Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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We'll see what kind of talent he can bring in at Seton Hall |
SKSports | 6 |
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Why did you bet the 1H Kansas ML, lose that, and then bet Miami +4.5 for 2H? Miami was up 5 at the half. So then you were essentially taking Miami on the ML for the full game which was the dumbest thing anyone could've done in that position. And then you compound your mistakes badly by taking horrible St. Peter's for both 1H and Full Game? That's just incredibly stupid. You're getting completely destroyed. |
Devilplayer | 42 |
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Mich looks like an entirely new beast after that Ohio State comeback |
confetti_tacos | 7 |
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Wolverines are making damn near everything |
LB_Dirtbags | 43 |
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Michigan looks unstoppable today, so frustrating |
Fallser29 | 9 |
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3 Units on each play Arizona -9.5 (1Half) Arizona -16 (Game) Memphis Team Total Under 14.5 (Game) |
gougie | 2 |
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Week 1: No Plays 3 Units on each play Salt Lake +6.5 (2Half) Salt Lake ML +250 (2Half) Birmingham Team Total Under 13 (2Half) |
gougie | 2 |
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I posted my 2 cents opinion about the AAF below in my NFL thread and figured I'd copy it here... I'll just be watching the AAF for now. Each team only played 1 preseason
game so there's not much to go on outside of analyzing the
rosters and coaching staffs. I'll be looking
for how these teams look in the trenches first and foremost. My guess is
that DL's will probably be ahead of OL's very early on. The rules
against 5+ man blitzes could neutralize some of that however. Either way
though, QB play will be even more crucial: who can improvise and keep
plays alive while making good decisions with the ball, that sort of
thing. Next to look at will be the running games. There's some good blogs by different writers on The Action Network's site if you click around through their AAF section: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/betting-alliance-american-football-odds-picks-week-1-2019 There will also be a 30 min pre-game show on CBS before today's kickoffs which could have some nuggets of info. This
is a whole new can of worms and there's much to learn. I'm open to
betting on it if good opportunities arise but it'll probably take a few
games by each team for me to get comfortable with player personnel and
coaching schemes. The league and rules are
obviously geared towards speed and increasing the number of plays
compared to the NFL, so that should lead to more scoring in theory but
let's see how it plays out. I do hope the league is successful and most
of that will depend on the overall quality of play and how quickly these
teams can improve throughout the season. |
motowner | 50 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Gerhan: gougie.. Any opinions on the AAF games for opening weekend? Hardly any info out there thus far but was just curious about your thoughts if you have any? I'll just be watching for now. Each team only played 1 preseason game so you're right there's not much to go on outside of analyzing the rosters and coaching staffs. I'll be looking for how these teams look in the trenches first and foremost. My guess is that DL's will probably be ahead of OL's very early on. The rules against 5+ man blitzes could neutralize some of that however. Either way though, QB play will be even more crucial: who can improvise and keep plays alive while making good decisions with the ball, that sort of thing. Next to look at will be running games. There's some good blogs by different writers on The Action Network's site if you click around through their AAF section: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/betting-alliance-american-football-odds-picks-week-1-2019 There will also be a 30 min pre-game show on CBS before today's kickoffs which could have some nuggets of info. This is a whole new can of worms and there's much to learn. I'm open to betting it if good opportunities arise but it'll probably take a few games by each team for me to get comfortable with player personnel and coaching schemes. The league and rules are obviously geared towards speed and increasing the number of plays compared to the NFL, so that should lead to more scoring in theory but let's see how it plays out. I do hope the league is successful and most of that will depend on the overall quality of play and how quickly these teams can improve throughout the season. |
gougie | 38 |
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Quote Originally Posted by UNDERDOBS: Gougie, is this your first year handicapping NFL? Dont see any posts from the year before? Do you use a system or just apply your knowledge? No, I've been doing the NFL for over 30 years now. I just didn't post my picks until this season. And no systems, just situational capping. I had only posted College Football and basketball (NBA and College) prior to this. I might start posting basketball again next season but was too busy this season to do that daily. It gets to be a lot of work to stay on top of all of those. |
gougie | 38 |
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Full season recap: Week 1: 7-2, +14.70 Units Week 2: 8-3, +12.90 Units
