MRHYDE

@Lakersskkkks

 NBA is garbage. No defense and the players don't care.

@knbr1045

 Great grammar by the way. I get where your coming from though.Impossible to bet on it's garbage. 15 point favorite (Clippers) loses at home in a must win game. Players just don't care. Denver in a must win spot loses at San Antonio as a 10.5 favorite. They were up by 18 at the half. I won't be betting on this crap the rest of the season. 

@badlands

 SMU rolls in this one. Dummy's will bet on BC because the game is at Fenway Park.

@steponaduck

 Stupid bet. SMU will win easily. SMU will shut down BC's offense.

 Flexen is 0-5, 11.14 in five starts this year.

 He is 0-3, 11.57 in three games (2 starts) vs St Louis.

 Wainwright is 12-1, 1.38 in 14 starts vs Colorado.

Miami is 7-2 at home when Garrett starts and 14-5 overall.

Mitch Keller was great early in the season, but things have been very different of late. Keller has a 5.06 ERA and a 5.12 FIP in his last nine starts. Keller has allowed 14 runs in his last two starts. He is in very bad form.

The Philadelphia Phillies have heated up a lot of late. Zack Wheeler is a very strong second half pitcher in his career. He has a career ERA that is more than half a run better in the second half than the first half. He faces a Pirates lineup that has struggled in a big way to score runs of late.

Keller has awful numbers in his career against this Phillies lineup. In 66 plate appearances, the Phillies hitters have a eye popping .572 weighted on base average against Keller and their average exit velocity is a whopping 94.8 mph. He isn't fooling them at all.

The Guardians took two of three from the Royals in KC at the end of June, outscoring them 19-6. In their home series opener, they'll send out their impressive rookie Bibee who has certainly been trending in the right direction in his last three games, allowing three runs, then one, then finishing with a shutout, pitching five or more innings in each start.

The Guardians' bullpen is generally very solid, but especially so at home this year. Their 2.18 ERA is less than half the Royals relievers' road ERA. The rookie will face the Royals' Lyles (1-11, 6.68 ERA). Lyles improved in June, finishing with a 5.40 ERA. He gave up four and three runs in his last two starts, but as his record would suggest, he doesn't get a ton of run or relief support. He has a very poor road ERA of 8.02 this year.

The 3-7 Royals were just swept by the Twins, are second last in OPS over the last two weeks, and are 12-30 in road games this season. The Guardians are hitting 40 points higher for average and 70 points higher in OPS over the last two weeks. I see a blowout.

On Saturday, we have a nice Interleague betting matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks (42-28, 22-17 at home and 6-4 L10) and the Cleveland Guardians (32-37, 15-20 on the road, and 7-3 L10). On the bumps we get Shane Bieber (5-3, 3.29 ERA, 64 SO) taking on Tommy Henry. (3-1, 4.86 ERA, 33 SO)

Cleveland and Arizona continue their weekend series and we're on the Guardians here.

Shane Bieber takes the hill after one of his best starts in quite some time. He went 7.0 strong against one of the best offenses in the MLB as he shut down the Astros. Cleveland needs a big performance as this bullpen has been taxed and this is the perfect guy to have on the mound.

Tommy Henry has allowed back to back starts where he has been knocked around. He allowed 5 runs In each of those outings and is in a struggle right now.

Some trends to note. Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 home games. Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

The White Sox are heating up, sweeping Detroit and taking 2 of 3 from the Yankees. They are starting their ace, but Dylan Cease has had a disappointing season so far. He now could be emerging from his funk if his last start is an indication.

Cease faces Eury Perez, the Marlins' young and touted right-hander. Barely out of his teens, he has a 2.25 ERA to start his career. His last two starts have been 5 run shutouts.

Perez appears to be limited to 5 innings and Cease has not pitched for length so this game may come down to the bullpen and the offense. It is no surprise that the Marlins have the better bullpen, but they've also hit a ton lately, now 4th in the league in OPS over the last week.

I am not certain the Cease is "fixed", but it appears Perez can hold his own anyway, and I have more confidence in the Marlins in the later innings at the moment. Take the underdogs to win on the road on Friday.

