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And the football god may have started to realign the odds on the first play of the second half.....nice start HAMMER-TOWN
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DDH420 | 12 |
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Been mostly watching BattleBots which is brilliant by the way. But from what I did catch of the CFL game WIN had horseshoes wedge in every orificeof their collective builds
CFL: (1)HAM SH -9 -110 to win 2 units MIXED SPORT PARLAY: (1)HAM SH ML -405 to FRANCE GAME ML +110 = +160 risking 2 units
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DDH420 | 12 |
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Well shoulda went even on the bet sized but 1-1 for -2 units isn't the end of the world with the p.o.w's now 4-0 after Fridays marathon win.
Probably time for a chase system on the CUBBIES for the next couple games at home. Really can't see them losing the next 3 straight with CINCY and the BRAVOS in town.
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DDH420 | 4 |
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Oooorrrr maybe not
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DDH420 | 4 |
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In spots like this where a starter leaves early and abruptly often the long man will be required to eat up innings. even when he doesn't have his best stuff and is getting knocked around. Thats not always enough of a reason to give him the hook. Especially at this time of year with guys hitting a bit of a well. Injuries starting to nag and guys figuratively and literally limping to the all-star break.
So given the DET bullpen is always a bit shaky and currently sitting with the leagues 23rd worst era and that CLE is hot and hitting the ball very well at home this season. I will take a shot that they win innings 3 through 9 -0.5 runs. I honestly would feel better if they weren't already up a deuce AND if they didn't play a single game double header on Friday vs the JAYS. But with Salazar dealing I don't think the person's pen will need more than 6-9 outs. MLB: CLE up 2-0 after 3 full innings of play (1)CLE LIVE (DET trails 0-2 headed to the top of the 4th inning) GAME -2.5 -110 -105 to win 3 units (2)DET/CLE LIVE (DET trails 0-2 headed to the top of the 4th inning) GAME OVER 7.5 -110 to win 1 unit ///// So I'll take 3-0 or any score where the person win by 3 or more. But given that part of my reasoning for the main play is that someone may gt roughed up AND have to stay in there and suck it up. I'm also adding a sprinkle on the OVER. And again also because with CLE's pen raking up an insane workload lately the same could be possible for one of their arms. Calling it 6-3 TRIBALS
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DDH420 | 4 |
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Quote Originally Posted by docpj72: Dude I was so fuckin choked I had EDM +7.5 on a MASSIVE teaser that lost after those two insane longass td's and then the o.t t.d WITH the 2 pointer....bloody pressure spiking just thinking about it.DDH-Redblack bet looking good thus far-i had no idea about the side so i took the under-at least they are tackling tonight! that Eskies game was a sh--t show for the under and any D being played-give credit to the RedBlacks though! good luck bud! Hate to do it but just added CLE -165 to win 3 units with Gions on the bump
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DDH420 | 12 |
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CFL:
(1)HAM FH -3 -110 to win 1 unit (2)HAM GAME -3.5 -140 to win 1 unit (3)HAM GAME ML -240 to CAL GAME ML -540 = -145 to win units (risking 7.25)
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DDH420 | 12 |
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replied to
CAN WE MAKE IT 4-0 WHEN ASKING; "Is this line solid value or fishier than Lady GaGa's hoo hoo ??
in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by housemoney21: What I'm saying here is the line could seem fishy to some with it being so cheap. With the thinking of why is a scalding hot team the dog ?? Your pick and argument is inconsistent here. The fishy line was the double digit winning streak team with a pitcher who has been great lately getting + money. But if you look at the other 2 links and 3 picks that I've had the same argument with. I always take the "fishy" line believing it is is just solid value. And have said many many times on here that I don't believe the book is out to "trick" or "trap" us or "rig" games nearly as much as people think,thats usually just a biotch excuse for puzzies who can't admit they were on the wrong side. And also that books are just trying to get equal money on both sides and then they leave the gambling to us and they collect their vig no matter who wins. The books are not in the gambling business. The house usually wins cuz when they do their job they collect regardless of the games outcome.
