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Hi everyone-
Snappa, we will never EVER sell any info of any sort if you want to follow the blog, we won't even send anything to you unless you would want us to, so no worries on that. By the way, there is an article at the blog now that explains a bit about us if you interested.
Yes Ballinhj12 - we have a very very conservative betting style, we are
so conservative we'd rather think we don't gamble- we just move on what
appears to be a good money maker! We do this with no bias to any sport
or team, we just bet on the data says, and we try to not rush.
Basically, we look at one team at a time and try to determine if the
next event for that particular team is a yes or a no. If yes of course
we go with it, if no, many times we could go with the other team, but
sometimes ( like yesterday ) the no is just sort of a flaw or breakdown
in our process. Sometimes, if not team A, does not mean go with team B,
because sometimes we have misread the situation- that's not common, but
it happens. So occasionally we just have to let one go and wait for the
next round of a strong yes bet. I don't think I reported this, but for
several hundred games, we managed between 75-85 %. I know that sounds
like B.S. These days, since we tuned up or procedures, we are doing
better than that. We do want to run our process for a LONG time, and test the
reliability / stability of this, before doing much more with it besides
telling others what we are doing with our $, then folks can do whatever
seems right to them in regards to what we are doing. So as you pointed out Ballinj12, we shoot for bigger wagers on fewer games. Yesterday was a day like that where we had to bail out on a recomendation, and we were correct to NOT recommend DETROIT PISTONS to win via the cover, at the same time, the data wasn't so strong to recommend LAC. So we let it go. There's always another one coming up :)
Hector, that's why no post the other day. We had to bail on it. We
aren't going to stick our necks (or wallets) out OR YOURS, just to make
a pick and be in the game. People who are selling the crap that people
are selling as "tips" do that, and we don't bet our own money just
because we want to "gamble" and be in on a game. The tip market place is
sort of a big joke it looks like to me, it's pretty ridiculous. Hector,
we put extra effort to not lose money! We'd rather bet less, and win
more, by wagering more correctly and losing less. So please be patient,
we try REALLY HARD to be patient. If you knew me, you'd know how hard that is for me! Right now we have to settle for this instant gratification only a couple times per week - believe me its a killer, but we want to make this just a very profitable project for all of us. This method won't be for everyone, it's sloooowww. We are taking about 2 days to get data, and a day to sort it out, for a game the next day. For sure, no one is looking forward more to the next good pick than me! We try as fast as we can...and it just takes time. For those who are just "Jonesin" to be in on a game, or 10 everyday, this will make them crazy and they won't like us- everyone has their own way, and motivations.
To Pepsimansd, we tryin' have one by Saturday or Sunday at the latest.
Thanks for your interest and patience. |
lapis01 | 17 |
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Hi JV,
our plan right now is pretty loose really,but most likely we will be here giving it for free for a long time, as we know, at this point we have no history and no trust built up. That will just take place over time, then it will have value- a lot of value. However the group is SLOW, not because we aren't trying hard, it's just that our process is quite time consuming. After doing hundreds and hundreds of games, our strategy is to take as long as we need, even if its only a game or 2 per week, we figure it's worth it to go at the pace, that allows us the most sureness (hence the last 12/1). We use 6 people, about 3 days, to hit one- that's our method - it's got to be a labor of love! The good news on that, is that it can be very rewarding, the ability to bet with more sureness. So yes, we should be here for quite a while, hopefully making us all a lot of money over a long period of time- that is the plan :) |
lapis01 | 17 |
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We'll have another NBA pick tomorrow-
turns out that the odds of getting 12 correct out of 13 wagers is 1/630. Tomorrow, we plan on hitting 13/14. Our very best run ever has been (unfortunately was not public at the time) was 25 in a row, out of 26 attempts, and always to cover points. So we plan on extending this out, and we'll see how far we get :) Even 4 out of 5 is pretty good, - quite acceptable ( 80% ) , but we seem to have this more on track now than ever. We seem to be operating at our best. Anyway, we'll have another winner for everyone here tomorrow. Good luck to all. |
lapis01 | 17 |
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Hey you guys,
I am involved with this method here...the last 12 correct after 13 wagers- covering the points. No tricky weird betting formulas or stat studying on your part. Just get the advice and run with it. https://predictionbetting.wordpress.com/ its not a technique to be sold, its just free picks for now. They are free because people don't know who we are for one thing, We want people to see us, letting us prove these methods work... so there they are, they are for free, and you could work them if you want to, we do :) - we know, that we have to prove it to you, that's what we want to do. So check it out, get the freebies and if you wager you will be happy you did, or just watch, there's no harm in that. |
gic35 | 11 |
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Also, we are staying on NBA until that finishes up, so I will be putting up picks in there if you would like to check them out, I'll try to get them in the forum at least an hour or so before the games start.