Week 3: 3-5, -5.67 Units Week 4: 4-5, -4.32 Units Week 5: 6-7, -6.75 Units Week 6: 6-3, +13.50 Units Week 7: 9-5, +16.10 Units Week 8: 7-5, +8.75 Units Week 9: 5-3, +9.25 Units Week 10: 12-8, +16.70 Units Week 11: 12-6, +25.15 Units Week 12: 13-5, +37.80 Units Week 13: 7-8, -8.25 Units Week 14: 15-7, +34.40 Units Week 15: 8-7, +1.25 Units Week 16: 2-8, -31.25 Units Week 17: 10-7, +13.25 Units Wildcard: 8-10, -13.50 Units Divisional: 12-3, +53.20 Units Championship: 5-7, -12.10 Units Super Bowl: 9-2, +46.55 Units NFL YTD: 171-116, +226.10 Units Thanks everyone for the comments. Had a great time posting this season with you all.. I think the NFC and AFC Championships took a lot of steam out of the Super Bowl yesterday. It was going to be really hard to top either of those games with their quality of play and each going into OT. If the Chiefs hadn't lined up offside on Brady's INT late in the 4th Qtr and if the refs had thrown the flag on the Rams against the Saints, it would've been a totally different production obviously. However, the defensive performances in the Super Bowl were excellent but that doesn't tend to make headlines and sell as entertainment these days. The Chiefs and Rams are well prepared for the future but the Patriots will always be a threat as long as Brady and Belichick are around. |
gougie | 38 |
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Recap: 5 Units on each play New England ML -113 (1Qtr) PUSH New England -0.5 +140 (1Qtr) L -5.00U New England ML -115 (1Half) W +5.00U New England -3 +135 (1Half) PUSH New England ML -127 (Game) W +5.00U New England -2.5 -101 (Game) W +5.00U New England -6 +178 (Game) W +8.90U New England -7 +228 (Game) W +11.40U Some halftime bets... 5 Units on each play New England ML -110 (3Qtr) L -5.50U New England ML -120 (2Half) W +5.00U New England ML -2.5 +133 (2Half) W +6.65U Los Angeles TT Under 14 -120 (2Half) W +5.00U Los Angeles TT Under 14.5 -150 (2Half) W +5.00U Super Bowl: 9-2, +46.55 Units NFL Season: 171-116, +226.10 Units |
gougie | 38 |
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1-1 plus 2 Pushed bets on the different 1Q and 1H bets. Some halftime bets... 5 Units on each play New England ML -110 (3Qtr) New England ML -120 (2Half) New England ML -2.5 +133 (2Half) Los Angeles TT Under 14 -120 (2Half) Los Angeles TT Under 14.5 -150 (2Half) |
gougie | 38 |
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5 Units on each play New England ML -113 (1Qtr) New England -0.5 +140 (1Qtr) New England ML -115 (1Half) New England -3 +135 (1Half) New England ML -127 (Game) New England -2.5 -101 (Game) New England -6 +178 (Game) New England -7 +228 (Game) |
gougie | 38 |
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NFL YTD: 162-114, +179.55 Units
Week 1: 7-2 +14.70 Units Week 2: 8-3 +12.90 Units
Week 3: 3-5 -5.67 Units Week 4: 4-5 -4.32 Units Week 5: 6-7 -6.75 Units Week 6: 6-3 +13.50 Units Week 7: 9-5 +16.10 Units Week 8: 7-5 +8.75 Units Week 9: 5-3 +9.25 Units Week 10: 12-8 +16.70 Units Week 11: 12-6 +25.15 Units Week 12: 13-5 +37.80 Units Week 13: 7-8 -8.25 Units Week 14: 15-7 +34.40 Units Week 15: 8-7 +1.25 Units Week 16: 2-8 -31.25 Units Week 17: 10-7 +13.25 Units Wildcard: 8-10 -13.50 Units Divisional: 12-3 +53.20 Units Championship: 5-7 -12.10 Units
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gougie | 38 |
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NFL YTD: 157-107, +191.65 Units Week 1: 7-2 +14.70 Units Week 2: 8-3 +12.90 Units
Week 3: 3-5 -5.67 Units Week 4: 4-5 -4.32 Units Week 5: 6-7 -6.75 Units Week 6: 6-3 +13.50 Units Week 7: 9-5 +16.10 Units Week 8: 7-5 +8.75 Units Week 9: 5-3 +9.25 Units Week 10: 12-8 +16.70 Units Week 11: 12-6 +25.15 Units Week 12: 13-5 +37.80 Units Week 13: 7-8 -8.25 Units Week 14: 15-7 +34.40 Units Week 15: 8-7 +1.25 Units Week 16: 2-8 -31.25 Units Week 17: 10-7 +13.25 Units Wildcard: 8-10 -13.50 Units Divisional: 12-3 +53.20 Units
5 Units on each play Los Angeles +0.5 -123 (1Qtr) Los Angeles ML +130 (1Qtr) Los Angeles +3 (1Half) Los Angeles +3 (Full Game) New Orleans TT Under 14.5 (1Half) New Orleans TT Under 30.5 -123 (Full Game) L.A./New Orleans Under 28.5 -124 (1Half) L.A./New Orleans Under 57 -117 (Full Game) Kansas City -0.5 +120 (1Qtr) Kansas City -2.5 -119 (1Half) Kansas City -5.5 +155 (1Half) Kansas City -3 (Full Game)
Kansas City -6 +140 (Full Game) |
gougie | 12 |
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Quote Originally Posted by NuSkool: Today's Record: 12-0 2018/19 NBA Season Record: 125-58 Way to make your man suffer. You got him good |
NuSkool | 58 |
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L.A. Rams -0.5 -111 (1Qtr) L.A. Rams -4 -108 (1Half) L.A. Rams -6.5 +130 (1Half) L.A. Rams -7 -105 (Full Game) L.A. Rams -9.5 +130 (Full Game) Dallas TT Under 10 -120 (1Half) Dallas TT Under 21.5 -130 (Full Game) |
gougie | 51 |
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NFL YTD: 145-97, +158.45 Units 5 Units on each play Kansas City -0.5 +112 (1Qtr) Kansas City -3 -106 (1Half) Kansas City -6.5 +155 (1Half) Kansas City -4 -105 (Full Game) Kansas City -6.5 +123 (Full Game) Kansas City -9.5 +185 (Full Game) Indianapolis TT Under 13.5 -125 (1Half)
Indianapolis TT Under 24.5 -125 (Full Game) |
gougie | 51 |
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Halftime stuff. Let's go Bears! 5U Chicago -2.5 +110 (3Qtr) 5U Chicago -3 +135 (3Qtr) 5U Chicago -2.5 -125 (2Half) 5U Chicago -3 +100 (2Half) 5U Philadelphia TT Under 10 -125 (2Half)
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gougie | 29 |
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