Look at the CUBS hosting the BUCS and Taillon the other weekend. I could see why many thought CUBS ML -155 seemed fishy cuz it was so low for a CUBS team on fire playing a PITTY team that was 1-9 L10 and 5-15 last 20. But like today decided I would take the shot at the line value. Same with the person vs TB and Archer last week. I thought CLE would be way more expensive than they were. But rather than let a "fishy" line scare me off I took CLE as strong value. And then same deal with a great BOSUX offense getting a low line against Lames Shields and his 21+ era. Many people said the line seemed like they were trying to trap us. But rather than play the old "Princess Bride" mind game and go back and forth thinking is this a trap,maybe he knows I think it's a trap,maybe he knows I think it's a trap so it's not a trap ect ect. lolol I just took it as proper line value and took the team at what ultimately turned out to be a bargin price. Long story short-ISH irf you look at the last line of the first thread of this tittle I asked "is the line fishier than Lady GaGa's hoo hoo ??"".....and then said rhetorical because I clearly did not think it was. |
DDH420 | 6 |
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replied to
CAN WE MAKE IT 4-0 WHEN ASKING; "Is this line solid value or fishier than Lady GaGa's hoo hoo ??
in MLB Betting
CLE to score first in as a win.
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DDH420 | 6 |
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replied to
CAN WE MAKE IT 4-0 WHEN ASKING; "Is this line solid value or fishier than Lady GaGa's hoo hoo ??
in MLB Betting
Lets get this party started...
MLB: (1)CLE to score the games first run YES -150 to win 1 unit (2)CLE F5 INNINGS +0.5 -125 to win 1 unit (3)CLE F5 INNINGS ML +110 risking 1 unit (4)CLE GAME ML +115 risking 1 unit (5)CLE TEAM TOTAL OVER 4 -110 to win 1 unit (6)CLE GAME +1.5 -180 to SFG GAME ML -160 = +150 risking 1 unit ......... (1)CLE GAME +1.5 -180 to BELGIUM GAME ML -120 = +185 risking 1 unit (2)CLE GAME +1.5 -180 to SFG GAME ML -160 to BELGIUM GAME ML -120 to HAM-TICATS GAME ML -250 to CAL-STAMPS GAME ML -530 = +670 risking a half unit
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DDH420 | 6 |
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Awesome DUBS wish I was there with ya my man. I see lots of runs too. Just they're all coming off Strowomens arm......8-3 person
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ELDubarino | 4 |
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replied to
CAN WE MAKE IT 4-0 WHEN ASKING; "Is this line solid value or fishier than Lady GaGa's hoo hoo ??
in MLB Betting I mean this just doesn't add up. We have the person who are not only 48-30 overall but also 25-18 on the road.....and oh yeah trying to set a franchise record 14th straight win tomorrow. Against a JAYS team that needed 24 games to earn their last 13 wins. And WAS but is no longer playing very well. And who are also only a mediocre 5 games above 500 overall at 43-38 and even less impressive 19-18 at home. So current and overall form BOTH go to the person so lets see what they're sending to the hill Friday afternoon. You have Josh Tomlin on the bump for CLE who has a brilliant 9-1 record on the year and CLE is a sizzling 12-2 when he takes the mound. Overall this season his whip is 1.06 and he owns a 3.32 era. Conversely Stroman has a 6-4 record which is a pure gift of run support. As the JAYS are a bit more realistic 8-8- when he throws,which is still somewhat lucky after seeing his 1.42 whip and 5.33 era for the year. And these numbers head in opposite directions even more when looking at the last 3 starts respectively. Tomlin's L3 have him at 1-0 and CLE at 2-1 with all 3 being quality starts (actually it's 5 straight quality starts and 8 in his last 9 outings for those who are counting...I AM !!) throwing 18 innings pitched with a sharp 0.86 whip and 2.82 era. And Marcus "NO GO STRO SHOW" Stroman is just a wee bit worse. He is 1-2 as are the JAYS which is not surprising considering he's only mustered up 15.2 innings while racking up 23 hits and a whip of 1.79 and a jumbo jet sized era of 7.47 coming outta the sky why don't take me down to Memphis...ughh close enough.. And although I don't have the exact numbers in hand at the moment (it's a long 4-day weekend and I've had some pops so pissoff) I remember seeing last weekend that Stro was something like the 105th ranked pitcher out of 135 or something. Over his last starts. With a whip around a deuce and an era tickling 8. So long story not so short is. Could the JAYS and more so Stroman pull a complete 180,stop throwing hanging cement mixer breaking balls up over the plate,being wild in the zone and go from one of the worst pitches in the league last half dozen plus starts. To shutting down a team thats hotter than Charlize Theron and Rebecca Romijn in a whip-cream bikini finger-bang competition ??? Well sure I guess they could. But rule 101 for me is to always ride a trend and never try and buck. So lets go for 4 AND 0 and take the person as live dogs no less. To grab the W in the T-DOT on Canada day. p.s I will also be using the CLE +1.5 on a shitload of parlays for this weekend......off the top of my head BELGIUM,BELGIUM/WALES OVER 2,TiCATS ML and STAMPS ML are all on that list.
