gratefulbets

Not really able to implement my system, as planned, with so many QB#1s out, etc. 

However, playing against the team w/o their QB#1 is 12-5. 

Penn St. -4.5 system play

Auburn -6.5

GA -20.5 

Wyoming -3.5

@gotime...glad to see you, too. I've been battling the flu for the past few days and starting to feel better this afternoon. This year is worse than last year with the op-outs, portals and starting QBs missing. This is the only game I have for today. 

Rice +3.5

Eliminating E. Mi 17.5 (QB out)

2023

Ohio 3.5 W SU

ULL 3.5 W ATS

Fres St 3.5 W SU

UTSA -7.5 W

Duke 7 W SU

Next:

JMU 2

Using Sagarin values, with filters, and evaluating previous Bowl years (eliminating games where the QB is out)

2021

Dogs ATS: 11-3

Dogs SU: 8-6

Favs: 5-1

2022

Dogs ATS: 10-0

Dogs SU: 6-4

Favs: 3-1

2023

Ohio 3.5 W SU

ULL 3.5 W ATS

Fres St 3.5 W SU

UTSA -7.5 W

Next:

Duke 7

JMU 2

E. Mi 17.5

I know it has not been available for the past few years but I don't understand why it was removed. Also, it had a lot less "drama" associated with the discussions. 

Guess "whose" grammar sucks...

The only fraud is TRUMP.

@buddha72

 Yes, and we saw what MI did to OH ST and then we saw what OH ST did to GA...I'm sure each of those wins could be argued as a "cheap win/cover" but a beat down like that is unprecedented. 

Thanks for your good vibes. 

Yep, almost painless, until I remembered that I forgot about a team's (TCU) chances of performing at a high level the next week after winning a hard fought game that they probably should have lost (MI TD at end zone called short). Such are the pitfalls of betting with a moderate IQ.

...I ever LOST. I didn't need to sweat out a close game in the 4th quarter, or the 3rd quarter, or even the 2nd quarter. I don't know if MI could have done any better but I'm sure they would not have done worse!

Anyway, fun season betting college ball with you pathetic degenerates and can't wait to do it again in 9 months.

Remember, the next best thing to winning is losing. 

Another System DOG play...TCU Horned Frogs +14½ -120 

You're pretty close. I'm surprised that you were able to track all of my plays with so many changes. There's 2 ways to look at these results. Tally all of the original systems plays (28 plays) without regard for players' status, and compare those results to the results of the subjective changes that I posted to the original list of plays, adding and eliminating teams based on players' status. 

1) My original system plays listed in post #7, including the 7 teams that had players possibly missing (28 total system picks):

Dogs ATS: 10-4

Dogs SU: 4-2

Favs: 4-4

Total: 18-10

2) System plays altered based on subjective analysis of players' status:

Dogs ATS: 11-2 (I'm counting IL as a system win!)

Dogs SU: 4-3

Favs: 2-6

Total: 17-11 (16-12 with IL as a loss)

From these results the DOGS are the best system plays: 14-6 or 15-5.

Too many people were on them...haha

I meant to say 42 yard line, not 38.

Replay it and you'll see it was not a forward pass

Rigged? Are you in concussion protocol?

@Grandtheftauto4

No, Devito threw it from the 40 and it landed about the 38. Too bad that player didn't just drop to the ground to end the game.

Oh, I'm sick on that shit. Of course, It was Devito who through the errant pass. my +4 

Happened? Nostradamus? GL

PSU opened on Dec.05. as the Fav for about 1 hour, then UT settled in as the Fav rising to -3 for the next week, then gradually moving down to -1 yesterday, and flipping to the Dog this morning. I can't find anything that suggests a reason.  

From my notes Clark Phillips was listed as an OPT-OUT at least before Dec.29th  

From ACTION Network

OPT-OUTS

RB Tavion Thomas*, TE Dalton Kincaid*, Clark Phillips*