other hand is 9-1-1 ATS on the second game of a b2b. 

disclaimer: If you follow and we lose. It’s your fault and I have extra rope. 

good night gentleman

@Jerseyshore88

 You jinx’d my ML play! Hahah