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DDH420 | 6 |
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created a topic
CAN WE MAKE IT 4-0 WHEN ASKING; "Is this line solid value or fishier than Lady GaGa's hoo hoo ??
in MLB Betting
In the first game we had the CUBS (https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102289423) at home in the stand alone ESPN Sunday nighter. With Kendricks on the bump against highly talented yet very inexperienced rookie (and Canadian "stock") Jameson Taillon on the hill. Yet the CUBS who while winning at a 65% clip only had a tag of -155. While hosting a BUCS squad that was something like 1-9 last 10 and 5-15 last 20 games. But as it turns out the line wasn't smelling like Jersey Shore at low tide a.k.a Lady GaGa's cod piece. it was just strong value as the game was hardly ever in doubt and the CUBS cruised to an easy DUB.
Game two of the three was the now scalding hot person (https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102290397) and Trevor Bauer facing the then ultra-strugglin' RAYS with Chris "Don't call me Sterling" Archer and his f-ugly road splits in CLE. That game was also never in doubt with the person tacking a 3 spot on the board in their half of the first inning which were all they needed as they took the contest 6-1. The 3rd and most recent of this franchise was nowhere near as comfortable as BOS kept getting Lames Shields on the ropes but was never able to land the knockout blow. However they did touch him up enough to get him out relatively early and then the BOSUX bats win the battle of the pens and outscore a weak hitting WSUX team,taking it late with an 8-7 score. But now even after hitting the first 3 games I still feel a bit uneasy about this next line. Almost like it's a fishy or sucker line and not just proper value. Actually if I'm honest this one even more than the others because for the first time in the bunch this one is a live dog. I mean I I honestly am flat out shocked and truly believe the books have the wrong team favoured here. And the only reason I can think of,admittedly as silly as it is. Is that the books MAYBE don't want to offer the person as faves. And therefore give the road team (which I love playing on the -1.5 because they always get 27 at bats even when leading headed to the 9th) extra +$. But nowadays with all the options at books almost everywhere offers alternate run-lines. So even thats a stretch for an explanation. So I once again find myself thinking. Is this solid value ?? Or is this line fishier than Lady GaGa's hoo hoo after a triple encore ?? ... to be continued
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DDH420 | 6 |
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I'm gonna be using TiCunts and Stumps ML's on a shitload of parlays this weekend. For all the plays I really like I'll probably do 75% of what I'd normally bet S.U and then do the other 25% with HAM and/or CAL Ml's added on there too for extra +$
STUMPS aren't gonna be the juggernaut of years past but they should have more than enough to get by the BlowBummers at home. And HAMMY is a solid team head to toe. BC could be in for a severe shitkickin'
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jimc0911 | 21 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jimc0911: Hey I can't wait for Belgium (or WALES for that matter,BELGIUM is,well were so underrated by most people,they are awesome,nobody has any clue how highly ranked they are) to smash the ever lovin' snot outta Ronaldo McDonaldo that wanky lil bitoch.DDH....ARGOS DID NOT IMPRESS ME LAST WEEK. RIDERS HAVING AN EXTRA WEEK FOR PREP SHOULD GIVE THEM AN ADVANTAGE. Loving BELGIUM -135 for a few units and then the DRAW for a half risk hedge. And also the O 2. I mean in the knockout stages you never know and you could MAYBE have a slow conservative half with nobody wanting to fall behind. But I think the game sails over. Possibly by half with BELGIUM up 2-1 at the break.
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jimc0911 | 21 |
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Argos didn't look good BUT keep in mind HAMMY is a good team and Stienhauer knows Ray very well (I guess Jones does too) and Ray looked rusty,
And I just don't see the extra week meaning anything on the first game of the year. 1 extra week after 6 months shouldn't matter much. PLus the RIDERS made a wackload of changes after camp broke and the team was already massively overhauled. Guess we'll see and thats why we tune in. I just think the game at full speed last week is the edge the ARGOS need. Especially FH which I think is a strong play. I took the ML +130 for a unit but was bummed I couldn't buy the FH +2 up to +3 or I woulda went HARD on that. Either way BOL boys and may the best team win |
jimc0911 | 21 |
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Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935: Over killer too....squashes all the momentum
Tough game to stay focused on . Injuries penalties and coaches challenges |
jimc0911 | 21 |
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Like OTT too but went over. What has you liking the RIDERS bud ??? I think they are at a severe disadvantage not having a game under their belt.
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jimc0911 | 21 |
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Went with the O-VAH but so far you're looking brilliant
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ELDubarino | 3 |
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Slow start but I think we eventually see some points in Queerbec too......And also agree on the Argos. I just think having played an actual game at real speed is too huge of an advantage for the RIDERS to overcome.
BOL pickle smoocher
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badlands | 7 |
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