Pegasus21

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Posts: 21

Member Since: September 2009

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replied to Free $25 dollars oddsmaker offer
in Website Promotions

Got two more if any are interested...

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Pegasus21

7

October 20, 2010

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replied to Free $25 dollars oddsmaker offer
in Website Promotions

Still got a couple coupons left. Send me a message and ill give you the promo code.

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Pegasus21

7

October 15, 2010

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replied to Free $25 dollars oddsmaker offer
in Website Promotions

really how so? Ive never had any problems with them. The only thing i hate was there stupid fake money bonus. For every 30 you bet, you get 1 dollar. However, no other complaints. Been with them for 2+ years now and got some friends booking there without any problems.

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Pegasus21

7

October 13, 2010

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created a topic Free $25 dollars oddsmaker offer
in Website Promotions

I have 10 coupons from oddsmaker.com for free 25.00 real money no deposit new account. I will give them to the first 10 people that Private message me.

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Pegasus21

7

October 13, 2010

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replied to New YPPT Method
in Systems & Strategies

roughshod31, In the new method are you still dividing the SOS or simply just having the factor be Ranking/SOS and then mulptiplying that for YPPT?

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roughshod31

1286

October 17, 2009

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replied to New YPPT Method
in Systems & Strategies

okay after trying a couple of different formulas, one based on Average stats, one on HFA, one on ranking instead of SOS and adding HFA the plays that i got are as follows:

Det/GB over
Cincy
Bal/Min over
Bal
NO
Car
SD/Den Under

Im actually thinking it is not a bad looking card. Probably wont play them blindly but interesting as far as the results go.

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roughshod31

1286

October 16, 2009

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replied to New YPPT Method
in Systems & Strategies

Quote Originally Posted by ntwcm:

When I was playing with this formula yesterday before the Tulsa game I factor in home field andvantage and not SOS. I came up with a score of Tulsa 18.5 which could translate to 20 and Boise St 26 which would translate to 27. This is my first time using any formula for predicting. But i am a huge college football fan. One thing I think factors is college footbal is HFA. I took away the SOS and added 1.5 for tulsa and -1.5 for Boise St. Just thought I share that.

ntwcm,

Can you explain how you used home field advantage instead of SOS. I cant figure it out. Let me know how you get it and what you do with it and i can figure the rest out.

Thanks

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roughshod31

1286

October 15, 2009

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replied to New YPPT Method
in Systems & Strategies

well now my numbers match up with Roughshods numbers.. Haha. this shit is getting confusing and im an engineer.

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roughshod31

1286

October 13, 2009

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replied to New YPPT Method
in Systems & Strategies

Skan, i am currently multipliying team A and Team B rushing and passing numbers by 1.05. Is this correct?

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roughshod31

1286

October 13, 2009

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replied to New YPPT Method
in Systems & Strategies

Skan,

I have the same Monroe numbers as you, but my ark st. numbers are different. im getting 134R 252P. Any idea where im wrong?

My finaly score is 40 -32 with ark state winning.

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roughshod31

1286

October 13, 2009

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replied to New YPPT Method
in Systems & Strategies

Quote Originally Posted by skan:

Skan,

What did you new totals come up with with the adjusted SAS?

could i send you a PM and give you my email so you can send me your spreadsheet. Ill do the same for you.

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roughshod31

1286

October 13, 2009

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replied to New YPPT Method
in Systems & Strategies

Quote Originally Posted by Gator11:

Could someone post how to calculate yppt?I'm not quite getting that just yet.TIA

i think this is where i am lost also.

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roughshod31

1286

October 13, 2009

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replied to New YPPT Method
in Systems & Strategies

Quote Originally Posted by skan:

I believe you have your SAS backwards for the two teams.

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roughshod31

1286

October 13, 2009

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replied to New YPPT Method
in Systems & Strategies

Team A (Off All Games)        162.7    180    11.6
opp. Def. AVG                      185.1    182.9 13.2
Team B Def All Games           110.2   268.    12.1
Opp Off Avg.                         103.9   231.3   13.8
Team B (Off All Games)          208.6   210     12.5
opp. Def. AVG                       173      205.8    12.5
Team A Def All Games           106      266.5    16.2
Opp Off Avg.                         114.5 192.5    14.6

Sorry didnot post correctly

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roughshod31

1286

October 13, 2009

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replied to New YPPT Method
in Systems & Strategies

here is the data im using. Please Help...

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roughshod31

1286

October 13, 2009

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replied to New YPPT Method
in Systems & Strategies

Quote Originally Posted by roughshod31:

10/13/09

Arkansas State @ Louisiana Monroe

Ark St. 151 (R) 252 (P) 403 (TYDS) 11.4 YPPT

LA Monroe 163 (R) 261 (P) 426 (TYDS) 15.2 YPPT

Projected Score

Arkansas St. 35

LA Monroe 28

PLAY: Arkansas St. + 2.5

I modified the formula, making it so now I just split the difference on double negatives & positives. The reason being that if Team A rushes for 35 YDS less than opponents def. avg. & Team B allows 25 YDS less than opp. off. avg, I don't see it being likely that Team A will rush for 60 YDS less than their normal avg. ( I think splitting the difference making it -30 is much more likely in these cases.)

GL

Not sure how your getting these numbers. In my spreadsheet i got

Ark 134R 252P Tot 386 11.07YPPT
LAM 178R 290P Tot 468 11.93YPPT

Any idea why my Passing yards are so high for LAM and why my YPPT is so low for LAM?

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roughshod31

1286

October 13, 2009

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replied to NFL Plays Week 1...Need your help to reduce the card
in NFL Betting

Quote Originally Posted by AtlFader:

I think Eagles handle Carolina

I would love to hear your reasoning as to why you think that. Ive seen you post before and i know you know your shit... Would love to hear your opinions.
Thanks

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Pegasus21

8

September 10, 2009

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replied to NFL Plays Week 1...Need your help to reduce the card
in NFL Betting

Quote Originally Posted by Kubrick:

BOL

Thanks for the support.

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Pegasus21

8

September 10, 2009

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replied to NFL Plays Week 1...Need your help to reduce the card
in NFL Betting

Quote Originally Posted by HamSir:

Welcome and GL...

I do like the Bengals and 49ers on Sunday...

Yea im actually loving the Bengals...Hoping for a better line on SF though.

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Pegasus21

8

September 10, 2009

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replied to NFL Plays Week 1...Need your help to reduce the card
in NFL Betting

Dropping the Titans +6.5.. I was really hoping i would get 7.

Played a teaser for

.5U TEN +13/OVER 29...

Lets go Titans and Points!!

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Pegasus21

8

September 10, 2009

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