Detmers is 0-5 with a 5.15 ERA this season. Smyly has allowed 8 earned runs on 14 hits in 10 innings over his last two starts.

Both the Angels and Cubs have hit lefties well this season. The Cubs have not been scoring many runs lately but this looks like the right spot for a breakout game on offense.

The Angels will pick up right where they left off in yesterday's 6-2 win. LA has scored 13 runs so far in the first two games of this series.

The Cubs Smyly had an ERA about 2 runs higher on the road than at home and about 2.5 runs higher in night games than day games when you look at his numbers from last season.

That said, the Angels stay hot but Chicago gets going here too as Detmers struggles continue. OVER 9 in Angels-Cubs on Thursday night

How good have the surprising Texas Rangers been this season? Try 38-20 with an MLB-best plus 152 run differential.

The Rangers have won 12 of their last 15 games. They have Martin Perez starting for them against Adam Wainwright and a slumping, underachieving Cardinals team that is 10 games below .500 and has dropped five of their last six games.

Perez has been brilliant at home with a 3-0 record and 1.93 ERA. He's also been great during interleague competition with a lifetime 1.59 ERA in nine starts. St. Louis is averaging 2.4 runs in its last 10 games.

Wainwright is showing his 41 years. He has a 6.15 ERA, which balloons up to 7.59 when pitching on the road. He faces a Texas lineup that leads the majors in runs and batting average while ranking No. 2 in OPS.

This is a huge mismatch not fully reflected in this low lay price

LA dodgers starter Kershaw (6-4, 3.32 ERA) will make his fifth career start against the Yankees. He does not have a win against them despite of a 1.67 ERA over 27 innings. He probably won't be able to stay in tune with his previous efforts, as this version of the Yanks batting order own a .870 OPS against Kershaw in 140 plate appearances.

With the Yanks sending right-hander Luis Severino (0-0, 1.59), to the hill for his third start of the season after a lat injury, the Yanks should have an edge on a value money line offering.

Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY YANKEES) - allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 26-11 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

The Guardians' hot young pitcher Bibee, has had a great start to his first year. With a little run support in his last outing against the Cards, the 2 hits he allowed over 6 innings should have provided him with a result but all he got was one run and no decision. Two games before that he only allowed 2 hits over 7.2 innings but still ended up with no decision as he was only supported with 1 run.

The Guardians started off the season near the bottom of the majors in hitting but lately they have turned it around. Since Bibee last pitched they have been averaging 6.5 runs and 12 hits per game. This alone should put him over the top but combine it with a bullpen that has had a 1.31 ERA over the last 10 and a miniscule .47 over the last 5 and you have a recipe for success for the Guardians and Bibee.

Pitcher Lopez and the Twins might have something to say about this but their hitting has been in the bottom third of the majors for most of the season. Lopez started out the season strong but has had mixed results as of late with 3 of his last 7 starts averaging more than one earned run against/inning. Pick the underdog Guardians for a close win.

New York has been on a tear as of late. Should they hold onto this big lead, they would jump to 11 games over the .500 mark. They are getting a lot of production top to bottom, being led by Judge who homered again on Tuesday night.

Schmidt gets the ball for New York and while he typically works 5.0 innings at the most, he's still giving them chances to win every time he takes the mound.

Kirby counters, with a 3.43 ERA over 10 starts this season. He is just 1-2 over his last 3 starts, with an ERA of well over 5.

Some trends to note. Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.

The Guardians pulled off a surprise win over Baltimore on Monday night, but the Orioles are too good for this to happen two nights in a row and they will be burning for revenge.

Expected starter for the Guardians, Quantrill, will be no match for Gibson. Quantrill has only won 1 of his last 6. In his last start he lasted 4 innings and gave up 6 runs against the woeful White Sox. At night he is 0-2 with a 5.13 ERA.

On the other hand Gibson has been hot in his last 2, winning both and only giving up 1 earned run between the two games. And at night he is 5-2 this season with a 2.84 ERA.

In the Guardians win Monday night they used two of their bullpen aces while the Orioles rested their top relievers from their formidable bullpen as they seemed to throw in the towel.

At the plate the Guardians have been struggling this season with the 28th avg and the 30th OPS in the majors. The Orioles are a respectable 15th and 12th respectively.

