GENERALWIZDOM

*Correction SDSU +13.5

South Dakota St +13 vs Oklahoma St

Lotta hype around Gundy’s Cowboys. Great running back…. but outside of that? Not so much offensively. Cowboys actually didnt grade so hot in run blocking last year despite Ollie Gordon success. The JackRabbits are fiesty. Solid on both sides of the ball. This line has inflated a bit too much and now Im grabbing value

Good Luck today bro 

I question how many points Clemson can score on this UGA defense. I watched the spring gama and expected to see better things from Klubnik and it was more of the same. He just doesnt get the ball out early with confidence and thats what you need to beat Georgia. Clemson defense is solid and experienced enough to slow Georgia a bit, but Im not sure Klubnik and Co. will be able to muster any offense. Feels like Georgia will cover this number but I think the better bet is the UNDER. 

CLEMSON/UGA UNDER 49.5

Indiana/FIU UNDER 52

Cignetti takes over at Indiana and brings with him his offensive system and many of his defensive players from JMU. Mike Shanahan is the OC and if you watched JMU football, they dont operate with pace and they run the ball a lot. JMU operated at one of the slowest paces in the country and I expect that to continue at IU. The IU defense will be much improved with an injection of talent from JMU’s productive defense. At FIU, Mike Macintyre is in year 3 and I expect their defense to be much better this year. I think this game stays under this total as both teams feel it out early and IU sits on the ball for game clock eating drives.

Florida +2.5 vs  Miami

Florida has won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Gators have one of toughest schedules in the country and may be better team and still lose games because of that schedule. I trust the Gators in the swamp. Mertz takes care of the football. Florida has a team capable of dealing with Miami in the trenches. Lots of hype around this Miami team and im sure the gators have heard it all. Rolling with the Swamp Boys.

YTD: 2-1 ATS

Will have couple plays for tomorrow

Stanford comes thru despite doing everything they could to give it away 

Moving on to Stanford…. Classic Buy Low situation. Recency bias tells public that Stanford sux and TCU was in Natty just couple years ago. I trust in coach Taylor. I might be bias because I have a personal connection but I feel the football x’s and o’s and the personnel can match and work a lil bit in Stanfords favor. 

Sorry bout Minny. They killed my parlay too if its any consolation 

@Last2thirst

 Thank u brutha 

I feel good about this season. We gots some money to win 

How bout them Bison 

NDSU played a good game. Buffs stepped up defensively in 2nd half. 

GL bro. Always a good read in your threads. Im on Minnesota as well. Liking that LSU/USC under play. Might tail that.

@Last2thirst

 NDSU has won 6 of last 7 vs FBS

with wins over programs like Iowa(when they were ranked), Kstate, Iowa St, and Minnesota… Although its been awhile since any FBS team scheduled them. Probably because they’ve won 9 of the last 13 FCS titles.

As for Stanford… I have a common friend with the head coach. I am very familiar with coach Taylor and my friend worked on his staff at Sacramento State. I liked the hire by Stanford and I believe he will have Stanford competitive. I believe most casuals dont know this and will be banking on TCU based on recency bias of seeing them in championship game. Stanford was very inexperienced and now have guys all over that are familiar with coach Taylor and his system.  I think Stanford will be a live dog here. Expect Stanford to be improved on both sides of the ball this season. 

It would probably be wise to wait to see if number hits 10. Im thinking it will. I expect casuals to be all over Buffalo in this one

@Last2thirst

 Bro, Im just going with my gut. I think this number will hit 10 tho and so maybe i jumped the gun. Colorado at home as well. But I really like the returning production on both sides of the ball for the Bison. Colorado will have a lot of new faces and I just dont expect them to click right away, whereas the Bison have a system in place and their guys are familiar with it and their roles within it. They will be hyped to take on Colorado. Public will be backing Colorado HARD in this one so i believe the number is inflated. Bison have a solid Qb, RB’s by committee, Oline, DB’s, and coach. I think Colorado is a 6-8 win team but I dont expect them to come flying out the gates against this very solid NDSU squad that will probably be competing for FCS championship this season. 

YTD: 0-1

NDSU +9.5

Stanford +9.5