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lapis01 | 17 |
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Hi everyone- it's not perfect, but in the last 13 wagers, we've been correct on 12, and covering points. That's 92% correct.
About 2 games per week is all we manage, perhaps 3 - we focus a lot on accuracy sureness on each pick, and put a lot of effort into the stability, or repeatability of the process, so that it's not just a fluke or "flash in the pan." We've been working on this for about 4 years now. We use this for ourselves of course, and making it public for the first time, this is free for now. You are welcome to watch it, track it, and use it if you care to. It's a rather unusual method, so it may not appeal to you, but it's there if you are interested. It's working very well for us now, and you are welcome too. Check it out by following my posts and / or you can read up on it at: https://predictionbetting.wordpress.com/ Best wishes and good luck :) |
lapis01 | 17 |
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Ya ! 12/1
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Covers | 7 |
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The curling will be better- but LA CLIPPERS on top tonight :)
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Covers | 7 |
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Hey Krush-
thanks for the input, continued good luck to you on that. Johnnybad- well that looks like its working pretty good for you too, very cool! |
krush812 | 78 |
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In my experience, I put a lot of effort into one strike at a time- however that is totally contingent on being able to count on your method of determining a quality pick. I only do about 2 per week.The degree of certainty, the reliability of your ability to discern a a pick is what counts and thus dictates how many or often you bet. Some of the strategies out there rely on the fact that you may only win 60 >/< % so you have to play a lot to come out on top. Of course, reliability - that is the quality of the pick is king.
Pretty soon I am going make public a method and just show what I do (we do), feel free to follow or ask if you would like to. In the last 12 wagers we hit 11 covering the points. But again, reliability is the key, weather or not you are covering points or not, over or under, what ever. Anyway, good luck to all of us :) |
eyeball | 11 |
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Hi - krush, would you mind telling us what it costs to get that sort of info? To be totally straight with you on this, I've been connected with a group that makes picks very well and has NOT gone public yet, however we are probably going to in the near future. One of things we are doing now is market research to see how to offer these tips...So, if you don't mind talking about that part, I'd appreciate it.
Thanks in advance. |
krush812 | 78 |
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I don't think LA will cover these, I'll put money on GS to take those points.
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Covers | 18 |
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I'm goin' with the Colts to cover 5.5 , that's where the points seem to be right now, at least with my book..
I don't know if FROG was just joking when he said this "Me thinks yer predictions are merely mortal guesses... only one way to know for sure......TRV" I don't mind saying, that I know a lot more about that sort of stuff, than I do about sports in general -lol, so for me, that approach works. I don't use that group, but personally, I use that sort of thing. I'll be putting some tonight on INDY tomorrow. Good luck to everyone tomorrow, it will be a good time, no matter what happens. |
Covers | 351 |
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I'm taking the points and going with PORTLAND tonight.
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Covers | 32 |
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Adam NV-
Probably you should just ask your question... |
Covers | 9 |
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I got a feelin' - CAT"S to cover...
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Covers | 9 |
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Goin' with the Hornets - 2
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Covers | 13 |
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Hi Mikado...
I'll PEM you on that, I'll try to sign up to be your friend and then send a PEM, if you would like. Best wishes--- |
Covers | 14 |
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GS -3 4me
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Covers | 14 |
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Buck and Montana-
thanks for the good advice and willingness to help, that is very cool. I've been wanting to know how to learn about FOREX trading for a long time now, and your recommendations sound like a good place to start. Please add me to your friends list, I'd like to follow... |
bucknuts | 44 |
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