herlotmami

Da U coming into Boston as 3 1/2 point faves.

Seems like everyone and their uncle are on BC either ML or Spread.

line opened at 2 in most places and stuck at 3 1/2.

Normally I’m not the bettor that looks at line movement so let’s dig a little deeper.

why does everyone think BC wins? Hmmm... @ Home where they haven’t lost? QB confusion/ineffectiveness for Miami? Star RB returning? Red Bandana game, flutie return? 

Everything pointing to a BC win so don’t get me wrong I see why the money is on them. 

Devils advocate -> Here is why I have a strong feeling Miami wins.... their Defense. Don’t take this part lightly. Top 5 nationwide defense. We all know that familiar saying, defense and turnovers wins game. Well if we were basing the pick strictly on that, forget about everything else. QB statement game. Miami rolling into town pissed off. Usually not a good recipe for the opposing team. Just a few weeks ago they were top ten and now Unranked. Loser of this game is going opposite direction from the winner and Miami has had the experience of being on top, a few bad games and now everyone is writing them off. Granted both teams coming off byes. Meant a whole lot more to Miami than BC as they were trending opposite ways.

I expect more creative playcalling from the offensive front for Miami compared to their regular inept and obvious routes the past couple games, couple turnovers and a solid win. gettng the crowd out of the game in the starting is pivotal to their success in this game, and turnovers just do that. 

Seeing a good old fashioned covers bloodbath here. 

Miami rolls 27-17.

whatever you decide, good luck to you.

Da U coming into Boston as 3 1/2 point faves.

Seems like everyone and their uncle are on BC either ML or Spread.

line opened at 2 in most places and stuck at 3 1/2.

Normally I’m not the bettor that looks at line movement so let’s dig a little deeper.

why does everyone think BC wins? Hmmm... @ Home where they haven’t lost? QB confusion/ineffectiveness for Miami? Star RB returning? Red Bandana game, flutie return? 

Everything pointing to a BC win so don’t get me wrong I see why the money is on them. 

Devils advocate -> Here is why I have a strong feeling Miami wins.... their Defense. Don’t take this part lightly. Top 5 nationwide defense. We all know that familiar saying, defense and turnovers wins game. Well if we were basing the pick strictly on that, forget about everything else. QB statement game. Miami rolling into town pissed off. Usually not a good recipe for the opposing team. Just a few weeks ago they were top ten and now Unranked. Loser of this game is going opposite direction from the winner and Miami has had the experience of being on top, a few bad games and now everyone is writing them off. Granted both teams coming off byes. Meant a whole lot more to Miami than BC as they were trending opposite ways.

I expect more creative playcalling from the offensive front for Miami compared to their regular inept and obvious routes the past couple games, couple turnovers and a solid win. gettng the crowd out of the game in the starting is pivotal to their success in this game, and turnovers just do that. 

Seeing a good old fashioned covers bloodbath here. 

Miami rolls 27-17.

whatever you decide, good luck to you.