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Early game - Two Team Parlay
WAS +2 & U49 (+256) Late night game LA/SF U43 (-108) 1 Unit each Went 6-2 yesterday. (+11.2 units on the day) Lost a dumb prop bet w/ TJ Yeldon at Over 60.5 Yrds. Lost a 4-Team Parlay when ARZ got beat by NE. (lame) |
Max_Power | 2 |
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-----------------From Yesterday, with outcome--------------------
Here is the thing that has me going with the Under 8.5 here. KC has only scored more than 2 runs 3 out of their last 12 games. KC did get to 3 runs, but with back-to-back-to-back 2 out singles in the 8 for an insurance run. Vargas (KC) has not given up more than 2 earned runs in any of his past 4 games. Vargas went 6 innings and didn't give up a single run. Hughes has gone 6+ innings in 9 of his last 10 starts. Hughes went 7.2 innings only giving up 3 runs, another "quality start." MN has not been getting the clutch hitting their past 2 series and has not scored more than 3 runs in a game, if you take one inning in which BOS gave up 4 runs due to poor fielding and errors, and one inning that MIL (Lohse) blew up giving up 5 runs. MN did not have a run scoring play with RISP, and left bases loaded twice by hitting into a DP. 12 guys LOB. UNDER 8.5 Total finished at 4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (Not trying to rub in your under play, but instead I guess I am tooting my own horn for all the things going as the trends indicated above.) TUESDAY Night Game I don't really have a good read on Tues game KC @ MN. But I'd slightly lean MN (-111), simply because Young has been beat up his last 2 starts and May has pitch very well 2 out his last 3 starts. I'd also lean slightly over (O 8.5), as I think MN should be able to produce with RISP tonight and get back on track to where they were before the past 7 days. With that being said, unless I find something else ... this game is a NO PLAY for me tonight. BOL to all |
Sherms | 7 |
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BOL
But, I have to say, at first I was thinking the same thing as both SP's have ERA approaching 5. Here is the thing that has me going with the Under 8.5 here. KC has only scored more than 2 runs 3 out of their last 12 games. Vargas (KC) has not given up more than 2 earned runs in any of his past 4 games. Hughes has gone 6+ innings in 9 of his last 10 starts. MN has not been getting the clutch hitting their past 2 series and has not scored more than 3 runs in a game, if you take one inning in which BOS gave up 4 runs due to poor fielding and errors, and one inning that MIL (Lohse) blew up giving up 5 runs. If I take only the last weeks into account, neither team is hitting well right now. And overall both pitchers have actually been solid, despite inflated ERA. The one downfall I could see to the under is that Vargas has been hit hard by MN twice already this year. |
Sherms | 7 |
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I'm in small on the Twins today. I like the price and the recent trends.
I can't believe I'm backing Pelfrey or backing the Twins AT DET. Both of those things just sound crazy. 1st 5inn Twins (Pelfrey) +165 0.6 Units to win 1 Unit Full Game Twins (Pelfrey) +160 0.62 Units to win 1 Unit |
FYL706 | 9 |
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replied to
*****************COULDN'T WAIT TIL PUCK DROP LIVE IN GAME THREAD STARTS NOW************
in NHL Betting
4 goals in 1.3 periods and couldn't pop another the rest of the game for a shot at the OVER 5.
Oh well, a push at least
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DDH420 | 163 |
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replied to
*****************COULDN'T WAIT TIL PUCK DROP LIVE IN GAME THREAD STARTS NOW************
in NHL Betting
This game could be 2-2 already 5 mins in. Both goalies have had big saves early.
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DDH420 | 163 |
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This OT period is awesome. So much fun to watch.
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Kushpop | 123 |
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The streak had to end at some point, right.
Oh well, glad I was along for the ride.
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Max_Power | 7 |
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BTW: The line just moved to 28.5 UNDER (EVEN).
I put 2 more units on it at EVEN to match my 1 unit at (-110). |
Max_Power | 7 |
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I want to say that the betting limit at my online book is $500 (to win Max) for NHL Props. My standard/average wager is $50, so that is my unit level. Whatever that is worth to you, I've never tried to go over $500 on any prop bet online, so I guess I'm not really sure.
