CouchCapper

Love Fournette Under 78.5 yards rushing today. Number is inflated because Fournette has had 200+ yards in past two games...but look closer and you see he was stagnant except for two large runs over 70 yards each. Carolina shouldn't let him rip off a big one. Crushing this one. 

Also taking D. Waller U 5.5 receptions and U 58.5 yards. 

BOL

BANG +$1000 on the day. $550/500 Purdue -3 left .

Under 79 (-110)

Both teams shooting lights out and especially from 3 (62% and 57%) and totaled 84 pts. Think this goes under easily. Also 20 pts higher than Kenpom predicted score FWIW...

$1100/1000

And the haters don’t come back to say congrats. That’s ok, I was on the same play. Congrats on the win bro! 

Texas Tech large bet cashes.

Adding Alabama +4.5

Texas Tech -2.5 LARGE

Belmont -3

UCF +1 

Michigan +4

BOL guys. 

Toledo -3 HUGE

VCU -8

UNLV -5.5

Furman -3

Texas State -4.5

Fairleigh Dickenson -3.5

Northeastern -6.5

Record is now 6-5 in NCAAB. BOL

IMO you are buying low on NIU as they just came off a terrible 49 point performance and a few close loses to ball state, Akron and Toledo.

Just one big one for me today.

Northern Illinois -3 

Thought this line should be closer to -7 or so. WMU is absolutely awful, while NIU can get up for a game having beaten Buffalo, Akron and Miami-Ohio.

Also FWIW, Kenpom had ASU as 93% win likelihood, ESPN had 92%...we are getting ASU +5.5 full game. When I post these they cash. BOL.

Slam ASU -11.5 2H. Don’t say it’s alot of points, just bet it. 9 threes for WSU in first half and 0 for ASU. This will regress.

To add some color to the Austin Peay wager, when they met in January at SIU Edwardsville, AP shot 37% and still won by 8. Home court and a more average shooting night should get the cover. BOL

RECORD 6-3 after the Marist FH/FG loses earlier this week. 

(2U) Austin Peay -7FH/-12FG (I have this game lined at -18 and Kenpom has -17) 

Northern Arizona -1.5FH/-3FG

Pepperdine -6.5FH/-3.5FG

North Texas -6FH/-3FG

Marist undervalued in this spot. Play -1.5 FH and -2.5 FG

Cash it boys, I unloaded on this one.

2018/2019 NCAAB record now 4-1 posted. 

More to come later. 

Cash both wagers, easy 17 pt cover 

2018/2019 NCAAB record now 3-1 posted.

Yes, that's ok...it give us Dayton as a pickem when Kenpom had this as an 83% win.