Michael Kopech had fantastic stuff before injuries derailed his career for a couple years. He was one of the top pitching prospects in baseball. Kopech has now thrown two absolute gems in a row. He has thrown 15 innings in his last two starts.

In those 15 IP- he has allowed just 3 hits and 0 runs. He has walked one batter and struck out 19. Kopech has allowed 2 runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.

Griffin Canning is an inconsistent pitcher, but he has a high upside and he showed that in his last start.

Both the Angels and White Sox are significantly better against left handed pitching than right handed pitching. In fact, Chicago is a dreadful 27th in weighted on base average against right handed pitching.

The under is 5-1 in the Angels last 6 vs. a right handed starter. The under is 5-2 in the White Sox last 7 vs. a right handed starter. Take the under in this one.

The Dodgers are 36-8 since August 2021 in the first game of a series as a -170 favorite or more. That is particularly the case coming off a loss as is the case when coming off a loss as they did yesterday vs the Rays. The Dodgers are 12-0 since August 2021 in the first game of a series as a -170+ favorite coming off a loss.

Bobby Miller makes just his second career start for the Dodgers here. Starters who are -180 or greater favorites for the first time in their careers are +6.9% playing on.

In the first he worked five innings allowing one run and striking out 5 vs Atlanta. Starters who went between 3.67 and 5.67 innings last game and struck out 1-2 batters per inning are +1.0% playing on.

Yesterday, LA lost a wild 11-10 matchup vs the Rays. Teams that scored at least nine runs in a loss last game are +1.2% playing on. Washington also lost by one run yesterday, 3-2 to Kansas City. The Nationals are 1-7 since April 14 coming off a one-run loss.

Spencer Strider was outstanding as a rookie last season and he's tough again this season with a 4-2 record and 2.97 ERA. Oh, yes, Strider also leads the majors in strikeouts with 97.

Strider has dominated the Phillies with a 4-0 lifetime mark with a 1.27 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 21 1/3 innings.

The Phillies have dropped 13 of their last 19 games to the Braves in Atlanta.

Philadelphia has been held to three runs or fewer in eight of their last 13 games.

I don't see Dylan Covey, making his first start with the Phillies, and a below average Phillies bullpen being able to keep this game close.

Saturday we see the (23-30, 12-15 on the road, 6-4 L10) St. Louis Cardinals taking on the Cleveland Guardians (22-28, 11-14 at home, 3-7 L10). On the bumps we get Jack Flaherty (3-4, 5.29 ERA, 54 SO) vs. Tanner Bibee (1-1, 3.18 ERA, 25 SO).

In his recent outing, Flaherty gave up 3 runs on 4 hits and 4 walks, while recording 5 strikeouts over 4.2 innings. This resulted in a no-decision against the Dodgers on Sunday. Currently, the right-hander holds a 5.29 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, and a 54:33 K:BB ratio through 51 innings this season.

Two games ago, Flaherty (3-4) secured a victory in a commanding 18-1 win over Milwaukee. He pitched 7 scoreless innings, allowing 3 hits and 2 walks, and striking out 10 batters. Considering the Guardians' won on Friday, the Guardians are favored here. But Flaherty is the preferable choice on the mound. The Cardinals bats will even up this series.

Some trends to note, the Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss, 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games, and are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter. On the other side the Guardians are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win, and are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Royals are 0-10 in Lyles' 10 starts, but all but one of those defeats have come by more than one run. Lyles has permitted four or more runs in nine consecutive games. He has a 7.15 ERA. He's surrendered 14 homers, most in the league. Lyles can't expect to be bailed out by a Kansas City bullpen that has the fourth-highest ERA.

The Nationals are going to put the ball in play. They have the lowest strikeout rate in the league and the fourth-highest batting average. Washington is averaging 5.2 runs during its past 10 games.

Corbin has bounced back from being a laughingstock to gaining some of the respectability he had five years ago. Corbin has a 2.88 ERA in four starts this month going at least six innings in each outing with a 13-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

Corbin encounters a Royals team averaging just 2.7 runs in their last nine games. Kansas City ranks in the bottom-five in runs batting average and OPS.