I bet Heritage (and unfortunately at Sportsbook, as I still funds have there) Heritage is OK, and I like them better for MLB. I usually bet Aria in Vegas. |
Max_Power | 7 |
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Take the Chicago Blackhawks and UNDER on their shot total.
Tonight's game is set at 28.5 shots (Under -110) CHI has gone under the line for shots in 10 straight games, and has gone under in 14 of the 16 playoff games. (The only 2 overs were in the first series Vs STL.) Here are a couple of my Threads discussing this trend: 5/11 & 5/13 games = https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=23&sub=101887607 5/21 & 5/24 & 5/26 games = https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=23&sub=101892744 I can promise you that I will be all over this play once again tonight. I am sure at some point the run has to end. Either with CHI being eliminated from the playoffs or potentially them finally getting pucks through the mess and hitting the net. Also, the LA Kings have not given up more than 27 shots max in their last 9 games straight. |
Max_Power | 7 |
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If I told you there was a single wager, in these NHL playoffs that was 14-2 and has won in 10 straight ..... would you make that play?
Let's just say that there is ONE wager you could make in tonight's game that has hit in 14 out of 16 of their games in these 2014 NHL Playoffs. Regardless of the line that has been posted it has also won in 10 straight games. If you've followed this play, you should be doing pretty well. I've made the wager in 9 out of the last 10 games, as well as 11 times in the playoffs. I have won on all 11 of those wagers and have been really happy that I've been following this run. Does it continue in tonight's game and go 11 straight? Do you know what this trend is? |
Max_Power | 7 |
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There is 10 straight, tonight getting 24 shots.
FYI: CHI Under on shots is 14-2 in the Playoffs.
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Max_Power | 9 |
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9 games in a row for Under the Shot total for CHI.
Tonight's game #4 @LAK is set at 27.5 again. You can bet your a$$ I'm playing the Under here again. I'm hoping the line will shift a little and lighten the -120 juice, but I threw 1 unit at this price. If it goes to -105 or better, like game 3 did, I'll be throwing another couple on this one. Let's go for 10 in a row!!!
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Max_Power | 9 |
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Well, there it is, game 3 O/U CHI Shots is set at 27.5.
Grabbing the UNDER (-105). Can it go 9 straight games? I think so!
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Max_Power | 9 |
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What an odd game.
I was only able to watch the 2nd and most of the 3rd, but once again the shots Under for CHI hits. That's 8 in a row. Anything under 26.5 on game 3 will be a GO for me. GL to all.
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Max_Power | 9 |
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Appears that even with CHI SOG down at 27.5 the money is still on the under.
The juice just increased to -140 (Under) and +100 (Over) 40 cent line is a lot to pay to get Under 27.5. I still lean under, but unless the juice moves back, I'm not gonna be playing this one tonight, at that price.
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Max_Power | 9 |
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So, I've been riding this train for the past 7 CHI Blackhawks games, taking the UNDER on CHI total shots for. The lowest it's been was set at 28.5 and that was game 6 in MIN. They've been Under every game for the past 7 with their highest total coming in at 28 shots and that took an overtime to get there. Game 1 they had 20 shots.
Today's game has their O/U shots set at 27.5. Game 1 was set at 30.5, which for me was an easy no-brainer Under play. I'm a bit surprised that the O/U is at 27.5 for today's game #2 at home, a 10% drop from game 1 line. I'm still leaning the Under 27.5, but tonight might just be the game to break the 7 game streak of Unders. Or, the low shot total set is still just bait to get some cash placed on the over side for a change? Has anybody else been playing the shots total for CHI? Anyone have thoughts, projections, or analysis on what they expect for game #2 tonight?
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Max_Power | 9 |
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The refs seem to want to be front and center here so far. Good call/info. Bad for fans and players of the game.
That Chara hold was a BS call ... and he might be my least favorite player in the NHL.
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Polar_Bear | 26 |
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Even with OT, hit the Under 28.5 on CHI Shots w/ 27.
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Max_Power | 5 |
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